Greensboro Swarm
Model Outputs
2017-2018
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 817 (#24) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 885 (#24) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.0 (#25) | HCA +1.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.348 (#23) | - |
2018 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-11-04 | vs | CTN | W | 123 - 88 |
| 2017-11-07 | @ | FWN | L | 96 - 105 |
| 2017-11-09 | @ | LIN | W | 96 - 92 |
| 2017-11-14 | vs | ERI | L | 108 - 123 |
| 2017-11-17 | @ | WES | L | 86 - 95 |
| 2017-11-18 | @ | ERI | L | 92 - 106 |
| 2017-11-20 | @ | RAP | W | 109 - 90 |
| 2017-11-24 | vs | WES | L | 107 - 117 |
| 2017-11-26 | @ | MNE | L | 111 - 135 |
| 2017-11-28 | vs | CTN | L | 113 - 114 |
| 2017-11-30 | vs | NAS | L | 115 - 140 |
| 2017-12-02 | @ | OKL | L | 87 - 110 |
| 2017-12-04 | @ | DEL | W | 103 - 91 |
| 2017-12-08 | vs | RNO | W | 132 - 126 |
| 2017-12-09 | @ | MHU | L | 94 - 112 |
| 2017-12-15 | vs | RAP | W | 107 - 106 |
| 2017-12-18 | @ | FWN | L | 124 - 127 |
| 2017-12-22 | vs | WCB | W | 105 - 101 |
| 2017-12-23 | vs | LAK | L | 102 - 106 |
| 2017-12-26 | vs | WIS | W | 103 - 96 |
| 2017-12-28 | vs | WIS | L | 115 - 125 |
| 2017-12-30 | @ | IWA | L | 86 - 95 |
| 2018-01-05 | vs | DEL | L | 84 - 97 |
| 2018-01-06 | vs | SCW | L | 102 - 116 |
| 2018-01-10 | vs | ACC | L | 86 - 98 |
| 2018-01-12 | @ | TEX | L | 92 - 109 |
| 2018-01-17 | @ | WIS | W | 122 - 109 |
| 2018-01-19 | vs | RAP | L | 92 - 99 |
| 2018-01-23 | @ | LAK | L | 113 - 116 |
| 2018-01-25 | @ | MNE | L | 100 - 110 |
| 2018-01-27 | @ | CTN | W | 106 - 99 |
| 2018-02-02 | @ | WES | L | 93 - 107 |
| 2018-02-07 | vs | FWN | W | 118 - 102 |
| 2018-02-09 | vs | LAK | L | 116 - 120 |
| 2018-02-10 | vs | ERI | L | 104 - 105 |
| 2018-02-12 | @ | DEL | W | 119 - 114 |
| 2018-02-21 | @ | LAK | W | 98 - 88 |
| 2018-02-23 | vs | GRD | L | 118 - 123 |
| 2018-02-25 | vs | LIN | L | 122 - 125 |
| 2018-02-28 | @ | ERI | L | 122 - 129 |
| 2018-03-02 | @ | SXF | L | 107 - 121 |
| 2018-03-04 | vs | MNE | W | 109 - 100 |
| 2018-03-09 | vs | WCB | L | 99 - 105 |
| 2018-03-10 | vs | GRD | W | 110 - 106 |
| 2018-03-13 | @ | RAP | L | 92 - 110 |
| 2018-03-16 | vs | DEL | L | 122 - 124 |
| 2018-03-18 | @ | LIN | L | 93 - 126 |
| 2018-03-20 | vs | SBL | W | 110 - 108 |
| 2018-03-23 | @ | GRD | L | 97 - 116 |
| 2018-03-24 | @ | WCB | L | 90 - 108 |
2018 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwayne Bacon | G | 4 | 0.0 | 26.5 | 6.8 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 26.0 | 10.2 | - | - | - | 42.3 | 36.0 | 90.0 | - | 48.9 | 46.6 |
| Malik Monk | G | 1 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 27.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 46.3 | 46.3 |
| Damien Wilkins | G | 15 | 0.0 | 23.5 | 6.3 | 4.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 15.3 | 17.8 | - | - | - | 49.1 | 43.2 | 90.4 | - | 63.8 | 56.1 |
| Jalen Jones | F | 12 | 0.0 | 20.2 | 7.3 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 14.8 | 14.4 | - | - | - | 44.6 | 25.0 | 79.3 | - | 55.9 | 48.0 |
| Archie Goodwin | G | 7 | 0.0 | 17.6 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 3.4 | 13.1 | 9.1 | - | - | - | 41.3 | 33.3 | 76.8 | - | 52.7 | 43.5 |
| Cat Barber | G | 29 | 0.0 | 16.9 | 3.4 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 13.9 | 9.8 | - | - | - | 43.7 | 30.3 | 79.7 | - | 52.7 | 47.0 |
| Marcus Paige | G | 46 | 0.0 | 15.2 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 12.3 | 9.6 | - | - | - | 42.7 | 37.4 | 84.7 | - | 56.7 | 53.1 |
| Charles Cooke | G | 16 | 0.0 | 15.1 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 11.7 | 8.7 | - | - | - | 48.7 | 31.6 | 66.1 | - | 56.2 | 53.5 |
| Terry Henderson | G | 42 | 0.0 | 11.3 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 9.4 | 7.3 | - | - | - | 40.3 | 38.8 | 78.9 | - | 55.2 | 52.3 |
| Mangok Mathiang | F | 43 | 0.0 | 10.8 | 9.2 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 8.8 | 12.6 | - | - | - | 50.9 | 0.0 | 64.3 | - | 53.8 | 50.9 |
| Roscoe Smith | F | 21 | 0.0 | 10.5 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 8.4 | 7.2 | - | - | - | 44.9 | 19.2 | 81.7 | - | 53.3 | 46.3 |
| Sam Thompson | G | 43 | 0.0 | 9.5 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 8.5 | 6.7 | - | - | - | 43.6 | 27.8 | 79.7 | - | 51.9 | 48.6 |
| T.J. Williams | G | 37 | 0.0 | 8.8 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 8.4 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 21.1 | 68.1 | - | 46.1 | 41.9 |
| Julyan Stone | G | 5 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 5.4 | 7.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 8.2 | 11.2 | - | - | - | 29.3 | 23.8 | 60.0 | - | 38.5 | 35.4 |
| L.G. Gill | F | 50 | 0.0 | 6.6 | 4.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 4.4 | 6.7 | - | - | - | 58.3 | 33.3 | 74.5 | - | 62.8 | 58.5 |
| Luke Petrasek | F | 50 | 0.0 | 6.4 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6.2 | 6.8 | - | - | - | 38.6 | 35.1 | 89.5 | - | 50.7 | 49.4 |
| Cole Huff | F | 33 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 3.8 | 4.2 | - | - | - | 38.6 | 31.5 | 86.4 | - | 56.4 | 50.0 |
| John Dawson | G | 37 | 0.0 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 4.1 | 3.2 | - | - | - | 39.3 | 36.5 | 100.0 | - | 52.5 | 52.0 |
| Brent Arrington | - | 3 | 0.0 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 61.1 | 61.1 |
| Coron Williams | G | 10 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.3 | 2.4 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 26.1 | 71.4 | - | 48.5 | 45.5 |
| Dominic James | - | 11 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 2.2 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 40.5 | 40.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG