Grand Valley St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1073 (#74) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1074 (#106) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +13.8 (#44) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.678 (#234) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.653 (#140) | NetEff +5.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.937 (#89) | AdjNet +23.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.940 (#87) | AdjNet +23.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.834 (#89) | AdjO 84.2 | AdjD 66.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Walsh | W | 105 - 68 |
| 2024-11-10 | vs | Ashland | L | 66 - 68 |
| 2024-11-19 | @ | Lewis | W | 85 - 76 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Malone | W | 71 - 68 |
| 2024-11-27 | vs | Hillsdale | L | 63 - 67 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | Aquinas | W | 96 - 52 |
| 2024-12-05 | @ | Saginaw Valley | W | 81 - 68 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Wayne St. (MI) | W | 65 - 63 |
| 2024-12-16 | @ | UIndy | L | 86 - 88 |
| 2024-12-20 | vs | Ill. Springfield | L | 91 - 94 |
| 2025-01-02 | vs | Michigan Tech | L | 58 - 59 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Northern Mich. | L | 70 - 78 |
| 2025-01-09 | @ | Ferris St. | L | 63 - 77 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Lake Superior St. | L | 78 - 87 |
| 2025-01-16 | @ | Davenport | W | 62 - 60 |
| 2025-01-20 | @ | Roosevelt | W | 76 - 70 |
| 2025-01-23 | vs | Wis.-Parkside | W | 59 - 49 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Purdue Northwest | W | 83 - 64 |
| 2025-01-30 | @ | Northern Mich. | L | 52 - 79 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Michigan Tech | L | 66 - 81 |
| 2025-02-06 | vs | Lake Superior St. | W | 71 - 68 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Ferris St. | W | 94 - 62 |
| 2025-02-13 | @ | Purdue Northwest | W | 88 - 81 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Wis.-Parkside | L | 72 - 80 |
| 2025-02-20 | vs | Wayne St. (MI) | L | 66 - 67 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Saginaw Valley | W | 76 - 68 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | Davenport | W | 67 - 54 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Roosevelt | W | 106 - 51 |
| 2025-03-05 | @ | Northern Mich. | L | 72 - 85 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Erickson | - | 1 | 28.0 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 7.0 | -89 | -3.4 | -9.3 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.28 | 53.9 | 43.3 |
| Kaden Brown | - | 28 | 25.4 | 14.3 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 11.5 | 5.5 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 40.7 | 40.4 | 73.1 | 1.08 | 56.3 | 53.4 |
| Jalen Charity | - | 28 | 26.0 | 11.3 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 7.3 | 8.6 | -69 | -2.0 | -7.8 | 49.5 | 44.6 | 75.4 | 0.93 | 61.7 | 55.6 |
| William Dunn | - | 28 | 25.6 | 11.3 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 9.3 | 7.9 | -61 | -2.1 | -6.2 | 44.4 | 29.2 | 76.7 | 1.38 | 53.9 | 49.8 |
| Nathan Claerbaut | - | 1 | 21.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | -98 | -3.8 | -12.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 60.0 | 0.52 | 54.9 | 50.0 |
| Reece Hazelton | - | 1 | 25.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | -10 | -0.4 | -1.3 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.17 | 48.3 | 37.5 |
| Kenny Turner | - | 1 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | -63 | -21.0 | -800.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.32 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Mason Docks | - | 27 | 20.5 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 6.6 | 5.5 | -66 | -1.8 | -9.1 | 39.0 | 32.1 | 73.0 | 0.0 | 49.3 | 44.1 |
| Trevor Smith Jr. | - | 28 | 19.3 | 6.4 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 5.6 | 6.3 | -68 | -2.5 | -23.9 | 46.5 | 37.5 | 66.7 | 0.57 | 53.5 | 52.2 |
| Charles Turner | - | 28 | 12.7 | 5.9 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 4.8 | 5.1 | -37 | -1.2 | -17.8 | 39.6 | 34.7 | 77.4 | -0.0 | 55.5 | 52.2 |
| Ethan Alderink | - | 10 | 12.7 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3.6 | 4.4 | 15 | 1.1 | 7.5 | 55.6 | 50.0 | 81.8 | 0.09 | 66.1 | 62.5 |
| Trevon Gunter | - | 28 | 18.3 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 4.4 | 4.6 | -68 | -3.0 | -11.4 | 36.3 | 35.0 | 73.2 | 0.1 | 52.1 | 47.6 |
| Cam Regnerus | - | 28 | 14.8 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 7.1 | -92 | -2.9 | -14.9 | 56.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.75 | 59.9 | 56.0 |
| Shamus Thompson | - | 28 | 15.6 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 8.8 | 29 | 1.0 | 8.1 | 53.2 | 0 | 65.2 | 0.73 | 60.1 | 53.2 |
| Deng Reng | - | 1 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -121 | -4.8 | -16.7 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.11 | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Marcus Gray II | - | 27 | 7.3 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 0.0 | -24 | -1.1 | -18.6 | 31.3 | 27.3 | 70.0 | -0.19 | 40.6 | 38.1 |
| Donovan Brown-Boyd | - | 1 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -31 | -2.4 | -16.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.08 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Jimmy Scholler | - | 1 | 26.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | -101 | -4.0 | -12.7 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.44 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Javion Otten | - | 27 | 6.1 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 1.2 | -43 | -1.7 | -45.1 | 33.3 | 9.1 | 52.4 | -0.22 | 39.0 | 34.5 |
| Tom McNelis | - | 25 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 5 | 1.0 | 50.4 | 72.7 | 33.3 | 0 | -1.21 | 77.3 | 77.3 |
| Daivion Boleware | - | 13 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 67.6 | 75.0 |
| Ethan Damerum | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Elderkin | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jackson McGee | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG