Green Bay
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1200 (#75) | Preseason prior 1213 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1109, returning +82, transfers +22, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1125 (#77) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1122 (#77) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +12.1 (#77) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +12.0 (#78) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.741 (#103) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.750 (#79) | AdjNet +11.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.772 (#75) | AdjNet +12.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.723 (#67) | AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 57.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.721 (#67) | AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 57.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.734 (#79) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.734 (#79) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1114 (#90) | RD 181 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.756 (#78) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | @ | Duke Blue Devils | L | 60 - 76 |
| 2026-11-07 | vs | Loyola Chicago Ramblers | W | 82 - 48 |
| 2026-11-11 | @ | Illinois State Redbirds | L | 66 - 75 |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | Wisconsin Badgers | W | 81 - 76 |
| 2026-11-18 | vs | Texas Longhorns | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maddy Skorupski
|
G | 4 | 35.0 | 16.0 | 4.2 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 10.8 | 18.0 | 9 | 3 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 41.9 | 42.9 | 96.2 | 2.64 | 58.8 | 45.3 |
McKenna Johnson
|
G | 4 | 20.5 | 11.2 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 7.8 | 5.8 | -23 | 3 | -7.7 | -21.0 | 48.4 | 47.6 | 71.4 | -5.24 | 66.0 | 64.5 |
Elisa Mevius
|
G | 4 | 32.8 | 9.2 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 9.0 | 8.0 | -4 | 3 | -1.3 | -1.8 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 0.93 | 46.3 | 38.9 |
Kristina Ouimette
|
G | 4 | 25.2 | 8.8 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 7.5 | 5.0 | -7 | 3 | -2.3 | -3.7 | 43.3 | 39.1 | 0 | -0.05 | 58.3 | 58.3 |
Meghan Schultz
|
F | 4 | 17.0 | 8.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 7.2 | 2.0 | 12 | 3 | 4.0 | 10.9 | 51.7 | 0 | 75.0 | 2.54 | 53.6 | 51.7 |
Jorey Buwalda
|
F | 4 | 18.2 | 7.0 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 6.0 | 2.8 | 10 | 3 | 3.3 | 6.5 | 45.8 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.41 | 50.9 | 45.8 |
Maren Westin
|
G | 4 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 4.5 | 31 | 3 | 10.3 | 22.6 | 45.5 | 33.3 | 80.0 | 0.91 | 60.6 | 54.5 |
Gracie Grzesk
|
F | 4 | 18.8 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 12 | 3 | 4.0 | 9.5 | 25.0 | 12.5 | 100.0 | 1.18 | 31.1 | 27.5 |
Ady Ketterhagen
|
G | 4 | 10.2 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 34 | 3 | 11.3 | 37.5 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 54.5 | 3.83 | 46.1 | 33.3 |
Lillie Johnson
|
G | 2 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 5 | 2 | 2.5 | 32.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.05 | 106.4 | 100.0 |
Sophie Lahti
|
F | 2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -0.93 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
Julianna Ouimette
|
G | 2 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 113.6 | 0 |
Riley Ketterhagen
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Kyrin Lile
|
F | 3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | -1 | 2 | -0.5 | -16.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.91 | 0 | 0 |
Madison Hoffmann
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Kallie Peppler
|
G | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.15 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
234 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
McKenna JohnsonMaddy SkorupskiKristina OuimetteMeghan SchultzElisa MeviusGracie GrzeskAdy Ketterhagen
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 40-76 | 52.6 | 80 | Meghan Schultz 25% (20 pts) | Jorey Buwalda 22% (18 pts) | Meghan Schultz 22% (8 misses) | Elisa Mevius 17% (6 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 20-45 | 44.4 | 40 | Maddy Skorupski 25% (10 pts) | Meghan Schultz 20% (8 pts) | Maddy Skorupski 44% (11 misses) | Jorey Buwalda 16% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 4-13 | 30.8 | 8 | Kristina Ouimette 50% (4 pts) | Maddy Skorupski 50% (4 pts) | Kristina Ouimette 22% (2 misses) | McKenna Johnson 22% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-4 | 50.0 | 4 | Elisa Mevius 100% (4 pts) | - | Maddy Skorupski 50% (1 misses) | Meghan Schultz 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 3-10 | 30.0 | 6 | Gracie Grzesk 33% (2 pts) | Maddy Skorupski 33% (2 pts) | Maddy Skorupski 43% (3 misses) | Elisa Mevius 29% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-9 | 33.3 | 9 | McKenna Johnson 67% (6 pts) | Maren Westin 33% (3 pts) | Ady Ketterhagen 33% (2 misses) | Maren Westin 33% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 3-5 | 60.0 | 9 | Kristina Ouimette 67% (6 pts) | McKenna Johnson 33% (3 pts) | Gracie Grzesk 50% (1 misses) | McKenna Johnson 50% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 12-31 | 38.7 | 36 | McKenna Johnson 42% (15 pts) | Kristina Ouimette 17% (6 pts) | Elisa Mevius 42% (8 misses) | Kristina Ouimette 32% (6 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 5-19 | 26.3 | 15 | Elisa Mevius 40% (6 pts) | Kristina Ouimette 40% (6 pts) | Gracie Grzesk 21% (3 misses) | Jorey Buwalda 21% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 6-22 | 27.3 | 18 | Kristina Ouimette 50% (9 pts) | McKenna Johnson 33% (6 pts) | Kristina Ouimette 38% (6 misses) | McKenna Johnson 31% (5 misses) |