Grinnell
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1078 (#95) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1092 (#111) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.1 (#132) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.738 (#341) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.880 (#90) | NetEff +14.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.507 (#379) | AdjNet +0.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.499 (#379) | AdjNet -0.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.486 (#379) | AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 63.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Cent. Christian (KS) | W | 78 - 50 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | St. Olaf | W | 69 - 62 |
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Central (IA) | L | 72 - 74 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Rockford | W | 72 - 67 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | W | 73 - 49 |
| 2024-11-22 | vs | Maranatha Baptist | W | 106 - 35 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Buena Vista | L | 60 - 77 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | Crown (MN) | W | 61 - 35 |
| 2024-12-03 | vs | Knox | W | 67 - 65 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Lawrence | L | 48 - 54 |
| 2024-12-11 | @ | Cornell College | L | 53 - 54 |
| 2024-12-13 | @ | Coe | L | 61 - 80 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Lake Forest | W | 73 - 61 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Ripon | W | 71 - 58 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Lawrence | L | 53 - 54 |
| 2025-01-14 | @ | Beloit | W | 70 - 40 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Monmouth (IL) | W | 82 - 62 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Ripon | L | 47 - 50 |
| 2025-01-28 | @ | Knox | W | 80 - 70 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Illinois Col. | W | 65 - 59 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Cornell College | W | 69 - 49 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Lake Forest | W | 71 - 45 |
| 2025-02-11 | @ | Illinois Col. | W | 72 - 49 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Beloit | W | 82 - 49 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Monmouth (IL) | W | 67 - 52 |
| 2025-02-28 | @ | Lawrence | W | 68 - 50 |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | Ripon | L | 47 - 67 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Strovers | - | 27 | 27.3 | 12.9 | 8.7 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 10.2 | 11.1 | 51 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 40.6 | 35.6 | 78.0 | 0.09 | 55.1 | 50.2 |
| Nikki Ware | - | 27 | 25.8 | 12.7 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 8.7 | 8.7 | 72 | 2.7 | 3.9 | 40.2 | 44.6 | 86.9 | 0.27 | 61.0 | 53.4 |
| Sara Booher | - | 27 | 24.9 | 10.4 | 10.6 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 8.1 | 16.6 | 77 | 2.9 | 4.0 | 50.7 | 0.0 | 62.1 | 0.4 | 53.9 | 50.7 |
| Cassidy Pak | - | 27 | 17.3 | 6.8 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 6.7 | 1.5 | 12 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 34.6 | 22.7 | 64.2 | -0.33 | 43.5 | 38.7 |
| Adriana Perez | - | 23 | 10.4 | 5.8 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.8 | 3.1 | 38 | 1.8 | 3.6 | 32.4 | 23.1 | 76.9 | 0.39 | 48.0 | 37.8 |
| Skylar Thomas | - | 27 | 23.7 | 5.5 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 5.7 | 3.9 | 103 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 31.0 | 29.3 | 65.5 | 0.59 | 41.6 | 36.5 |
| Nora Lynch | - | 27 | 17.1 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.1 | 4.3 | 46 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 43.5 | 32.1 | 65.2 | -0.41 | 55.7 | 53.5 |
| Amelia Rigel | - | 27 | 5.4 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 40.3 | 25.8 | 81.8 | 0.04 | 50.8 | 45.5 |
| Juniper Schwartzman | - | 25 | 13.4 | 2.6 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 4.7 | 37 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 45.5 | 0 | 59.1 | 0.01 | 52.1 | 45.5 |
| Carolyn Pierce | - | 17 | 6.4 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 8 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 36.4 | 31.8 | 84.6 | -0.21 | 54.2 | 47.0 |
| Kelsey Ericksen | - | 19 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 41.4 | 46.2 | 0.0 | 0.15 | 60.2 | 62.1 |
| Grace Marsh | - | 27 | 17.7 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 44 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 26.1 | 18.5 | 20.0 | -0.01 | 31.1 | 31.5 |
| Reese Stephens | - | 19 | 6.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 20 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 36.8 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.29 | 45.3 | 47.4 |
| Eleanor Cordes | - | 19 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 28.6 | - | 37.1 | 40.0 |
| Jenna Keller | - | 12 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 20.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Emily Roesler | - | 26 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 38.7 | 33.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG