Grinnell
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1171 (#10) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1174 (#30) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.3 (#50) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.839 (#279) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.810 (#123) | NetEff +13.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.558 (#334) | AdjNet +2.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.500 (#349) | AdjNet -0.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.585 (#299) | AdjO 102.9 | AdjD 99.1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Kalamazoo | L | 115 - 130 |
| 2024-11-10 | @ | Alma | W | 124 - 79 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Principia | W | 126 - 89 |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | Wartburg | L | 111 - 123 |
| 2024-11-22 | vs | Maranatha Baptist | W | 135 - 79 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Macalester | W | 133 - 92 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | Greenville | W | 125 - 101 |
| 2024-12-03 | vs | Knox | W | 107 - 101 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Lawrence | W | 110 - 78 |
| 2024-12-11 | @ | Cornell College | W | 105 - 93 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Blackburn | W | 120 - 79 |
| 2024-12-30 | vs | Northland | W | 137 - 75 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Lake Forest | L | 116 - 127 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Ripon | W | 99 - 97 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Lawrence | W | 109 - 86 |
| 2025-01-14 | @ | Beloit | W | 105 - 104 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Monmouth (IL) | L | 99 - 102 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Ripon | L | 85 - 102 |
| 2025-01-28 | @ | Knox | W | 107 - 88 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Illinois Col. | W | 123 - 110 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Cornell College | W | 114 - 94 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Lake Forest | W | 137 - 130 |
| 2025-02-11 | @ | Illinois Col. | L | 71 - 109 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Beloit | W | 109 - 79 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Monmouth (IL) | L | 97 - 100 |
| 2025-02-28 | vs | Illinois Col. | W | 86 - 81 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Lake Forest | W | 82 - 0 |
| 2025-03-07 | @ | Wis.-Platteville | L | 97 - 125 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristian Rodriguez | - | 1 | 26.0 | 25.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 75.0 | 0 | 25.0 | 0.58 | 70.4 | 75.0 |
| Kai Te Huki | - | 27 | 17.4 | 19.9 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 15.4 | 7.3 | 108 | 5.1 | 28.6 | 42.9 | 33.6 | 76.1 | 0.58 | 57.9 | 54.6 |
| Gabe Garcia | - | 24 | 15.2 | 19.1 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 13.6 | 9.3 | 27 | 3.0 | 8.7 | 42.8 | 27.4 | 77.9 | 0.46 | 55.2 | 46.3 |
| Alex Knight | - | 1 | 32.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 12.0 | -71 | -5.1 | -8.2 | 35.7 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.41 | 40.0 | 35.7 |
| Harris Dar | - | 26 | 14.5 | 10.7 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 8.2 | 9.0 | -44 | -4.4 | -15.9 | 44.8 | 21.2 | 57.4 | 0.26 | 50.7 | 46.5 |
| Sean Murphy | - | 27 | 13.8 | 9.5 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 6.7 | 5.4 | -30 | -3.0 | -11.1 | 41.2 | 38.2 | 77.8 | 0.99 | 62.5 | 59.1 |
| Luke Arington | - | 1 | 13.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | -17 | -2.1 | -9.8 | 28.6 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 0.24 | 51.4 | 42.9 |
| Alex Brown | - | 1 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | -45 | -4.1 | -9.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.41 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Elijah Bull | - | 1 | 36.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | -63 | -4.8 | -7.4 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.0 | 59.2 | 60.0 |
| Michael Michaud | - | 1 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | -18 | -2.6 | -6.1 | 80.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| Jordan Lee | - | 26 | 12.6 | 7.2 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.1 | 4.2 | -64 | -6.4 | -26.0 | 29.7 | 28.8 | 66.0 | -0.21 | 45.2 | 41.6 |
| Nick Lundy | - | 25 | 11.5 | 7.2 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 5.7 | 5.8 | 88 | 5.5 | 38.5 | 51.0 | 28.4 | 72.7 | 0.72 | 59.3 | 57.7 |
| Jackson Leone | - | 26 | 15.7 | 6.8 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 5.2 | 9.0 | -23 | -2.6 | -7.2 | 41.2 | 38.1 | 60.0 | -0.47 | 57.3 | 55.9 |
| John Vincent | - | 27 | 11.6 | 6.6 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 3.9 | 7.9 | 13 | 0.7 | 5.0 | 70.2 | 50.0 | 62.5 | 0.03 | 70.7 | 70.7 |
| Alex Forowycz | - | 1 | 29.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | -2.0 | 29 | 1.3 | 3.8 | 11.1 | 20.0 | 100.0 | 0.47 | 25.3 | 16.7 |
| Coltrane Marchand | - | 1 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 5 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.25 | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Tolu Johnson | - | 26 | 15.3 | 4.2 | 5.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 9.2 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 57.6 | 50.0 | 58.8 | 0.5 | 61.6 | 59.8 |
| Strahinja Nikolic | - | 26 | 8.3 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 98 | 6.5 | 67.5 | 45.5 | 27.5 | 43.8 | 0.15 | 51.6 | 51.7 |
| Sean Walser | - | 26 | 10.3 | 3.7 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 4.2 | 112 | 6.2 | 35.0 | 54.0 | 43.9 | 81.8 | 0.34 | 70.0 | 68.3 |
| Zach Rosen | - | 22 | 10.9 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.8 | 46 | 2.3 | 13.5 | 46.2 | 30.3 | 55.0 | 0.17 | 54.9 | 53.8 |
| David Bluder | - | 27 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 3.1 | 0.6 | -45 | -6.4 | -103.4 | 36.1 | 24.6 | 75.0 | -0.37 | 46.2 | 44.6 |
| Mitch Priest | - | 27 | 6.3 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 16 | 1.8 | 8.2 | 45.8 | 43.4 | 50.0 | 0.3 | 65.1 | 65.3 |
| Nick Courtney | - | 26 | 11.4 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 4.2 | 3 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 34.0 | 17.2 | 71.4 | -0.02 | 43.6 | 39.0 |
| Max DeGeorge | - | 27 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 | -10 | -1.7 | -11.4 | 34.2 | 30.6 | 0 | -0.08 | 48.7 | 48.7 |
| Carson DeBruhl | - | 27 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 2 | 0.2 | 5.7 | 27.8 | 21.4 | 40.0 | -0.43 | 36.6 | 36.1 |
| Dillon Gestring | - | 27 | 5.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1.6 | -12 | -2.0 | -12.5 | 27.6 | 17.6 | 72.7 | -0.12 | 39.9 | 32.8 |
| Jack Ruhanen | - | 27 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 | 6.6 | 30.0 | 12.5 | 57.1 | -0.51 | 36.8 | 32.5 |
| Tanner Deal | - | 27 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 21.4 | 21.4 | 100.0 | - | 37.0 | 32.1 |
| Matthew Amarante | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Bochicchio | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.2 | -5.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.65 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew DeFalco | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jude Love | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Miles Burton | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| John Mayhew | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -17 | -1.2 | -102.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Nikolas Popovic | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -0.2 | -43.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.24 | 0 | 0 |
| Sagith Vargas | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Noe Vargas Rubio | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Marko Visnjevac | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | 25 | 1.7 | 79.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.52 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG