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Golden State

2026-2027 Team Stats (13 games)

116.7
PPG
112.4
Opp
+4.3
Margin
46.0%
FG%
39.4%
3P%
81.0%
FT%
44.5
RPG
28.0
APG
15.4
TO
100.9
Est. poss./game
115.2
Adj PPG
108.9
Adj Opp PPG
#11
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 985 (#18) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +23 elo More โ†’ 1074 (#10) HCA +23 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +27 elo More โ†’ 1066 (#11) HCA +27 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.9 More โ†’ +3.7 (#10) HCA +1.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.1 More โ†’ +3.1 (#11) HCA +2.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.562 (#11) -
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 115.2 | AdjD 108.9 More โ†’ 0.568 (#11) AdjO 115.2 | AdjD 108.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 114.6 | AdjD 108.6 More โ†’ 0.559 (#11) AdjO 114.6 | AdjD 108.6
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 113 | GP 13 More โ†’ 1063 (#11) RD 113 | GP 13

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-10-21 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 105 - 127
2026-10-23 vs Memphis Grizzlies L 108 - 111
2026-10-24 @ Phoenix Suns L 122 - 131
2026-10-26 @ Denver Nuggets W 134 - 114
2026-10-28 @ Minnesota Timberwolves W 119 - 114
2026-10-30 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 112 - 95
2026-11-01 vs LA Clippers W 124 - 112
2026-11-02 vs Phoenix Suns W 116 - 113
2026-11-05 vs Miami Heat W 120 - 100
2026-11-07 vs Orlando Magic W 126 - 119
2026-11-09 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 138 - 87
2026-11-11 @ Houston Rockets L 108 - 115
2026-11-13 @ San Antonio Spurs L 85 - 123
2026-11-16 @ New Orleans Pelicans - Preview
2026-11-18 @ Dallas Mavericks - Preview
2026-11-19 @ Memphis Grizzlies - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Stephen Curry Stephen Curry G 10 26.5 27.8 3.7 3.9 0.9 0.1 1.7 16.0 18.7 82 10 8.2 12.5 50.0 45.7 98.7 2.24 71.9 63.4
Yaxel Lendeborg Yaxel Lendeborg - 13 31.5 20.2 7.4 3.5 1.0 0.7 3.2 14.1 15.5 - - - - 48.6 41.4 73.7 - 60.8 56.6
Brandin Podziemski Brandin Podziemski G 11 32.5 16.5 4.9 3.8 1.2 0.5 1.2 12.6 13.1 52 11 4.7 5.8 46.0 39.7 71.0 1.39 59.3 57.2
Brandon Williams Brandon Williams G 10 16.2 10.4 2.1 2.3 0.9 0.4 1.5 8.0 6.6 41 10 4.1 10.2 41.2 30.4 86.1 0.87 54.3 45.6
De'Anthony Melton De'Anthony Melton G 13 22.1 9.9 4.2 2.4 1.3 0.5 1.3 7.8 9.2 -16 13 -1.2 -2.2 39.6 42.0 83.3 0.42 57.8 54.0
Charles Bassey Charles Bassey C 11 13.2 7.9 5.6 0.6 0.1 0.9 0.9 4.7 9.5 47 11 4.3 12.9 67.3 0.0 81.0 -0.36 71.0 67.3
Georges Niang Georges Niang F 13 19.9 7.8 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.2 1.1 6.5 5.5 50 13 3.8 7.7 45.9 36.2 66.7 0.8 56.8 55.9
Lj Cryer Lj Cryer G 10 9.2 6.1 0.5 1.7 0.1 0.0 0.2 5.1 3.1 6 10 0.6 2.6 41.2 45.7 75.0 -0.06 57.8 56.9
Will Richard Will Richard G 12 18.3 5.6 2.2 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.7 4.2 4.5 -34 12 -2.8 -6.2 48.0 46.2 77.8 -1.27 62.1 60.0
Gui Santos Gui Santos F 10 18.7 5.6 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.5 1.1 4.7 6.0 40 10 4.0 8.6 40.4 27.8 61.9 0.74 49.8 45.7
Graham Ike Graham Ike - 10 9.6 4.8 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.4 3.8 4.8 - - - - 47.4 55.6 87.5 - 57.8 53.9
Gary Payton II Gary Payton II G 11 13.4 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.7 0.0 0.8 4.5 2.1 -14 11 -1.3 -3.8 46.0 20.0 100.0 -0.48 51.1 50.0
Al Horford Al Horford Center 11 17.2 4.3 3.6 2.0 0.4 0.8 0.5 4.4 6.2 19 11 1.7 4.0 37.5 33.3 0.0 0.09 48.5 49.0
Draymond Green Draymond Green F 11 25.9 3.3 4.7 7.1 0.9 0.8 2.8 3.4 10.6 6 11 0.5 0.8 40.5 23.1 50.0 -0.05 45.4 44.6
Malevy Leons Malevy Leons - 8 5.9 0.9 1.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 1.2 1.2 18 8 2.2 15.3 20.0 25.0 100.0 -0.79 32.2 25.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

692 located field-goal attempts in 8 games (NBA Stats). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Lendeborg21% Lendeborg22% Podziemski33% Lendeborg100% Curry38% Podziemski25% Richard25% Curry22% Curry32% Curry39%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Williams14% Williams17% Podziemski29% Curry75% Curry25% Podziemski17% Melton20% Podziemski19% Curry25% Curry27%
Misses: who misses most here

Stephen CurryYaxel LendeborgBrandin PodziemskiDe'Anthony MeltonBrandon WilliamsWill Richard

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 117-167 70.1 234 Yaxel Lendeborg 21% (50 pts) Charles Bassey 11% (26 pts) Brandon Williams 14% (7 misses) Yaxel Lendeborg 14% (7 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 58-130 44.6 116 Yaxel Lendeborg 22% (26 pts) Brandon Williams 17% (20 pts) Brandon Williams 17% (12 misses) Yaxel Lendeborg 17% (12 misses)
Mid-range left 6-23 26.1 12 Brandin Podziemski 33% (4 pts) Stephen Curry 33% (4 pts) Brandin Podziemski 29% (5 misses) Yaxel Lendeborg 29% (5 misses)
Mid-range center 1-5 20.0 2 Yaxel Lendeborg 100% (2 pts) - Stephen Curry 75% (3 misses) Brandin Podziemski 25% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 8-24 33.3 16 Stephen Curry 38% (6 pts) Brandin Podziemski 25% (4 pts) Stephen Curry 25% (4 misses) Will Richard 19% (3 misses)
Left corner 3 24-54 44.4 72 Brandin Podziemski 25% (18 pts) Georges Niang 17% (12 pts) Brandin Podziemski 17% (5 misses) Gary Payton II 17% (5 misses)
Right corner 3 16-46 34.8 48 Will Richard 25% (12 pts) Brandin Podziemski 19% (9 pts) De'Anthony Melton 20% (6 misses) Georges Niang 17% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 left 32-89 36.0 96 Stephen Curry 22% (21 pts) De'Anthony Melton 19% (18 pts) Brandin Podziemski 19% (11 misses) Stephen Curry 16% (9 misses)
Above-break 3 center 22-66 33.3 66 Stephen Curry 32% (21 pts) Yaxel Lendeborg 18% (12 pts) Stephen Curry 25% (11 misses) Brandin Podziemski 18% (8 misses)
Above-break 3 right 36-88 40.9 108 Stephen Curry 39% (42 pts) Yaxel Lendeborg 19% (21 pts) Stephen Curry 27% (14 misses) Yaxel Lendeborg 19% (10 misses)