Grand Valley St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1369 (#1) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1412 (#1) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1242 (#4) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +37.0 (#2) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +30.1 (#34) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.991 (#119) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.993 (#72) | NetEff +37.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.999 (#15) | AdjNet +58.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.999 (#16) | AdjNet +58.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.970 (#18) | AdjO 84.0 | AdjD 45.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.906 (#2) | AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 51.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.965 (#4) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.960 (#4) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1416 (#2) | RD 118 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | vs | West Tex. A&M | W | 73 - 59 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Walsh | W | 69 - 44 |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Ohio Dominican | W | 67 - 49 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Findlay | W | 92 - 57 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Northwood | W | 81 - 56 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Lake Superior St. | W | 89 - 39 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Saginaw Valley | W | 92 - 45 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Quincy | W | 91 - 46 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Aquinas | W | 93 - 21 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Michigan Tech | W | 73 - 53 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Northern Mich. | W | 78 - 66 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Purdue Northwest | W | 89 - 61 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Davenport | W | 78 - 57 |
| 2026-01-19 | @ | Ferris St. | W | 88 - 59 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Wis.-Parkside | W | 66 - 47 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Roosevelt | W | 75 - 37 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Northern Mich. | W | 70 - 47 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Michigan Tech | W | 76 - 62 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Purdue Northwest | W | 91 - 44 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Wayne St. (MI) | L | 77 - 78 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Riley | - | 1 | 36.0 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 129 | 7.6 | 42.9 | 31.2 | 33.3 | 90.0 | 1.2 | 51.5 | 37.5 |
| Paige Vanstee | - | 18 | 22.1 | 14.7 | 6.6 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 11.5 | 12.8 | 122 | 5.5 | 24.1 | 47.8 | 24.0 | 80.6 | 1.25 | 55.8 | 50.7 |
| MacKenzie Bisballe | - | 17 | 18.7 | 14.3 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 11.4 | 9.6 | 120 | 6.3 | 27.5 | 52.6 | 31.8 | 71.1 | -1.05 | 56.8 | 54.4 |
| Kadyn Blanchard | - | 1 | 35.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 143 | 8.4 | 43.4 | 27.3 | 28.6 | 75.0 | 0.33 | 43.1 | 36.4 |
| Ava Scanlon | - | 16 | 14.0 | 9.2 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 5.6 | 7.6 | -10 | -0.6 | -2.7 | 56.7 | 50.0 | 69.8 | 1.99 | 62.4 | 57.2 |
| Nicole Kamin | - | 19 | 25.2 | 8.9 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 7.8 | 9.6 | 139 | 6.3 | 22.4 | 37.2 | 25.9 | 84.6 | 4.89 | 49.4 | 42.2 |
| Emma Schierbeek | - | 1 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 84 | 4.9 | 49.2 | 42.9 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 0.9 | 53.8 | 50.0 |
| Elle Irwin | - | 1 | 37.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 15.0 | 190 | 11.2 | 58.2 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 2.63 | 82.0 | 75.0 |
| Lexi Plitzuweit | - | 19 | 23.6 | 6.6 | 4.2 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 4.9 | 8.0 | 97 | 4.4 | 17.9 | 47.3 | 33.3 | 78.8 | 0.58 | 58.1 | 53.2 |
| Mya Hiram | - | 1 | 21.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 105 | 6.2 | 41.0 | 75.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Avery Zeinstra | - | 19 | 17.5 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 3.3 | 162 | 7.4 | 44.3 | 34.8 | 25.8 | 86.7 | 3.15 | 47.2 | 43.5 |
| Molly Anderson | - | 19 | 17.5 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 4.6 | 4.2 | 183 | 8.3 | 41.5 | 37.9 | 30.6 | 40.0 | 4.17 | 46.5 | 46.6 |
| Avery Lay | - | 19 | 12.7 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 5.7 | 67 | 3.2 | 30.1 | 52.8 | 38.9 | 72.7 | 2.27 | 63.0 | 59.4 |
| Tayla Dillard | - | 17 | 8.7 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 55 | 3.1 | 49.0 | 32.9 | 30.6 | 30.8 | -0.1 | 40.3 | 40.7 |
| Sydney Cherney | - | 16 | 8.2 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 4.0 | 40 | 2.2 | 40.1 | 45.5 | 40.0 | 81.2 | -2.1 | 66.2 | 60.6 |
| Reese Gayton | - | 6 | 11.7 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 3.5 | - | - | - | 43.8 | 0 | 54.5 | - | 48.0 | 43.8 |
| Lauren Slagle | - | 5 | 8.2 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 19 | 3.2 | 32.3 | 45.5 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0.74 | 55.0 | 54.5 |
| Ally Schultz | - | 1 | 21.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 23 | 1.4 | 18.4 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.89 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Anayya Davis | - | 19 | 14.3 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 65 | 3.1 | 26.5 | 28.0 | 15.0 | 70.0 | 1.52 | 34.6 | 32.0 |
| Jordyn Bonnema | - | 6 | 9.3 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 5 | 0.8 | 14.3 | 40.0 | 22.2 | 75.0 | 0.86 | 50.7 | 46.7 |
| Reese Gaytan | - | 7 | 8.3 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 41 | 5.9 | 50.1 | 53.8 | 0.0 | 55.6 | 4.37 | 56.0 | 53.8 |
| Kelly Kray | - | 17 | 8.7 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 90 | 5.0 | 130.2 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 71.4 | 0.03 | 42.0 | 39.0 |
| Emersen Berndt | - | 9 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 52 | 5.2 | 190.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -0.03 | 64.9 | 66.7 |
| Alyssa Wirth | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -17 | -1.5 | -22.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.36 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Madi Uyl | - | 4 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 9 | 2.2 | 62.2 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.29 | 90.2 | 83.3 |
| Ava Mallar | - | 4 | 6.9 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 12 | 3.0 | 170.4 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.77 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Charlotte Miller | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 41 | 2.4 | 14.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.48 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Melena Glysch | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40 | 2.9 | 47.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.61 | 0 | 0 |
| Grace Lyons | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 25 | 1.6 | 18.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.84 | 0 | 0 |
| Claire Erickson | - | 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -69 | -3.8 | -16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Mara Mitchell | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 52 | 3.2 | 35.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG