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Gettysburg

Also known as: Gettysburg
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1168 (#14) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1184 (#39) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +20.1 (#25) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.951 (#200) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +26.1 More → 0.974 (#30) NetEff +26.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +36.2 More → 0.985 (#127) AdjNet +36.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +35.8 More → 0.986 (#129) AdjNet +35.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 51.7 More → 0.859 (#145) AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 51.7

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-11 @ Eastern W 78 - 42
2024-11-16 @ Randolph-Macon W 79 - 47
2024-11-17 @ Roanoke W 91 - 69
2024-11-20 vs Penn St.-Altoona W 84 - 48
2024-11-22 @ SUNY Cobleskill W 70 - 61
2024-11-23 @ Marymount (VA) W 62 - 47
2024-11-26 vs York (PA) W 59 - 44
2024-12-04 vs Messiah W 61 - 47
2024-12-07 @ Franklin & Marshall W 70 - 51
2024-12-20 vs Williams L 54 - 58
2024-12-21 @ Emerson W 66 - 49
2025-01-04 vs Susquehanna W 75 - 52
2025-01-08 @ Washington Col. W 66 - 47
2025-01-11 vs Johns Hopkins W 54 - 44
2025-01-15 vs Franklin & Marshall W 65 - 42
2025-01-18 @ Ursinus W 60 - 53
2025-01-22 @ Dickinson W 60 - 41
2025-01-25 vs Swarthmore W 71 - 35
2025-01-29 vs McDaniel W 61 - 46
2025-02-05 @ Johns Hopkins L 51 - 59
2025-02-08 vs Muhlenberg W 89 - 42
2025-02-12 vs Dickinson W 59 - 39
2025-02-15 @ Haverford W 71 - 33
2025-02-19 @ McDaniel W 68 - 52
2025-02-22 vs Bryn Mawr W 84 - 42
2025-02-28 vs Washington Col. W 58 - 39
2025-03-02 @ Johns Hopkins W 68 - 60
2025-03-07 vs Stevens W 64 - 46
2025-03-08 vs Western New Eng. W 55 - 52
2025-03-14 @ Randolph-Macon W 56 - 49
2025-03-15 vs NYU L 51 - 76

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Alayna Arnolie - 30 29.7 14.3 3.2 2.1 2.4 0.2 1.7 14.8 5.7 129 4.6 4.9 39.2 26.8 76.2 0.94 46.4 44.7
Shinya Lee - 31 25.5 10.3 9.9 0.8 1.3 2.9 1.0 8.4 15.9 112 3.5 4.7 52.5 100.0 58.4 0.93 54.3 52.7
AB Holsinger - 31 27.1 7.6 2.4 3.0 1.2 0.1 2.3 6.2 5.9 82 2.6 3.3 44.6 42.2 74.0 0.6 54.9 51.6
Jameson Mott - 31 16.7 6.9 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.5 6.6 2.7 86 2.5 4.7 38.0 36.1 74.1 0.97 49.6 47.6
Emily Violante - 28 22.3 6.0 5.6 2.0 0.8 0.1 2.0 3.9 8.5 59 2.0 2.9 50.5 25.0 84.8 0.28 60.5 50.9
Mackenzie Szlosek - 8 7.0 5.1 1.5 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 3.4 4.0 - - - 59.3 16.7 100.0 -0.06 67.2 61.1
Reagan Chrencik - 31 12.0 4.7 3.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.6 3.5 4.9 17 0.4 0.8 43.5 20.0 73.1 0.15 53.1 44.9
Kimberly Hopkins - 31 16.1 4.2 2.4 0.8 0.6 0.2 1.7 4.4 2.1 56 1.4 2.3 32.1 27.3 79.5 0.65 41.3 34.3
Ava O'Neil - 31 13.4 2.9 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.2 1.2 3.4 1.2 56 1.4 2.4 30.8 28.8 72.7 0.58 40.9 38.9
Skylar Reale - 31 14.6 2.6 3.1 0.8 0.6 0.3 1.1 2.3 4.1 49 1.2 2.0 38.6 30.0 55.8 0.56 45.5 40.7
Tatum Murray - 29 4.1 2.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.3 0.5 10 0.5 2.1 36.4 27.3 50.0 0.08 46.3 45.5
Amanda Rapel - 28 5.3 1.6 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.8 0.6 4 0.1 0.4 28.6 32.1 70.0 -0.34 41.2 37.8
Adeline Standish - 31 4.0 1.5 1.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 1.4 1.8 38 1.5 4.3 47.6 0 83.3 0.46 50.4 47.6
Briana Robles - 31 2.7 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.0 -36 -1.4 -5.0 29.0 26.7 73.3 -0.01 43.9 35.5
Sarah Bertolette - 19 1.9 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 -8 -0.7 -3.1 40.0 0 33.3 -0.15 39.8 40.0
Sireen Maharmeh - 29 1.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 8 0.7 7.6 40.0 0.0 0 0.19 40.0 40.0
Colleen McGovern - 22 0.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 - - - 20.0 0.0 0 - 20.0 20.0
Mia Raymond - 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG