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Green Bay

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Green Bay Phoenix, Green Bay
Program History
Coach: Doug Gottlieb

2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)

77.5
PPG
72.0
Opp
+5.5
Margin
48.2%
FG%
36.2%
3P%
73.0%
FT%
33.0
RPG
15.8
APG
13.3
TO
67.1
Est. poss./game
72.1
Adj PPG
68.0
Adj Opp PPG
#123
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 957 (returning production + recruiting): last season 956, returning -4, transfers +35, freshmen -30 More → 968 (#152) Preseason prior 957 (returning production + recruiting): last season 956, returning -4, transfers +35, freshmen -30
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +218 elo More → 1001 (#146) HCA +218 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +218 elo More → 1006 (#139) HCA +218 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.1 More → -1.1 (#169) HCA +2.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.1 More → -1.1 (#171) HCA +2.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.367 (#200) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.9 More → 0.444 (#184) AdjNet -3.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.8 More → 0.444 (#184) AdjNet -3.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 68.0 More → 0.547 (#123) AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 68.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 68.0 More → 0.550 (#118) AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 68.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.485 (#156) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.485 (#157) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 178 | GP 3 More → 976 (#170) RD 178 | GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.441 (#169) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Lawrence Vikings W 94 - 51
2026-11-05 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 64 - 81
2026-11-08 @ St. Thomas Tommies W 76 - 67
2026-11-10 @ Northern Iowa Panthers L 76 - 89
2026-11-13 vs Viterbo V-Hawks - Preview
2026-11-17 @ West Florida Argonauts - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Orlando Lovejoy Orlando Lovejoy G 4 29.0 13.0 3.5 2.8 1.0 0.0 2.8 8.8 8.8 - - - - 62.9 0 57.1 - 63.2 62.9
Ne'quan Brown Ne'quan Brown G 4 25.5 12.0 5.0 2.0 0.8 1.0 2.8 10.0 8.0 - - - - 40.0 35.0 90.0 - 54.1 48.8
Marcus Hall Marcus Hall F 4 30.8 11.2 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.2 1.2 8.0 7.0 - - - - 40.6 40.0 84.6 - 59.7 53.1
Ahmere Carson Ahmere Carson G 4 21.0 10.5 2.8 2.8 1.5 0.2 1.0 9.0 7.8 - - - - 41.7 17.6 81.8 - 51.4 45.8
Clarence Payia Clarence Payia G 4 15.5 7.8 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 4.8 5.5 - - - - 57.9 41.7 66.7 - 71.6 71.1
Isaiah Sutherland Isaiah Sutherland F 4 17.8 6.5 2.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 4.0 6.8 - - - - 56.2 57.1 0.0 - 79.1 81.2
Christian Burnett Christian Burnett G 1 8.0 6.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 4.0 - - - - 40.0 40.0 0 - 60.0 60.0
Keegan Van Kauwenberg Keegan Van Kauwenberg G 3 6.7 3.7 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 2.3 2.7 - - - - 57.1 50.0 0 - 78.6 78.6
Henry Gruetzmacher Henry Gruetzmacher F 1 13.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 - - - - 50.0 0 100.0 - 61.5 50.0
Maruan Cicic Maruan Cicic C 4 14.2 2.5 3.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.5 5.2 - - - - 66.7 0.0 50.0 - 64.4 66.7
Stewart Erhart II Stewart Erhart II G 4 7.2 2.2 1.0 1.5 0.8 0.0 0.5 1.8 3.2 - - - - 42.9 50.0 50.0 - 57.1 57.1
Tadej Colnaric Tadej Colnaric F 4 3.5 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.2 - - - - 50.0 0.0 75.0 - 60.8 50.0
Aidan Hadaway Aidan Hadaway F 4 7.0 1.8 2.0 0.5 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.8 2.0 - - - - 42.9 0.0 50.0 - 44.4 42.9
Lebron Thomas Lebron Thomas G 4 6.0 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.5 1.5 - - - - 33.3 0 100.0 - 47.8 33.3
Mac Wrecke Mac Wrecke G 4 10.5 1.5 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.8 - - - - 50.0 0.0 66.7 - 56.4 50.0
Brady Fitzgerald Brady Fitzgerald G 1 7.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

226 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Carson18% Lovejoy40% Lovejoy80% Lovejoy100% Colnaric100% Hall44% Sutherland40% Carson25% Burnett20% Hall20%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Lovejoy22% Lovejoy30% Thomas50% Brown50% Payia22% Carson29% Brown24% Carson45% Hall32%
Misses: who misses most here

Orlando LovejoyNe'quan BrownMarcus HallAhmere CarsonClarence PayiaIsaiah SutherlandChristian BurnettLebron ThomasTadej Colnaric

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 39-62 62.9 78 Ahmere Carson 18% (14 pts) Orlando Lovejoy 18% (14 pts) Orlando Lovejoy 22% (5 misses) Ahmere Carson 17% (4 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 25-48 52.1 50 Orlando Lovejoy 40% (20 pts) Ahmere Carson 20% (10 pts) Orlando Lovejoy 30% (7 misses) Ne'quan Brown 26% (6 misses)
Mid-range left 5-5 100.0 10 Orlando Lovejoy 80% (8 pts) Clarence Payia 20% (2 pts) - -
Mid-range center 1-3 33.3 2 Orlando Lovejoy 100% (2 pts) - Lebron Thomas 50% (1 misses) Orlando Lovejoy 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 1-3 33.3 2 Tadej Colnaric 100% (2 pts) - Ne'quan Brown 50% (1 misses) Stewart Erhart II 50% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 9-18 50.0 27 Marcus Hall 44% (12 pts) Isaiah Sutherland 22% (6 pts) Clarence Payia 22% (2 misses) Isaiah Sutherland 22% (2 misses)
Right corner 3 5-12 41.7 15 Isaiah Sutherland 40% (6 pts) Clarence Payia 20% (3 pts) Ahmere Carson 29% (2 misses) Aidan Hadaway 14% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 4-25 16.0 12 Ahmere Carson 25% (3 pts) Clarence Payia 25% (3 pts) Ne'quan Brown 24% (5 misses) Ahmere Carson 19% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 center 5-16 31.2 15 Christian Burnett 20% (3 pts) Isaiah Sutherland 20% (3 pts) Ahmere Carson 45% (5 misses) Ne'quan Brown 18% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 15-34 44.1 45 Marcus Hall 20% (9 pts) Ne'quan Brown 20% (9 pts) Marcus Hall 32% (6 misses) Ahmere Carson 16% (3 misses)