Greenville
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 897 (#408) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 751 (#556) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 870 (#638) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -16.0 (#329) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -21.9 (#622) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.404 (#490) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.074 (#500) | NetEff -17.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.099 (#547) | AdjNet -19.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.090 (#546) | AdjNet -19.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.232 (#554) | AdjO 58.2 | AdjD 71.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.213 (#658) | AdjO 54.8 | AdjD 69.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.125 (#649) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.133 (#647) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 737 (#520) | RD 103 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Loras | L | 51 - 69 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Monmouth (IL) | W | 66 - 51 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Illinois Col. | L | 66 - 79 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | WashU | L | 32 - 91 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Concordia Wisconsin | L | 48 - 56 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Augustana (IL) | L | 45 - 66 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Spalding | W | 61 - 51 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Rose-Hulman | L | 50 - 75 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | North Central (MN) | L | 64 - 69 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Centre | L | 60 - 73 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Westminster (MO) | L | 55 - 68 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Webster | L | 64 - 86 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Blackburn | W | 71 - 70 |
| 2026-01-26 | @ | Eureka | W | 70 - 54 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | MUW | W | 68 - 64 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Lyon | L | 78 - 84 |
| 2026-02-03 | @ | Principia | L | 55 - 69 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia deJesus | - | 10 | 26.5 | 10.7 | 8.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 10.8 | 7.9 | -52 | -3.7 | -25.3 | 42.6 | 21.4 | 60.0 | -1.59 | 45.8 | 44.0 |
| Alyssa Seymour | - | 17 | 22.9 | 9.0 | 6.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 6.4 | 8.6 | 21 | 1.0 | 9.4 | 47.7 | 0.0 | 71.0 | -1.44 | 54.9 | 47.7 |
| Rylee Hipp | - | 5 | 19.9 | 7.6 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 6.4 | 4.6 | -7 | -1.8 | -5.7 | 53.1 | 27.3 | 25.0 | -2.08 | 56.3 | 57.8 |
| Amelia Shoemaker | - | 17 | 22.6 | 7.4 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 5.1 | 7.8 | 23 | 1.1 | 13.5 | 44.2 | 31.6 | 69.1 | -0.27 | 57.2 | 51.2 |
| Morgan Alexander | - | 16 | 24.8 | 6.9 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 5.8 | 3.3 | -16 | -0.9 | -6.3 | 41.9 | 32.7 | 70.8 | -0.41 | 53.6 | 50.5 |
| Trinity Wade | - | 16 | 15.8 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 6.4 | 0.2 | -49 | -2.5 | -27.6 | 32.0 | 6.2 | 58.8 | 0.42 | 37.3 | 33.0 |
| Cortney Brummer | - | 15 | 17.2 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 4.4 | 6.0 | 10 | 0.6 | 7.9 | 43.9 | 11.1 | 57.6 | -1.8 | 48.4 | 44.7 |
| Adeline Goheen | - | 10 | 17.9 | 5.1 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 36.8 | 38.5 | 69.2 | 1.78 | 51.6 | 43.4 |
| Mya Mann | - | 13 | 22.5 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 7.5 | 0.3 | -16 | -0.9 | -7.0 | 16.3 | 6.9 | 82.4 | -1.39 | 27.4 | 17.3 |
| Baylie Joiner | - | 13 | 12.8 | 4.2 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 4.6 | 2.1 | -106 | -7.1 | -87.2 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 65.0 | -0.3 | 40.0 | 35.0 |
| Lera Schmeink | - | 8 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 41 | 4.1 | 69.6 | 40.7 | 28.6 | 57.1 | 1.03 | 48.3 | 44.4 |
| Maddi Basterretxea | - | 14 | 16.8 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 0.9 | -48 | -2.7 | -73.6 | 30.2 | 35.0 | 70.0 | -0.45 | 42.2 | 38.4 |
| Dru Clark | - | 7 | 11.0 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 3.3 | 4.0 | 14 | 1.6 | 57.1 | 30.4 | 0 | 37.5 | -1.2 | 33.3 | 30.4 |
| Alaina Maurer | - | 4 | 6.2 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 1.5 | -2 | -0.3 | -5.5 | 25.0 | 0 | 66.7 | -0.54 | 41.8 | 25.0 |
| Skylar Sweeney | - | 8 | 15.2 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.8 | -2 | -0.2 | -3.2 | 21.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.1 | 34.2 | 28.6 |
| Kylah Parkhill | - | 5 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 | -5 | -0.8 | -35.1 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.86 | 58.3 | 58.3 |
| Shasta Whitmore | - | 5 | 5.6 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | -4 | -0.7 | -30.9 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.91 | 31.1 | 14.3 |
| Lucia Caballero | - | 6 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | -2 | -0.3 | -17.1 | 20.0 | 12.5 | 50.0 | 0.2 | 27.6 | 25.0 |
| Matia Price | - | 3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | -41 | -2.6 | -22.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.8 | 69.4 | 100.0 |
| Sierra Ramos | - | 4 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | -0.2 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Greenlee Dust | - | 3 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Alizza Quinones | - | 1 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG