Grinnell
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1078 (#95) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1092 (#111) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.9 (#151) | HCA +2.4 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-11 | @ | Crown (MN) | W | 77 - 45 |
| 2023-11-15 | vs | Central (IA) | L | 57 - 62 |
| 2023-11-17 | vs | Coe | L | 63 - 73 |
| 2023-11-19 | vs | Waldorf | W | 74 - 70 |
| 2023-11-21 | @ | Buena Vista | W | 79 - 68 |
| 2023-11-25 | vs | Lake Forest | W | 64 - 40 |
| 2023-11-28 | @ | Knox | W | 71 - 55 |
| 2023-12-02 | vs | Lawrence | L | 58 - 62 |
| 2023-12-06 | vs | Cornell College | W | 72 - 65 |
| 2023-12-10 | vs | Saint Benedict | W | 70 - 63 |
| 2023-12-29 | @ | Wis.-Stevens Point | L | 48 - 67 |
| 2023-12-30 | vs | Keene St. | W | 46 - 33 |
| 2024-01-04 | @ | Ripon | L | 46 - 50 |
| 2024-01-06 | @ | Lawrence | L | 59 - 62 |
| 2024-01-10 | vs | Beloit | W | 65 - 57 |
| 2024-01-17 | @ | Monmouth (IL) | W | 82 - 74 |
| 2024-01-20 | vs | Ripon | L | 57 - 74 |
| 2024-01-23 | vs | Knox | W | 97 - 91 |
| 2024-01-27 | @ | Illinois Col. | L | 55 - 61 |
| 2024-01-31 | @ | Cornell College | W | 59 - 44 |
| 2024-02-03 | @ | Lake Forest | L | 62 - 83 |
| 2024-02-07 | vs | Illinois Col. | W | 78 - 63 |
| 2024-02-14 | @ | Beloit | L | 52 - 54 |
| 2024-02-17 | vs | Monmouth (IL) | W | 83 - 71 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Lillis | - | 24 | 34.0 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 3.8 | 15.5 | 6.8 | - | - | - | 38.3 | 23.0 | 78.8 | -0.1 | 47.1 | 40.2 |
| Sara Booher | - | 24 | 23.2 | 10.7 | 9.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 8.6 | 13.9 | - | - | - | 52.4 | 0.0 | 51.9 | - | 53.4 | 52.4 |
| Nikki Ware | - | 24 | 29.0 | 9.6 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 7.9 | 6.7 | - | - | - | 40.2 | 34.8 | 84.2 | -0.07 | 54.0 | 48.4 |
| Bailey Strovers | - | 24 | 17.6 | 7.1 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 4.9 | 7.7 | -17 | -3.4 | -8.2 | 44.4 | 36.2 | 75.4 | -0.22 | 59.4 | 53.4 |
| Eva Carchidi | - | 24 | 24.3 | 6.3 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 5.6 | 4.8 | - | - | - | 38.5 | 36.6 | 70.0 | - | 54.5 | 53.7 |
| Carolyn Pierce | - | 22 | 14.7 | 5.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 5.1 | 1.9 | -44 | -4.4 | -8.2 | 35.4 | 35.2 | 66.7 | -0.46 | 51.4 | 49.1 |
| Skylar Thomas | - | 24 | 19.9 | 4.0 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 5.1 | 2.1 | -16 | -1.6 | -2.1 | 27.9 | 22.8 | 53.3 | 0.04 | 35.9 | 33.2 |
| Grace Marsh | - | 22 | 16.6 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 3.8 | - | - | - | 36.1 | 37.0 | 58.3 | - | 47.5 | 44.3 |
| Reese Stephens | - | 24 | 8.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 20 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 26.7 | 21.1 | 66.7 | 0.41 | 39.7 | 33.3 |
| Aiyana Rockwell | - | 24 | 14.5 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 2.1 | - | - | - | 19.5 | 18.2 | 56.2 | -0.02 | 30.2 | 24.4 |
| Juniper Schwartzman | - | 24 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | -21 | -2.3 | -2.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.11 | 42.9 | 0.0 |
| P.K. Hall | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Meezan Hamzavi | - | 23 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Elena Friedman | - | 15 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kelsey Ericksen | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Bella Arco | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Eleanor Cordes | - | 13 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG