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Georgia State

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Georgia State Panthers
Program History
Coach: Jon Cremins

2027 Team Stats (2 games)

70.0
PPG
76.5
Opp
-6.5
Margin
41.5%
FG%
41.1%
3P%
54.3%
FT%
31.0
RPG
11.0
APG
11.5
TO
69.2
Est. poss./game
67.1
Adj PPG
66.6
Adj Opp PPG
#182
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 873 (returning production + recruiting): last season 861, returning -26, transfers +57, freshmen -20 More → 839 (#249) Preseason prior 873 (returning production + recruiting): last season 861, returning -26, transfers +57, freshmen -20
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 914 (#246) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +274 elo More → 943 (#280) HCA +274 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +11.1 More → +4.2 (#115) HCA +11.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +11.1 More → +4.2 (#113) HCA +11.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.332 (#214) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.9 More → 0.412 (#212) AdjNet -3.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.9 More → 0.411 (#213) AdjNet -3.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 66.6 More → 0.454 (#182) AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 66.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 66.6 More → 0.474 (#179) AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 66.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.433 (#191) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.436 (#190) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 199 | GP 2 More → 899 (#250) RD 199 | GP 2

2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Bowling Green Falcons L 73 - 76
2026-11-05 @ Charlotte 49ers L 67 - 77
2026-11-07 vs Andrew Fighting Tigers - Preview
2026-11-10 @ Fresno State Bulldogs - Preview

2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jacob Meyer Jacob Meyer G 2 39.5 18.0 1.5 5.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 16.0 7.5 0 1 0.0 0.0 37.5 40.0 57.1 0.22 47.2 43.8
Jacolb Fredson-Cole Jacolb Fredson-Cole F 2 33.5 15.5 8.0 1.0 2.5 0.0 2.0 11.5 13.5 0 1 0.0 0.0 56.5 83.3 0.0 -1.47 64.9 67.4
Jaden Jackson Jaden Jackson G 2 39.5 14.5 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 2.0 13.5 2.5 -5 1 -5.0 -5.2 37.0 37.5 0 -0.1 53.7 53.7
David Thomas David Thomas G 2 39.0 13.5 3.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 12.0 7.0 -3 1 -3.0 -3.0 37.5 30.8 62.5 -1.43 49.1 45.8
Christopher Jones Christopher Jones G 2 24.5 8.5 3.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 1.0 3.5 9.5 6 1 6.0 10.6 71.4 50.0 66.7 -0.43 77.6 78.6
Keeper Jackson Keeper Jackson F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Mason Nicholson Mason Nicholson F 2 17.5 0.0 4.5 0.5 0.5 2.0 1.5 1.5 4.5 -16 1 -16.0 -35.3 0.0 0 0.0 -3.02 0.0 0.0
Eric Parnell Eric Parnell G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jonas Sirtautas Jonas Sirtautas F 2 4.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 4 1 4.0 21.5 0.0 0 0 0.44 0.0 0.0
AJ Smith AJ Smith G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Zion Wilburn Zion Wilburn G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Orion Wilson Orion Wilson F 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1 1 -1.0 -8.5 0.0 0.0 0 -0.34 0.0 0.0
Owen Augunas Owen Augunas G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Terrance Dixon Jr. Terrance Dixon Jr. F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Shiyloh Fisher Shiyloh Fisher G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

118 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Jones31% Meyer83% Fredson-Cole100% Thomas50% Thomas50% Jackson100% Jackson46% Meyer33% Meyer50%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Meyer64% Meyer24% Thomas67% Meyer40% Thomas100% Jackson67% Jackson55% Meyer50% Jackson45%
Misses: who misses most here

Jacolb Fredson-ColeJaden JacksonJacob MeyerDavid ThomasChristopher Jones

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 13-24 54.2 26 Christopher Jones 31% (8 pts) David Thomas 23% (6 pts) Jacob Meyer 64% (7 misses) Jacolb Fredson-Cole 36% (4 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 6-23 26.1 12 Jacob Meyer 83% (10 pts) Jacolb Fredson-Cole 17% (2 pts) Jacob Meyer 24% (4 misses) Jacolb Fredson-Cole 24% (4 misses)
Mid-range left 3-6 50.0 6 Jacolb Fredson-Cole 100% (6 pts) - David Thomas 67% (2 misses) Jacob Meyer 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 2-2 100.0 4 David Thomas 50% (2 pts) Jacob Meyer 50% (2 pts) - -
Mid-range right 2-7 28.6 4 David Thomas 50% (2 pts) Jacolb Fredson-Cole 50% (2 pts) Jacob Meyer 40% (2 misses) David Thomas 20% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 0-2 0.0 0 - - David Thomas 100% (2 misses) -
Right corner 3 1-4 25.0 3 Jaden Jackson 100% (3 pts) - Jaden Jackson 67% (2 misses) David Thomas 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 13-24 54.2 39 Jaden Jackson 46% (18 pts) David Thomas 31% (12 pts) Jaden Jackson 55% (6 misses) David Thomas 36% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 center 3-9 33.3 9 Jacob Meyer 33% (3 pts) Jacolb Fredson-Cole 33% (3 pts) Jacob Meyer 50% (3 misses) Jaden Jackson 33% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 6-17 35.3 18 Jacob Meyer 50% (9 pts) Jacolb Fredson-Cole 33% (6 pts) Jaden Jackson 45% (5 misses) Jacob Meyer 27% (3 misses)