🐻⬇️🏀

Gustavus Adolphus

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Gustavus Adolphus
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1238 (#1) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1278 (#1) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +9.5 (#24) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.864 (#261) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +14.7 More → 0.831 (#113) NetEff +14.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.7 More → 0.773 (#245) AdjNet +10.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.3 More → 0.770 (#244) AdjNet +10.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.0 | AdjD 70.8 More → 0.678 (#242) AdjO 79.0 | AdjD 70.8

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-09 vs Wis.-La Crosse L 77 - 81
2024-11-10 @ Wis.-Eau Claire W 86 - 80
2024-11-20 vs Central (IA) W 75 - 73
2024-11-23 vs Simpson W 77 - 66
2024-12-01 @ Wis.-Platteville L 52 - 65
2024-12-04 vs Augsburg W 97 - 74
2024-12-07 vs Concordia-M'head W 79 - 72
2024-12-11 vs St. Olaf W 82 - 49
2024-12-14 vs UW-River Falls W 73 - 53
2024-12-17 vs Bethany Lutheran W 93 - 71
2024-12-30 @ Coe W 78 - 75
2025-01-04 @ Dubuque L 64 - 80
2025-01-08 @ Macalester W 64 - 61
2025-01-11 vs St. Scholastica W 112 - 76
2025-01-15 @ Saint Mary's (MN) W 85 - 65
2025-01-18 vs Bethel (MN) W 97 - 78
2025-01-22 @ Hamline W 63 - 58
2025-01-25 @ Concordia-M'head W 65 - 50
2025-01-29 vs Macalester W 91 - 63
2025-02-01 @ Augsburg W 88 - 68
2025-02-05 vs Saint Mary's (MN) W 65 - 55
2025-02-08 @ Bethel (MN) W 104 - 75
2025-02-12 @ St. Olaf W 83 - 55
2025-02-15 vs Saint John's (MN) W 66 - 62
2025-02-19 @ Carleton L 61 - 73
2025-02-27 vs Carleton L 64 - 75

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dustin Derousseau - 1 34.0 21.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 12.0 16.0 58 1.6 3.1 41.7 50.0 81.8 1.57 62.4 50.0
Peyton Belka - 1 31.0 14.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 4.0 -27 -1.7 -4.9 55.6 80.0 0 0.47 77.8 77.8
Jackson Loge - 1 31.0 14.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 15.0 -18 -1.2 -3.4 62.5 0 40.0 0.54 56.5 62.5
Spencer Swanson - 24 32.2 11.4 6.3 2.8 0.8 0.3 2.0 9.8 9.7 -7 -0.5 -0.7 45.3 34.1 52.8 1.49 52.6 51.9
Wyatt Olson - 24 24.4 11.3 7.1 2.7 1.0 0.4 1.9 8.0 12.7 -27 -1.9 -2.6 55.2 30.0 66.7 1.32 59.7 56.8
Will Fuhrmann - 1 34.0 11.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 6.0 83 3.2 4.7 50.0 40.0 20.0 1.37 53.9 62.5
Myles Barnette - 24 18.7 10.4 3.5 2.0 1.2 0.6 1.2 6.8 9.6 107 6.7 41.6 59.8 0 73.0 0.55 63.6 59.8
Brady Kienitz - 24 25.2 9.8 2.3 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.8 8.5 4.3 -26 -1.7 -2.5 39.5 36.2 82.6 0.53 54.6 52.7
Evan Wieker - 23 19.7 9.2 3.3 1.3 0.8 0.2 1.0 6.8 7.1 -13 -1.0 -1.7 48.7 35.8 64.1 1.44 57.6 54.8
Julian Hodges - 1 9.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 25 1.6 10.2 100.0 100.0 0 0.2 150.0 150.0
Jake Schmitt - 24 16.2 9.0 2.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 1.0 7.0 4.7 108 6.4 48.4 43.2 40.8 81.8 0.38 58.6 55.6
JJ Paider - 1 14.0 8.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 6.0 90 2.6 5.1 66.7 0 80.0 3.68 76.9 66.7
Sam Grieger - 1 25.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 4.0 104 2.9 5.6 40.0 0.0 60.0 1.17 48.6 40.0
Mack Sebert - 1 22.0 7.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 5.0 -48 -4.0 -7.8 42.9 25.0 0 -1.22 50.0 50.0
Rowan Nelson - 1 32.0 7.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 2.0 -41 -4.1 -7.6 18.2 0.0 42.9 0.54 24.9 18.2
Adam Biewen - 24 20.3 6.5 2.8 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.7 4.7 5.8 -12 -0.9 -1.2 50.9 39.6 45.7 1.34 59.0 60.3
Ben Goedheer - 1 18.0 6.0 5.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 11.0 18 1.4 10.8 75.0 0.0 0 0.15 75.0 75.0
Kaden Pieper - 1 31.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 -4.0 -27 -4.5 -12.3 20.0 0.0 0 0.18 20.0 20.0
Carson Koch - 24 15.1 5.2 2.5 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.5 3.7 5.1 83 5.5 24.9 47.2 35.7 75.8 0.45 59.9 55.6
Grady Guida - 1 19.0 5.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 9.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 0 - 62.5 62.5
Erik Hedstrom - 1 25.0 4.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 9.0 -7 -1.8 -65.6 0.0 0 100.0 -0.91 72.5 0.0
Drew Tomashek - 1 14.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 -3 -3.0 -97.3 33.3 0 50.0 -1.4 38.7 33.3
Dawson Kellen - 24 13.0 3.0 3.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.8 2.8 3.5 28 4.0 19.3 43.9 0 78.9 0.16 49.1 43.9
Eli Wolff - 24 2.8 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.6 56 4.3 148.0 75.0 73.3 0.0 -0.43 106.4 109.4
Isaac Matti - 23 4.8 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.3 25 3.1 638.3 37.5 30.0 66.7 -1.3 45.4 43.8
Connor Beauchamp - 23 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0 0.0 0.0 83.3 100.0 100.0 -1.3 96.6 91.7
Andrew Quam - 22 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 - - - 28.6 0.0 100.0 - 38.1 28.6
Isaac Dearborn - 23 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 -0.0 1 0.2 25.5 28.6 33.3 0 -1.3 35.7 35.7
John Mueller - 22 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 -0.3 0 0.0 0.0 14.3 0 0.0 -1.3 13.4 14.3
William Strandemo - 21 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 -7 -1.0 -7.1 50.0 100.0 0 -0.04 75.0 75.0
Tarek Abdel Kireem - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2 2.0 106.7 0 0 0 -1.46 0 0
CJ Campbell - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -16 -1.1 -31.9 0.0 0.0 0 -0.35 0.0 0.0
Sam Ferge - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -8 -0.7 -131.5 0 0 0 -1.1 0 0
Griffin Ginder - 1 5.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -17 -1.3 -12.3 0.0 0.0 0 -0.28 0.0 0.0
Khris Green - 1 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 48 3.2 14.1 0 0 0 0.37 0 0
Torin Hannah - 1 12.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 84 5.6 13.6 0 0 0 2.06 0 0
Sean Ladwig - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Karter Thomas - 1 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 96 4.8 8.3 0.0 0.0 0 1.55 0.0 0.0
Kade Van Asten - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -32 -4.6 -230.6 0 0 0 -0.85 0 0
Logan Bahr - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Max Buslee - 20 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Luke Graff - 20 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Avery Houden - 20 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Turner Thompson - 20 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -16 -5.3 -31.2 0 0 0 -1.02 0 0
Noah Christensen - 1 10.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 1 0.5 0.5 0 0 0 0.42 0 0
Erik Foster - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Zach Jackson - 1 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -29 -5.8 -12.5 0.0 0 0 0.21 0.0 0.0
Will Perkins - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG