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Golden State Valkyries

Season: 2026 2025
Also known as: Golden State Valkyries
Program History

2026 Team Stats (57 games)

80.9
PPG
75.2
Opp
+5.7
Margin
41.3%
FG%
33.8%
3P%
78.7%
FT%
34.1
RPG
18.3
APG
10.3
TO
77.4
Est. poss./game
79.8
Adj PPG
73.3
Adj Opp PPG
#2
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1228 (#1) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +45 elo More โ†’ 1189 (#1) HCA +45 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +76 elo More โ†’ 1167 (#1) HCA +76 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.0 More โ†’ +6.6 (#2) HCA +2.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More โ†’ +7.9 (#2) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.699 (#2) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +8.6 More โ†’ 0.730 (#1) AdjNet +8.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +8.5 More โ†’ 0.730 (#1) AdjNet +8.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 73.3 More โ†’ 0.644 (#2) AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 73.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 71.1 More โ†’ 0.651 (#2) AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 71.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.756 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.757 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 79 | GP 57 More โ†’ 1235 (#1) RD 79 | GP 57
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.775 (#1) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Recency Ensemble Log Adjusted Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-05-08 @ Seattle Storm W 91 - 80
2026-05-10 vs Phoenix Mercury W 95 - 79
2026-05-13 vs Chicago Sky L 63 - 69
2026-05-21 @ New York Liberty W 87 - 70
2026-05-22 @ Indiana Fever L 82 - 90
2026-05-25 vs Connecticut Sun W 97 - 70
2026-05-28 vs Indiana Fever W 90 - 88
2026-05-31 vs Las Vegas Aces L 81 - 91
2026-06-02 vs Portland Fire W 95 - 77
2026-06-04 @ Minnesota Lynx L 84 - 87
2026-06-06 @ Las Vegas Aces L 79 - 84
2026-06-09 vs Phoenix Mercury W 87 - 81
2026-06-12 @ Seattle Storm W 76 - 72
2026-06-15 vs Los Angeles Sparks W 78 - 58
2026-06-17 vs Dallas Wings W 91 - 80
2026-06-19 vs Minnesota Lynx L 75 - 81
2026-06-21 @ Las Vegas Aces L 73 - 92
2026-06-24 vs Atlanta Dream W 77 - 66
2026-06-26 vs Atlanta Dream W 78 - 75
2026-06-28 vs New York Liberty W 76 - 67
2026-07-04 @ Atlanta Dream W 88 - 83
2026-07-06 @ Washington Mystics W 62 - 49
2026-07-08 @ Toronto Tempo W 83 - 75
2026-07-10 @ Connecticut Sun W 79 - 64
2026-07-15 @ Indiana Fever W 88 - 75
2026-07-18 vs Washington Mystics W 74 - 69
2026-07-20 vs Washington Mystics L 82 - 90
2026-07-29 @ Phoenix Mercury L 89 - 91
2026-08-02 vs Toronto Tempo W 96 - 79
2026-08-04 vs Toronto Tempo W 92 - 81
2026-08-07 @ Dallas Wings W 94 - 76
2026-08-09 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 84 - 78
2026-08-12 vs Chicago Sky W 91 - 71
2026-08-17 vs Dallas Wings W 78 - 70
2026-08-19 vs Minnesota Lynx L 66 - 77
2026-08-21 @ Chicago Sky L 70 - 73
2026-08-24 @ Minnesota Lynx W 80 - 66
2026-08-26 @ Connecticut Sun W 89 - 64
2026-08-27 @ New York Liberty W 79 - 60
2026-08-30 @ Portland Fire W 86 - 69
2026-09-18 vs Portland Fire W 82 - 66
2026-09-19 vs Seattle Storm W 70 - 57
2026-09-22 @ Portland Fire L 82 - 90
2026-09-24 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 76 - 75
2026-09-27 vs Dallas Wings W 104 - 80
2026-09-30 @ Dallas Wings L 100 - 108
2026-10-02 vs Dallas Wings W 77 - 73
2026-10-04 vs Las Vegas Aces W 71 - 60
2026-10-07 vs Las Vegas Aces W 83 - 81
2026-10-09 @ Las Vegas Aces W 87 - 77
2026-10-17 vs Atlanta Dream W 68 - 64
2026-10-19 vs Atlanta Dream L 65 - 79
2026-10-21 @ Atlanta Dream L 71 - 97
2026-10-24 @ Atlanta Dream W 67 - 62
2026-10-26 vs Atlanta Dream W 64 - 55
2026-10-29 @ Atlanta Dream L 69 - 80
2026-10-31 vs Atlanta Dream W 68 - 63

2026 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Gabby Williams Gabby Williams F 52 27.0 16.0 3.5 2.5 1.8 0.2 1.6 14.3 8.2 132 52 2.5 3.8 39.6 33.8 79.5 0.32 50.6 46.2
Veronica Burton Veronica Burton G 57 29.3 11.5 3.9 5.3 1.5 0.6 1.5 9.4 12.0 367 57 6.4 8.8 39.1 32.4 83.6 3.51 52.7 45.9
Janelle Salaun Janelle Salaun F 50 19.7 11.0 3.4 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.7 8.6 6.7 158 50 3.2 6.4 42.1 39.0 77.4 0.38 57.3 53.6
Tiffany Hayes Tiffany Hayes G 55 18.4 9.8 2.3 2.4 0.9 0.2 1.3 7.4 6.9 134 55 2.4 5.3 44.8 27.1 78.8 0.38 55.8 49.3
Cecilia Zandalasini Cecilia Zandalasini F 50 19.0 8.6 2.0 1.5 0.9 0.2 1.3 7.9 4.0 154 50 3.1 6.5 38.8 33.5 80.3 0.92 50.3 47.1
Kayla Thornton Kayla Thornton F 57 23.2 7.3 4.4 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.6 6.3 6.2 216 57 3.8 6.5 36.7 35.1 90.0 1.2 52.6 47.8
Kaitlyn Chen Kaitlyn Chen G 57 14.0 6.4 1.1 1.7 0.2 0.0 1.1 5.1 3.3 92 57 1.6 4.6 50.2 42.7 75.5 -0.6 58.2 56.1
Kaila Charles Kaila Charles G 57 21.0 6.2 4.7 1.4 0.8 0.3 1.0 5.7 6.6 233 57 4.1 7.8 39.9 29.7 77.8 1.39 49.6 45.8
Kiah Stokes Kiah Stokes C 56 23.7 3.7 6.8 1.3 0.5 1.9 0.6 3.4 10.1 106 56 1.9 3.2 45.3 27.9 47.8 -0.96 51.7 51.6
Laeticia Amihere Laeticia Amihere F 44 11.5 3.7 3.1 0.9 0.5 0.7 0.7 2.8 5.4 105 44 2.4 8.3 49.2 38.9 58.7 0.41 54.8 52.0
Juste Jocyte Juste Jocyte G 18 7.4 2.9 0.7 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.7 2.6 1.6 4 18 0.2 1.2 38.3 44.4 83.3 -0.84 53.4 51.1
Aminata Gueye Aminata Gueye C 7 8.4 2.7 2.0 0.6 0.6 0.3 1.4 3.3 1.4 -20 7 -2.9 -13.5 30.4 0.0 100.0 -0.64 37.7 30.4
Ashten Prechtel Ashten Prechtel - 6 7.3 1.8 1.8 0.5 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.5 2.3 - - - - 33.3 33.3 100.0 - 53.3 44.4
Nadia Fingall Nadia Fingall - 10 3.3 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 -24 10 -2.4 -29.9 66.7 33.3 100.0 -0.96 79.9 75.0
M. Goodchild M. Goodchild - 7 3.6 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.4 -1.0 -31 7 -4.4 -52.4 10.0 0.0 0 -1.01 10.0 10.0
Ndjakalenga Mwenentanda Ndjakalenga Mwenentanda - 5 2.6 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 5 7 0.7 4.5 0.0 0.0 0 -0.27 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026 Shot Zones

3880 located field-goal attempts in 57 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Hayes17% Williams22% Williams32% Williams23% Zandalasini30% Salaun33% Thornton20% Williams20% Salaun22% Thornton20%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Williams17% Williams20% Williams30% Williams32% Williams26% Salaun27% Thornton30% Williams19% Williams24% Thornton19%
Misses: who misses most here

Gabby WilliamsJanelle SalaunTiffany HayesCecilia ZandalasiniKayla Thornton

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 459-722 63.6 918 Tiffany Hayes 17% (154 pts) Gabby Williams 14% (130 pts) Gabby Williams 17% (46 misses) Tiffany Hayes 15% (39 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 420-1024 41.0 840 Gabby Williams 22% (184 pts) Veronica Burton 16% (138 pts) Gabby Williams 20% (123 misses) Veronica Burton 19% (112 misses)
Mid-range left 62-171 36.3 124 Gabby Williams 32% (40 pts) Cecilia Zandalasini 19% (24 pts) Gabby Williams 30% (33 misses) Cecilia Zandalasini 18% (20 misses)
Mid-range center 39-120 32.5 78 Gabby Williams 23% (18 pts) Janelle Salaun 21% (16 pts) Gabby Williams 32% (26 misses) Janelle Salaun 20% (16 misses)
Mid-range right 57-165 34.5 114 Cecilia Zandalasini 30% (34 pts) Gabby Williams 18% (20 pts) Gabby Williams 26% (28 misses) Cecilia Zandalasini 19% (21 misses)
Left corner 3 36-96 37.5 108 Janelle Salaun 33% (36 pts) Gabby Williams 22% (24 pts) Janelle Salaun 27% (16 misses) Kayla Thornton 22% (13 misses)
Right corner 3 35-81 43.2 105 Kayla Thornton 20% (21 pts) Kaila Charles 14% (15 pts) Kayla Thornton 30% (14 misses) Kaila Charles 13% (6 misses)
Above-break 3 left 215-622 34.6 645 Gabby Williams 20% (132 pts) Janelle Salaun 20% (129 pts) Gabby Williams 19% (77 misses) Janelle Salaun 17% (71 misses)
Above-break 3 center 97-281 34.5 291 Janelle Salaun 22% (63 pts) Gabby Williams 20% (57 pts) Gabby Williams 24% (44 misses) Veronica Burton 18% (33 misses)
Above-break 3 right 187-598 31.3 561 Kayla Thornton 20% (114 pts) Gabby Williams 13% (72 pts) Kayla Thornton 19% (79 misses) Gabby Williams 15% (63 misses)