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Gonzaga

2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)

71.0
PPG
70.5
Opp
+0.5
Margin
41.0%
FG%
28.9%
3P%
75.9%
FT%
39.5
RPG
16.5
APG
16.8
TO
73.2
Est. poss./game
63.4
Adj PPG
67.1
Adj Opp PPG
#101
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1398 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1130, returning +257, transfers +12, freshmen +0 More โ†’ 1313 (#44) Preseason prior 1398 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1130, returning +257, transfers +12, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +169 elo More โ†’ 1191 (#48) HCA +169 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +169 elo More โ†’ 1186 (#48) HCA +169 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.7 More โ†’ +4.5 (#125) HCA +1.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.6 More โ†’ +4.5 (#126) HCA +1.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.813 (#90) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.3 More โ†’ 0.657 (#109) AdjNet -3.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.9 More โ†’ 0.669 (#107) AdjNet -2.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 67.1 More โ†’ 0.623 (#101) AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 67.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 67.1 More โ†’ 0.621 (#101) AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 67.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.661 (#102) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.661 (#102) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 168 | GP 4 More โ†’ 1205 (#51) RD 168 | GP 4
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.790 (#66) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Recency Ensemble Log Adjusted Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs North Dakota State Bison W 62 - 56
2026-11-06 vs Idaho Vandals L 75 - 86
2026-11-08 vs UC Riverside Highlanders W 85 - 58
2026-11-13 @ Grand Canyon Lopes L 62 - 82
2026-11-15 @ Stanford Cardinal - Preview
2026-11-18 vs Montana Lady Griz - Preview
2026-11-21 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lauren Whittaker Lauren Whittaker F 4 26.0 16.5 9.8 3.0 3.0 0.0 3.2 13.0 16.0 11 4 2.8 4.3 46.2 15.4 88.9 1.89 55.1 48.1
Allie Turner Allie Turner G 4 30.8 13.5 2.0 3.5 0.2 0.2 2.8 10.0 6.8 19 4 4.8 6.2 40.0 40.7 91.7 2.93 59.6 53.8
Taylor Smith Taylor Smith F 4 24.2 9.5 5.0 2.0 0.8 0.5 1.2 6.8 9.8 4 4 1.0 1.6 55.6 0 72.7 0.89 59.7 55.6
Zeryhia Aokuso Zeryhia Aokuso G 4 22.0 8.2 3.8 1.2 1.8 0.0 2.2 6.8 6.0 -9 4 -2.2 -4.1 40.7 16.7 71.4 -2.44 49.8 42.6
Teryn Gardner Teryn Gardner G 4 25.2 7.5 2.8 1.5 2.2 0.5 1.2 8.0 5.2 -10 4 -2.5 -3.9 34.4 42.1 0 -1.4 46.9 46.9
Ines Bettencourt Ines Bettencourt G 4 21.0 4.2 3.5 2.2 1.8 0.2 2.0 5.8 4.2 -5 4 -1.2 -2.4 26.1 0.0 55.6 0.78 31.5 26.1
McKynnlie Dalan McKynnlie Dalan F 4 18.8 4.0 3.8 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.8 3.5 5.8 -1 4 -0.2 -0.5 42.9 0.0 57.1 -1.15 46.8 42.9
Julia Wilson Julia Wilson G 4 14.8 3.8 1.8 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.8 4.0 2.0 3 4 0.8 2.0 37.5 50.0 50.0 -1.0 42.2 40.6
Abby Lusk Abby Lusk F 4 6.0 1.5 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.0 -2 4 -0.5 -3.2 42.9 0.0 0 -2.15 42.9 42.9
Christabel Osarobo Christabel Osarobo G 4 3.8 1.2 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.5 -3 4 -0.8 -8.2 66.7 100.0 0 -3.53 83.3 83.3
Jocelyn Medina Jocelyn Medina G 2 4.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.5 1.5 9 2 4.5 49.1 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.23 53.2 0.0
Emmy Roach Emmy Roach G 4 5.5 0.5 0.2 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 -11 4 -2.8 -19.7 0.0 0.0 100.0 -1.36 34.7 0.0
Jaiden Haile Jaiden Haile F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

244 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Whittaker30% Whittaker31% Turner40% Smith100% Whittaker50% Gardner60% Turner50% Whittaker40% Turner100% Turner64%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Bettencourt20% Whittaker27% Gardner23% Aokuso40% Turner25% Bettencourt25% Turner50% Turner25% Whittaker56% Turner29%
Misses: who misses most here

Lauren WhittakerAllie TurnerTaylor SmithTeryn GardnerZeryhia AokusoInes Bettencourt

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 23-33 69.7 46 Lauren Whittaker 30% (14 pts) Ines Bettencourt 13% (6 pts) Ines Bettencourt 20% (2 misses) Teryn Gardner 20% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 42-91 46.2 84 Lauren Whittaker 31% (26 pts) Taylor Smith 21% (18 pts) Lauren Whittaker 27% (13 misses) Taylor Smith 18% (9 misses)
Mid-range left 5-18 27.8 10 Allie Turner 40% (4 pts) Julia Wilson 20% (2 pts) Teryn Gardner 23% (3 misses) Allie Turner 15% (2 misses)
Mid-range center 2-7 28.6 4 Taylor Smith 100% (4 pts) - Zeryhia Aokuso 40% (2 misses) Allie Turner 20% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 4-12 33.3 8 Lauren Whittaker 50% (4 pts) Zeryhia Aokuso 50% (4 pts) Allie Turner 25% (2 misses) Zeryhia Aokuso 25% (2 misses)
Left corner 3 5-9 55.6 15 Teryn Gardner 60% (9 pts) Allie Turner 40% (6 pts) Ines Bettencourt 25% (1 misses) Julia Wilson 25% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 2-8 25.0 6 Allie Turner 50% (3 pts) Christabel Osarobo 50% (3 pts) Allie Turner 50% (3 misses) Jocelyn Medina 17% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 5-21 23.8 15 Lauren Whittaker 40% (6 pts) Julia Wilson 20% (3 pts) Allie Turner 25% (4 misses) Lauren Whittaker 19% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 center 1-10 10.0 3 Allie Turner 100% (3 pts) - Lauren Whittaker 56% (5 misses) Allie Turner 22% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 11-35 31.4 33 Allie Turner 64% (21 pts) Teryn Gardner 36% (12 pts) Allie Turner 29% (7 misses) Teryn Gardner 29% (7 misses)