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Green Bay

Season:
Also known as: Green Bay Phoenix, Green Bay
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 1986 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 966 (#206) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1014 (#166) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1039 (#124) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -3.5 (#214) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +13.0 (#185) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.425 (#223) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -10.6 More → 0.278 (#247) NetEff -10.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.6 More → 0.372 (#216) AdjNet -4.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.6 More → 0.369 (#215) AdjNet -4.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 75.0 More → 0.407 (#224) AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 75.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 70.2 More → 0.563 (#163) AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 70.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.742 (#184) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.710 (#181) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 144 | GP 31 More → 1076 (#165) RD 144 | GP 31

1986 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

1986 Roster

No roster data available for this season.