Georgia State
Model Outputs
1994-1995
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 818 (#241) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 854 (#233) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 940 (#216) | HCA +101 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -10.9 (#254) | HCA +3.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.1 (#250) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.294 (#230) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.167 (#253) | AdjNet -14.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.161 (#255) | AdjNet -14.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.283 (#255) | AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 79.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.372 (#244) | AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 75.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.274 (#251) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.290 (#251) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 861 (#225) | RD 150 | GP 27 |
1995 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994-11-25 | @ | Gonzaga | L | 65 - 90 |
| 1994-11-26 | N | Yale | W | 77 - 72 |
| 1994-12-07 | @ | Memphis | L | 52 - 124 |
| 1994-12-10 | @ | Louisiana Tech | L | 57 - 70 |
| 1994-12-15 | vs | Louisiana Tech | L | 71 - 74 |
| 1994-12-17 | vs | Grambling | W | 103 - 76 |
| 1994-12-28 | @ | Louisiana State | L | 70 - 105 |
| 1995-01-02 | @ | Florida International | L | 64 - 75 |
| 1995-01-04 | @ | Florida Atlantic | L | 61 - 65 |
| 1995-01-07 | @ | Southeastern Louisiana | L | 72 - 96 |
| 1995-01-09 | @ | Centenary (LA) | W | 66 - 65 |
| 1995-01-12 | vs | UCF | L | 61 - 68 |
| 1995-01-14 | vs | Florida International | W | 81 - 66 |
| 1995-01-21 | vs | Samford | L | 70 - 83 |
| 1995-01-26 | @ | UCF | L | 77 - 93 |
| 1995-01-28 | @ | Mercer | W | 88 - 71 |
| 1995-01-30 | vs | Florida Atlantic | W | 82 - 63 |
| 1995-02-02 | vs | College of Charleston | L | 77 - 83 |
| 1995-02-04 | vs | Campbell | W | 77 - 66 |
| 1995-02-09 | @ | College of Charleston | L | 58 - 90 |
| 1995-02-11 | @ | Campbell | W | 82 - 64 |
| 1995-02-16 | vs | Mercer | W | 84 - 66 |
| 1995-02-18 | vs | Stetson | L | 64 - 67 |
| 1995-02-23 | vs | Centenary (LA) | L | 82 - 84 |
| 1995-02-25 | @ | Samford | L | 74 - 98 |
| 1995-03-02 | N | Samford | W | 71 - 57 |
| 1995-03-03 | N | Mercer | L | 71 - 81 |
1995 Roster
No roster data available for this season.