Grambling
Model Outputs
1995-1996
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 808 (#241) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 843 (#251) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 961 (#198) | HCA +97 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.6 (#252) | HCA +3.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.9 (#255) | HCA +3.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.470 (#164) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.189 (#248) | AdjNet -12.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.186 (#248) | AdjNet -12.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.309 (#254) | AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 72.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.415 (#223) | AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 69.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.292 (#247) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.311 (#243) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 820 (#255) | RD 137 | GP 26 |
1996 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995-11-24 | N | Hampton | L | 61 - 71 |
| 1995-11-25 | N | Hartford | W | 62 - 59 |
| 1995-11-29 | @ | UT Arlington | W | 86 - 82 |
| 1995-12-01 | N | Pepperdine | W | 69 - 62 |
| 1995-12-02 | @ | Nebraska | L | 80 - 96 |
| 1995-12-18 | vs | Little Rock | L | 57 - 62 |
| 1995-12-22 | vs | Georgia State | L | 66 - 76 |
| 1995-12-28 | vs | Southeastern Louisiana | L | 68 - 74 |
| 1995-12-30 | @ | Northwestern State | L | 69 - 89 |
| 1996-01-06 | vs | Southern | L | 89 - 92 |
| 1996-01-08 | vs | Alcorn State | W | 92 - 76 |
| 1996-01-13 | @ | Texas Southern | L | 75 - 87 |
| 1996-01-15 | @ | Prairie View A&M | W | 110 - 75 |
| 1996-01-17 | @ | Little Rock | L | 67 - 91 |
| 1996-01-20 | vs | Alabama State | L | 72 - 83 |
| 1996-01-22 | vs | Jackson State | L | 54 - 56 |
| 1996-01-27 | @ | Mississippi Valley State | L | 70 - 76 |
| 1996-02-05 | @ | Alcorn State | W | 77 - 65 |
| 1996-02-07 | @ | Southern | L | 69 - 72 |
| 1996-02-10 | vs | Texas Southern | W | 77 - 61 |
| 1996-02-12 | vs | Prairie View A&M | W | 96 - 92 |
| 1996-02-17 | @ | Alabama State | W | 78 - 68 |
| 1996-02-19 | @ | Jackson State | L | 68 - 70 |
| 1996-02-24 | vs | Mississippi Valley State | L | 72 - 78 |
| 1996-03-07 | @ | Alabama State | W | 71 - 59 |
| 1996-03-08 | N | Jackson State | L | 57 - 60 |
1996 Roster
No roster data available for this season.