Gonzaga
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1313 (#44) | Preseason prior 1398 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1130, returning +257, transfers +12, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1191 (#48) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1186 (#48) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +4.5 (#125) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +4.5 (#126) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.813 (#90) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.657 (#109) | AdjNet -3.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.669 (#107) | AdjNet -2.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.623 (#101) | AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 67.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.621 (#101) | AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 67.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.661 (#102) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.661 (#102) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1205 (#51) | RD 168 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.790 (#66) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | North Dakota State Bison | W | 62 - 56 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | Idaho Vandals | L | 75 - 86 |
| 2026-11-08 | vs | UC Riverside Highlanders | W | 85 - 58 |
| 2026-11-13 | @ | Grand Canyon Lopes | L | 62 - 82 |
| 2026-11-15 | @ | Stanford Cardinal | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-18 | vs | Montana Lady Griz | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | @ | Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lauren Whittaker
|
F | 4 | 26.0 | 16.5 | 9.8 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.2 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 11 | 4 | 2.8 | 4.3 | 46.2 | 15.4 | 88.9 | 1.89 | 55.1 | 48.1 |
Allie Turner
|
G | 4 | 30.8 | 13.5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 10.0 | 6.8 | 19 | 4 | 4.8 | 6.2 | 40.0 | 40.7 | 91.7 | 2.93 | 59.6 | 53.8 |
Taylor Smith
|
F | 4 | 24.2 | 9.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 6.8 | 9.8 | 4 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 55.6 | 0 | 72.7 | 0.89 | 59.7 | 55.6 |
Zeryhia Aokuso
|
G | 4 | 22.0 | 8.2 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 6.8 | 6.0 | -9 | 4 | -2.2 | -4.1 | 40.7 | 16.7 | 71.4 | -2.44 | 49.8 | 42.6 |
Teryn Gardner
|
G | 4 | 25.2 | 7.5 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 8.0 | 5.2 | -10 | 4 | -2.5 | -3.9 | 34.4 | 42.1 | 0 | -1.4 | 46.9 | 46.9 |
Ines Bettencourt
|
G | 4 | 21.0 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 5.8 | 4.2 | -5 | 4 | -1.2 | -2.4 | 26.1 | 0.0 | 55.6 | 0.78 | 31.5 | 26.1 |
McKynnlie Dalan
|
F | 4 | 18.8 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 5.8 | -1 | 4 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 57.1 | -1.15 | 46.8 | 42.9 |
Julia Wilson
|
G | 4 | 14.8 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3 | 4 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 37.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -1.0 | 42.2 | 40.6 |
Abby Lusk
|
F | 4 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.0 | -2 | 4 | -0.5 | -3.2 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.15 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
Christabel Osarobo
|
G | 4 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.5 | -3 | 4 | -0.8 | -8.2 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0 | -3.53 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
Jocelyn Medina
|
G | 2 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 9 | 2 | 4.5 | 49.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.23 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
Emmy Roach
|
G | 4 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -11 | 4 | -2.8 | -19.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.36 | 34.7 | 0.0 |
Jaiden Haile
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
244 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Lauren WhittakerAllie TurnerTaylor SmithTeryn GardnerZeryhia AokusoInes Bettencourt
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 23-33 | 69.7 | 46 | Lauren Whittaker 30% (14 pts) | Ines Bettencourt 13% (6 pts) | Ines Bettencourt 20% (2 misses) | Teryn Gardner 20% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 42-91 | 46.2 | 84 | Lauren Whittaker 31% (26 pts) | Taylor Smith 21% (18 pts) | Lauren Whittaker 27% (13 misses) | Taylor Smith 18% (9 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 5-18 | 27.8 | 10 | Allie Turner 40% (4 pts) | Julia Wilson 20% (2 pts) | Teryn Gardner 23% (3 misses) | Allie Turner 15% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-7 | 28.6 | 4 | Taylor Smith 100% (4 pts) | - | Zeryhia Aokuso 40% (2 misses) | Allie Turner 20% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 4-12 | 33.3 | 8 | Lauren Whittaker 50% (4 pts) | Zeryhia Aokuso 50% (4 pts) | Allie Turner 25% (2 misses) | Zeryhia Aokuso 25% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 5-9 | 55.6 | 15 | Teryn Gardner 60% (9 pts) | Allie Turner 40% (6 pts) | Ines Bettencourt 25% (1 misses) | Julia Wilson 25% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-8 | 25.0 | 6 | Allie Turner 50% (3 pts) | Christabel Osarobo 50% (3 pts) | Allie Turner 50% (3 misses) | Jocelyn Medina 17% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 5-21 | 23.8 | 15 | Lauren Whittaker 40% (6 pts) | Julia Wilson 20% (3 pts) | Allie Turner 25% (4 misses) | Lauren Whittaker 19% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 1-10 | 10.0 | 3 | Allie Turner 100% (3 pts) | - | Lauren Whittaker 56% (5 misses) | Allie Turner 22% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 11-35 | 31.4 | 33 | Allie Turner 64% (21 pts) | Teryn Gardner 36% (12 pts) | Allie Turner 29% (7 misses) | Teryn Gardner 29% (7 misses) |