Grace Christian (MI)
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1099 (#77) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1119 (#83) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.4 (#172) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.648 (#380) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.138 (#613) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.635 (#189) | NetEff +4.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.515 (#378) | AdjNet +0.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.000 (#748) | AdjNet -79.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.507 (#378) | AdjNet +0.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.000 (#748) | AdjNet -85.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.496 (#376) | AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 63.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.010 (#750) | AdjO 31.5 | AdjD 82.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | John Carroll | L | 55 - 89 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Alma | L | 58 - 60 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Pitt.-Greensburg | W | 103 - 46 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Waynesburg | W | 71 - 60 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Franciscan | W | 116 - 82 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Westminster (PA) | W | 62 - 47 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Wash. & Jeff. | L | 71 - 74 |
| 2024-12-05 | vs | Mount Mary | L | 52 - 64 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Chatham | L | 43 - 91 |
| 2024-12-19 | vs | North Park | W | 61 - 50 |
| 2024-12-20 | @ | Wis.-Stout | L | 50 - 92 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Thiel | W | 100 - 79 |
| 2025-01-06 | vs | Allegheny | L | 60 - 65 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Geneva | W | 60 - 49 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Bethany (WV) | W | 65 - 55 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Waynesburg | L | 61 - 70 |
| 2025-01-16 | vs | Maranatha Baptist | W | 64 - 33 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Saint Vincent | W | 59 - 47 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Westminster (PA) | W | 55 - 47 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Franciscan | W | 84 - 60 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Wash. & Jeff. | L | 44 - 65 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Chatham | L | 59 - 64 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Allegheny | W | 77 - 68 |
| 2025-02-07 | @ | Maranatha Baptist | W | 43 - 41 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Mount Mary | L | 42 - 82 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Thiel | W | 81 - 52 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Bethany (WV) | W | 64 - 62 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Geneva | W | 80 - 77 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Saint Vincent | L | 52 - 57 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | Saint Vincent | W | 58 - 38 |
| 2025-02-27 | @ | Wash. & Jeff. | L | 55 - 70 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sierra Fonseca | - | 4 | 39.8 | 18.0 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 3.8 | 23.2 | 1.8 | - | - | - | 29.0 | 23.1 | 75.0 | - | 37.3 | 35.5 |
| Emilee Klacking | - | 4 | 33.5 | 12.2 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2 | 9.8 | 5.5 | - | - | - | 43.6 | 42.9 | 66.7 | -0.03 | 52.2 | 47.4 |
| Rayah Helenhouse | - | 4 | 33.8 | 10.2 | 8.2 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 4.2 | 11.0 | 7.8 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 9.1 | 57.1 | -0.25 | 40.9 | 37.5 |
| Mara Polczynski | - | 27 | 24.3 | 9.8 | 6.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 9.9 | 10.8 | 16 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 40.2 | 27.4 | 66.0 | -0.01 | 46.2 | 44.0 |
| Meredith Sherrerd | - | 27 | 21.7 | 9.0 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 8.4 | 6.7 | 27 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 46.1 | 25.0 | 74.4 | 0.31 | 49.2 | 46.3 |
| Clara Hannon | - | 27 | 24.3 | 8.0 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 9.1 | 4.6 | -6 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 33.6 | 26.5 | 72.1 | -0.12 | 40.4 | 37.2 |
| Reese Hasley | - | 27 | 21.3 | 7.6 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 7.4 | 4.7 | 37 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 37.2 | 26.4 | 67.3 | 0.34 | 45.7 | 42.0 |
| Jessi Calizo | - | 2 | 32.5 | 7.5 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 10.5 | 6.5 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 23.8 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.15 | 30.6 | 26.2 |
| Jaden Davinsizer | - | 27 | 19.0 | 6.8 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 7.2 | 1.6 | -18 | -0.7 | -0.9 | 31.4 | 30.5 | 72.7 | -0.31 | 45.2 | 43.3 |
| Julia Schultz | - | 4 | 39.5 | 5.5 | 11.8 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 8.8 | 10.2 | - | - | - | 25.7 | 0.0 | 57.1 | - | 28.9 | 25.7 |
| Emma Ulmer | - | 27 | 12.3 | 5.0 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 4.3 | 39 | 1.4 | 3.7 | 46.7 | 0 | 71.4 | 0.6 | 49.9 | 46.7 |
| Alexa Mcdole | - | 3 | 11.0 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 4.0 | 126 | 3.5 | 9.3 | 71.4 | 66.7 | 0 | 1.04 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Bethany Thompson | - | 27 | 14.8 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 94 | 2.8 | 7.2 | 36.8 | 27.3 | 64.0 | 0.72 | 44.8 | 42.1 |
| Alexis Hudson | - | 25 | 12.9 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 12 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 42.4 | 28.6 | 62.5 | 0.11 | 48.7 | 47.8 |
| Haley Hertzler | - | 27 | 11.7 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 4.5 | 23 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 43.9 | 26.3 | 54.5 | 0.32 | 49.6 | 47.7 |
| Sarah Pifer | - | 27 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 23 | 0.9 | 2.8 | 32.9 | 35.7 | 50.0 | 0.09 | 47.3 | 47.1 |
| Kailey Devlin | - | 27 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 31 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 39.6 | 27.3 | 78.6 | 0.67 | 50.8 | 45.8 |
| Nevaeh Ewing | - | 26 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 25 | 1.2 | 8.6 | 37.1 | 38.9 | 60.0 | 0.31 | 49.5 | 47.1 |
| Katie Hoff | - | 24 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 11 | 0.8 | 4.3 | 53.3 | 0 | 33.3 | -0.1 | 52.1 | 53.3 |
| Emily Wentworth | - | 25 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 31.2 | 0.0 | 57.1 | -0.08 | 36.7 | 31.2 |
| Leah Swanseen | - | 25 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Tori Walling | - | 4 | 27.5 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.8 | -17 | -3.4 | -4.2 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.23 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Kiley Ingram | - | 23 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 23.1 | 33.3 |
| Brooke McCoy | - | 13 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25 | 2.8 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.18 | 0 | 0 |
| Adah Fuller | - | 15 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -35 | -7.0 | -26.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.07 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Abbey Loiacono | - | 15 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Savanna Malone | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kali N | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Unknown Team | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Kali ann Newberry | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Saivonna Malone | - | 1 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Nevaeh Mancha | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG