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Grace Christian (MI)

Also known as: Grace Christian (MI)
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1099 (#77) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1119 (#83) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +1.4 (#172) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.648 (#380) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.138 (#613) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +4.1 More → 0.635 (#189) NetEff +4.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.5 More → 0.515 (#378) AdjNet +0.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -79.2 More → 0.000 (#748) AdjNet -79.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.2 More → 0.507 (#378) AdjNet +0.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -85.4 More → 0.000 (#748) AdjNet -85.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 63.6 More → 0.496 (#376) AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 63.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 31.5 | AdjD 82.5 More → 0.010 (#750) AdjO 31.5 | AdjD 82.5

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ John Carroll L 55 - 89
2024-11-09 @ Alma L 58 - 60
2024-11-16 @ Pitt.-Greensburg W 103 - 46
2024-11-20 vs Waynesburg W 71 - 60
2024-11-23 vs Franciscan W 116 - 82
2024-11-26 @ Westminster (PA) W 62 - 47
2024-12-04 vs Wash. & Jeff. L 71 - 74
2024-12-05 vs Mount Mary L 52 - 64
2024-12-07 @ Chatham L 43 - 91
2024-12-19 vs North Park W 61 - 50
2024-12-20 @ Wis.-Stout L 50 - 92
2025-01-04 @ Thiel W 100 - 79
2025-01-06 vs Allegheny L 60 - 65
2025-01-08 vs Geneva W 60 - 49
2025-01-11 @ Bethany (WV) W 65 - 55
2025-01-15 @ Waynesburg L 61 - 70
2025-01-16 vs Maranatha Baptist W 64 - 33
2025-01-18 vs Saint Vincent W 59 - 47
2025-01-22 vs Westminster (PA) W 55 - 47
2025-01-25 @ Franciscan W 84 - 60
2025-01-29 @ Wash. & Jeff. L 44 - 65
2025-02-01 vs Chatham L 59 - 64
2025-02-05 @ Allegheny W 77 - 68
2025-02-07 @ Maranatha Baptist W 43 - 41
2025-02-08 @ Mount Mary L 42 - 82
2025-02-12 vs Thiel W 81 - 52
2025-02-15 vs Bethany (WV) W 64 - 62
2025-02-19 @ Geneva W 80 - 77
2025-02-22 @ Saint Vincent L 52 - 57
2025-02-25 vs Saint Vincent W 58 - 38
2025-02-27 @ Wash. & Jeff. L 55 - 70

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Sierra Fonseca - 4 39.8 18.0 5.8 2.5 2.2 0.2 3.8 23.2 1.8 - - - 29.0 23.1 75.0 - 37.3 35.5
Emilee Klacking - 4 33.5 12.2 3.8 1.5 1.0 0.0 3.2 9.8 5.5 - - - 43.6 42.9 66.7 -0.03 52.2 47.4
Rayah Helenhouse - 4 33.8 10.2 8.2 2.5 1.8 0.2 4.2 11.0 7.8 - - - 36.4 9.1 57.1 -0.25 40.9 37.5
Mara Polczynski - 27 24.3 9.8 6.5 3.0 3.0 0.5 2.1 9.9 10.8 16 0.6 0.7 40.2 27.4 66.0 -0.01 46.2 44.0
Meredith Sherrerd - 27 21.7 9.0 5.8 1.1 0.6 0.6 2.0 8.4 6.7 27 1.0 0.8 46.1 25.0 74.4 0.31 49.2 46.3
Clara Hannon - 27 24.3 8.0 4.5 1.9 0.9 0.1 1.6 9.1 4.6 -6 -0.2 -0.3 33.6 26.5 72.1 -0.12 40.4 37.2
Reese Hasley - 27 21.3 7.6 3.7 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.3 7.4 4.7 37 1.4 1.5 37.2 26.4 67.3 0.34 45.7 42.0
Jessi Calizo - 2 32.5 7.5 8.5 1.5 4.0 0.0 4.5 10.5 6.5 -3 -0.1 -0.2 23.8 33.3 50.0 0.15 30.6 26.2
Jaden Davinsizer - 27 19.0 6.8 1.7 0.6 0.7 0.4 1.4 7.2 1.6 -18 -0.7 -0.9 31.4 30.5 72.7 -0.31 45.2 43.3
Julia Schultz - 4 39.5 5.5 11.8 3.0 2.2 0.5 4.0 8.8 10.2 - - - 25.7 0.0 57.1 - 28.9 25.7
Emma Ulmer - 27 12.3 5.0 3.2 1.1 0.5 0.6 1.5 4.5 4.3 39 1.4 3.7 46.7 0 71.4 0.6 49.9 46.7
Alexa Mcdole - 3 11.0 4.7 1.0 0.7 1.3 0.0 1.3 2.3 4.0 126 3.5 9.3 71.4 66.7 0 1.04 100.0 100.0
Bethany Thompson - 27 14.8 4.1 2.4 1.2 0.6 0.0 1.7 4.2 2.4 94 2.8 7.2 36.8 27.3 64.0 0.72 44.8 42.1
Alexis Hudson - 25 12.9 3.7 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.7 3.7 2.9 12 0.5 0.7 42.4 28.6 62.5 0.11 48.7 47.8
Haley Hertzler - 27 11.7 2.8 2.4 1.4 1.2 0.2 1.0 2.4 4.5 23 0.9 1.7 43.9 26.3 54.5 0.32 49.6 47.7
Sarah Pifer - 27 7.5 2.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 2.6 0.7 23 0.9 2.8 32.9 35.7 50.0 0.09 47.3 47.1
Kailey Devlin - 27 8.5 2.0 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.6 1.8 1.4 31 1.1 2.6 39.6 27.3 78.6 0.67 50.8 45.8
Nevaeh Ewing - 26 4.0 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.3 0.7 25 1.2 8.6 37.1 38.9 60.0 0.31 49.5 47.1
Katie Hoff - 24 2.0 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 11 0.8 4.3 53.3 0 33.3 -0.1 52.1 53.3
Emily Wentworth - 25 2.6 0.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.6 -1 -0.1 -0.3 31.2 0.0 57.1 -0.08 36.7 31.2
Leah Swanseen - 25 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.2 - - - 33.3 33.3 0 - 40.0 40.0
Tori Walling - 4 27.5 0.5 2.8 0.8 1.2 0.2 1.2 1.5 2.8 -17 -3.4 -4.2 16.7 0.0 0 -0.23 16.7 16.7
Kiley Ingram - 23 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 - - - 33.3 0 0.0 - 23.1 33.3
Brooke McCoy - 13 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 25 2.8 6.2 0 0 0 -0.18 0 0
Adah Fuller - 15 0.9 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 -35 -7.0 -26.6 0.0 0 0 -0.07 0.0 0.0
Abbey Loiacono - 15 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Savanna Malone - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kali N - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Unknown Team - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.25 0 0
Kali ann Newberry - 1 9.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Saivonna Malone - 1 19.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Nevaeh Mancha - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG