Goldey-Beacom
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 878 (#464) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 765 (#512) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 909 (#606) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -18.3 (#284) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -18.4 (#583) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.149 (#510) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.107 (#396) | NetEff -15.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.062 (#620) | AdjNet -23.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.060 (#619) | AdjNet -23.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.214 (#612) | AdjO 60.4 | AdjD 74.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.207 (#661) | AdjO 57.3 | AdjD 72.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.159 (#625) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.164 (#629) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 798 (#472) | RD 107 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Dist. Columbia | L | 37 - 43 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Daemen | L | 61 - 96 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Staten Island | L | 50 - 64 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | L | 47 - 57 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Caldwell | L | 57 - 72 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Dominican (NY) | L | 53 - 72 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Chestnut Hill | L | 73 - 81 |
| 2025-12-09 | @ | Wilmington (DE) | W | 70 - 56 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Felician | L | 58 - 68 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Franklin Pierce | L | 55 - 73 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Mercy | L | 52 - 69 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Bridgeport | L | 58 - 66 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Post | W | 65 - 48 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Jefferson | L | 51 - 73 |
| 2026-01-20 | vs | Holy Family | L | 53 - 84 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Caldwell | L | 48 - 86 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Chestnut Hill | L | 50 - 91 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Dominican (NY) | W | 71 - 63 |
| 2026-02-03 | vs | Wilmington (DE) | W | 89 - 69 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Felician | L | 49 - 90 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Betz | - | 20 | 28.7 | 11.4 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 8.2 | 8.0 | -207 | -14.8 | -152.3 | 47.9 | 30.8 | 79.5 | 0.29 | 57.8 | 51.5 |
| Rory Ciszkowski | - | 20 | 32.1 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 8.4 | 9.8 | -209 | -13.9 | -114.3 | 42.6 | 35.4 | 80.8 | -3.37 | 55.4 | 53.0 |
| Genesis Garcia | - | 20 | 17.3 | 8.6 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 6.5 | 3.9 | -131 | -9.4 | -174.9 | 41.9 | 38.1 | 76.5 | -0.6 | 56.5 | 51.2 |
| Marasia Dyes | - | 20 | 28.7 | 7.0 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 4.0 | 7.3 | 3.3 | -177 | -12.6 | -165.3 | 34.7 | 20.7 | 70.2 | -0.91 | 42.0 | 36.7 |
| Karlee Lemon | - | 20 | 29.5 | 5.6 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 5.8 | 2.5 | -206 | -14.7 | -121.2 | 34.2 | 31.9 | 50.0 | -1.76 | 46.8 | 46.6 |
| Gaia Zimbardo | - | 15 | 15.2 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 5.6 | 1.7 | -184 | -13.1 | -260.2 | 35.7 | 22.2 | 37.5 | -2.11 | 37.3 | 36.9 |
| Eva Walker | - | 19 | 11.9 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 2.8 | -91 | -7.6 | -133.2 | 48.3 | 42.9 | 58.3 | -2.05 | 54.1 | 50.8 |
| Amber Furtado | - | 20 | 17.4 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 3.2 | 3.1 | -85 | -6.5 | -81.9 | 43.1 | 12.5 | 50.0 | -1.58 | 44.8 | 43.8 |
| Angie Zagone | - | 14 | 6.0 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 2.9 | 0.4 | -63 | -4.8 | -169.9 | 32.5 | 17.6 | 16.7 | -2.23 | 35.2 | 36.2 |
| Silvia Moretti | - | 2 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | -15 | -7.5 | -120.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.66 | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Kato Van Heuverbeke | - | 18 | 8.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 1.9 | -0.1 | -23 | -2.9 | -64.8 | 32.4 | 14.3 | 42.9 | -0.77 | 35.1 | 33.8 |
| Katherine Lange | - | 7 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.1 | -6 | -1.5 | -44.7 | 33.3 | 16.7 | 0 | -0.49 | 38.9 | 38.9 |
| Janie Cross | - | 18 | 9.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | -1.2 | -65 | -5.4 | -62.0 | 11.5 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -2.42 | 19.2 | 11.5 |
| Abby Williams | - | 5 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | -6 | -2.0 | -151.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.74 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Azra Ozgul | - | 7 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | -0.1 | -8 | -1.6 | -66.9 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 0 | -0.73 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG