🐻⬇️🏀

Golden State

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Golden State Warriors
Program History

2026-2027 Team Stats (9 games)

117.8
PPG
113.0
Opp
+4.8
Margin
46.2%
FG%
38.9%
3P%
81.6%
FT%
43.9
RPG
27.8
APG
16.1
TO
100.7
Est. poss./game
116.0
Adj PPG
109.4
Adj Opp PPG
#7
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1071 (#10) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1080 (#10) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +8 elo More → 1095 (#7) HCA +8 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +0.8 More → +6.6 (#7) HCA +0.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +0.6 More → +7.1 (#7) HCA +0.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.617 (#12) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.0 More → 0.617 (#7) AdjNet +6.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.0 More → 0.617 (#7) AdjNet +6.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 116.0 | AdjD 109.4 More → 0.611 (#7) AdjO 116.0 | AdjD 109.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 115.9 | AdjD 109.0 More → 0.616 (#7) AdjO 115.9 | AdjD 109.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.635 (#7) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.636 (#7) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 130 | GP 9 More → 1114 (#9) RD 130 | GP 9

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-10-21 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 105 - 127
2026-10-23 vs Memphis Grizzlies L 108 - 111
2026-10-24 @ Phoenix Suns L 122 - 131
2026-10-26 @ Denver Nuggets W 134 - 114
2026-10-28 @ Minnesota Timberwolves W 119 - 114
2026-10-30 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 112 - 95
2026-11-01 vs LA Clippers W 124 - 112
2026-11-02 vs Phoenix Suns W 116 - 113
2026-11-05 vs Miami Heat W 120 - 100
2026-11-07 vs Orlando Magic - Preview
2026-11-09 vs New Orleans Pelicans - Preview
2026-11-11 @ Houston Rockets - Preview
2026-11-13 @ San Antonio Spurs - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Stephen Curry Stephen Curry G 7 28.9 29.9 3.7 4.4 1.3 0.1 1.7 18.3 19.4 29 6 4.8 6.7 46.9 44.0 98.2 1.15 68.3 59.8
Yaxel Lendeborg Yaxel Lendeborg - 9 31.7 21.0 7.1 4.1 1.1 0.6 3.2 14.0 16.7 - - - - 49.2 39.6 75.9 - 62.4 57.5
Brandin Podziemski Brandin Podziemski G 7 33.3 15.9 5.1 4.7 1.1 0.4 1.7 12.6 13.0 51 6 8.5 10.2 45.5 34.8 68.2 1.39 56.8 54.5
Brandon Williams Brandon Williams G 8 17.9 11.4 2.6 2.6 0.9 0.5 1.6 8.8 7.6 33 7 4.7 10.9 40.0 33.3 84.8 0.47 53.8 45.0
De'Anthony Melton De'Anthony Melton G 9 22.3 10.0 4.7 2.2 1.7 0.3 1.6 7.4 9.9 -8 8 -1.0 -1.7 41.8 42.2 83.3 0.53 60.1 56.0
Georges Niang Georges Niang F 9 20.1 7.9 3.1 1.7 0.7 0.1 1.4 6.8 5.2 38 8 4.8 9.6 45.9 30.6 66.7 0.68 55.8 54.9
Gui Santos Gui Santos F 6 20.2 7.2 4.0 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.7 5.2 7.5 21 6 3.5 7.0 48.4 36.4 64.3 0.6 57.9 54.8
Charles Bassey Charles Bassey C 7 11.9 7.0 5.3 0.6 0.1 1.0 0.9 4.1 9.0 32 6 5.3 18.7 65.5 0.0 84.6 0.09 70.6 65.5
Al Horford Al Horford Center 7 18.6 5.4 4.1 1.0 0.3 0.6 0.9 4.3 6.3 -13 6 -2.2 -4.6 46.7 45.5 0.0 -0.88 62.4 63.3
Will Richard Will Richard G 9 17.7 5.2 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.4 4.3 4.0 0 8 0.0 0.0 46.2 42.9 66.7 -0.86 58.3 57.7
Gary Payton II Gary Payton II G 9 13.4 5.1 1.8 0.4 0.7 0.0 0.8 4.7 2.6 -22 8 -2.8 -7.9 47.6 23.5 100.0 -0.43 53.6 52.4
Graham Ike Graham Ike - 7 9.6 5.0 2.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.3 3.6 4.9 - - - - 52.0 100.0 83.3 - 63.3 60.0
Draymond Green Draymond Green F 7 26.7 3.0 5.0 7.0 0.9 0.9 3.1 3.0 10.6 -6 6 -1.0 -1.5 38.1 22.2 75.0 -0.53 46.1 42.9
Lj Cryer Lj Cryer G 7 4.3 2.6 0.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.3 1.4 -12 6 -2.0 -16.8 37.5 50.0 50.0 -0.34 53.3 53.1
Malevy Leons Malevy Leons - 5 3.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.0 1 4 0.2 2.4 16.7 0.0 0 -0.99 16.7 16.7

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

605 located field-goal attempts in 7 games (NBA Stats). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Lendeborg20% Lendeborg22% Curry50% Lendeborg100% Curry38% Podziemski23% Podziemski25% Curry22% Curry37% Curry41%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Williams17% Williams18% Podziemski29% Curry75% Curry27% Payton19% Melton20% Podziemski21% Curry30% Curry33%
Misses: who misses most here

Stephen CurryYaxel LendeborgBrandin PodziemskiBrandon WilliamsDe'Anthony MeltonGary Payton II

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 107-148 72.3 214 Yaxel Lendeborg 20% (42 pts) Stephen Curry 11% (24 pts) Brandon Williams 17% (7 misses) Stephen Curry 15% (6 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 51-118 43.2 102 Yaxel Lendeborg 22% (22 pts) Brandon Williams 20% (20 pts) Brandon Williams 18% (12 misses) Yaxel Lendeborg 16% (11 misses)
Mid-range left 4-18 22.2 8 Stephen Curry 50% (4 pts) Brandin Podziemski 25% (2 pts) Brandin Podziemski 29% (4 misses) Stephen Curry 21% (3 misses)
Mid-range center 1-5 20.0 2 Yaxel Lendeborg 100% (2 pts) - Stephen Curry 75% (3 misses) Brandin Podziemski 25% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 8-23 34.8 16 Stephen Curry 38% (6 pts) Brandin Podziemski 25% (4 pts) Stephen Curry 27% (4 misses) Will Richard 20% (3 misses)
Left corner 3 22-48 45.8 66 Brandin Podziemski 23% (15 pts) Georges Niang 18% (12 pts) Gary Payton II 19% (5 misses) Brandin Podziemski 15% (4 misses)
Right corner 3 12-37 32.4 36 Brandin Podziemski 25% (9 pts) Georges Niang 17% (6 pts) De'Anthony Melton 20% (5 misses) Georges Niang 20% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 left 27-75 36.0 81 Stephen Curry 22% (18 pts) De'Anthony Melton 15% (12 pts) Brandin Podziemski 21% (10 misses) Stephen Curry 17% (8 misses)
Above-break 3 center 19-56 33.9 57 Stephen Curry 37% (21 pts) Yaxel Lendeborg 16% (9 pts) Stephen Curry 30% (11 misses) Brandin Podziemski 14% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 right 34-77 44.2 102 Stephen Curry 41% (42 pts) Yaxel Lendeborg 18% (18 pts) Stephen Curry 33% (14 misses) Yaxel Lendeborg 16% (7 misses)