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Grand Valley St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Grand Valley St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1073 (#74) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1240 (#22) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1196 (#13) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +20.4 (#15) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +20.9 (#53) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.678 (#234) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +45.3 More → 0.994 (#76) NetEff +45.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +23.3 More → 0.937 (#89) AdjNet +23.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +23.6 More → 0.940 (#87) AdjNet +23.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.2 | AdjD 66.5 More → 0.834 (#89) AdjO 84.2 | AdjD 66.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 80.5 | AdjD 64.4 More → 0.812 (#15) AdjO 80.5 | AdjD 64.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.898 (#11) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.890 (#10) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 22 More → 1318 (#8) RD 99 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Ashland W 74 - 55
2025-11-16 @ UIndy W 75 - 66
2025-11-21 @ Minnesota St. W 76 - 55
2025-11-22 @ Sioux Falls W 77 - 73
2025-11-26 vs Lewis W 89 - 73
2025-11-30 vs Grace Christian (MI) W 100 - 46
2025-12-04 vs Lake Superior St. W 85 - 79
2025-12-06 vs Saginaw Valley L 80 - 81
2025-12-17 vs Malone L 55 - 57
2025-12-21 @ Aquinas W 87 - 65
2026-01-02 @ Michigan Tech W 79 - 75
2026-01-03 @ Northern Mich. L 60 - 72
2026-01-08 vs Wayne St. (MI) W 81 - 72
2026-01-10 vs Purdue Northwest W 76 - 54
2026-01-15 vs Davenport W 90 - 50
2026-01-19 @ Ferris St. W 84 - 80
2026-01-22 @ Wis.-Parkside W 77 - 67
2026-01-24 @ Roosevelt W 87 - 69
2026-01-29 vs Northern Mich. W 85 - 80
2026-01-31 vs Michigan Tech W 55 - 46
2026-02-05 @ Purdue Northwest W 85 - 76
2026-02-07 @ Wayne St. (MI) L 68 - 70

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ethan Alderink - 20 24.7 14.5 5.6 0.7 0.6 0.3 1.8 9.6 10.2 118 5.9 27.9 50.0 42.7 69.5 2.15 62.0 58.3
Chang Hoth - 1 41.0 14.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 11.0 12.0 2 0.1 0.6 27.3 25.0 100.0 -1.4 51.3 36.4
Jalen Charity - 21 28.6 12.7 5.0 1.2 1.0 0.8 1.6 7.7 11.2 163 7.8 34.7 48.1 30.4 80.2 2.4 62.0 52.5
Trevor Smith Jr. - 21 25.7 12.3 1.6 3.2 1.6 0.1 0.9 8.4 9.4 72 3.4 18.1 53.7 44.2 79.0 1.0 63.1 59.0
Owen Hardy - 1 35.0 10.0 12.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 20.0 -23 -1.2 -6.9 71.4 0 0.0 0.14 63.5 71.4
Mason Docks - 21 27.0 9.2 2.4 3.4 2.4 0.1 1.2 7.7 8.6 125 6.0 28.3 38.9 31.3 75.9 -0.79 51.9 46.9
David Wilkerson - 13 19.1 7.7 3.8 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.6 7.5 6.5 16 1.2 5.1 37.8 25.0 65.4 0.39 45.7 42.3
Bryce Moore - 1 38.0 6.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 7.0 2.0 58 3.1 18.6 28.6 0.0 50.0 -3.87 34.2 28.6
Cyrus Mpeba - 1 5.1 6.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 - - - 66.7 50.0 50.0 - 77.3 83.3
Shamus Thompson - 21 18.8 5.5 6.8 0.3 0.8 1.0 1.0 3.5 10.0 105 5.0 31.8 47.9 0 63.9 3.1 55.4 47.9
Justin Asi - 1 15.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 4.0 -7 -0.5 -5.9 33.3 25.0 0.0 0.26 38.8 41.7
Charles Turner - 21 14.6 4.7 3.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.5 4.3 3.6 30 1.4 15.0 33.3 33.3 70.0 0.33 49.6 46.7
Antaune Allen - 21 12.7 4.6 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.7 4.4 2.0 25 1.2 16.3 37.6 22.0 60.0 0.74 46.2 43.5
Javion Otten - 20 8.6 3.5 1.4 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.7 2.3 3.1 -9 -0.5 -16.3 54.3 47.4 66.7 0.88 65.6 64.1
Payton Weemer - 6 9.3 3.3 2.5 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.5 4.0 2.8 -32 -5.3 -151.2 33.3 16.7 75.0 1.62 38.8 35.4
Joey Cabana - 1 16.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 -1.0 -9 -0.5 -2.5 0.0 0.0 75.0 -0.3 17.1 0.0
Marcus Gray II - 15 9.8 2.9 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 3.2 0.3 -9 -0.6 -8.5 39.6 19.2 0.0 -1.02 44.0 44.8
Cam Regnerus - 21 10.7 2.5 2.5 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.7 3.6 16 0.8 12.3 41.7 0 69.7 -1.82 52.5 41.7
Austin Tory - 5 5.8 1.8 2.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.8 3.6 11 2.2 89.5 100.0 0 25.0 0.91 78.1 100.0
BJ Walker - 3 6.7 1.7 1.0 0.7 1.3 0.7 0.3 1.3 3.7 - - - 50.0 0.0 50.0 - 51.2 50.0
Jackson McGee - 9 4.7 0.9 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.6 0.6 -34 -4.2 -240.7 21.4 0.0 50.0 -0.35 25.4 21.4
Matthew Elderkin - 13 6.4 0.8 1.4 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.5 -31 -2.6 -176.3 15.4 0.0 100.0 -0.41 32.0 15.4
Brandon Claerbaut - 1 17.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 -35 -1.8 -11.7 0.0 0.0 0 1.96 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG