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Georgia Southern

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Georgia Southern Eagles
Program History
Coach: Charlie Henry

2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)

80.3
PPG
82.3
Opp
-2.0
Margin
38.9%
FG%
33.0%
3P%
63.7%
FT%
41.3
RPG
9.0
APG
12.7
TO
76.0
Est. poss./game
73.5
Adj PPG
78.0
Adj Opp PPG
#265
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 812 (returning production + recruiting): last season 982, returning -73, transfers -63, freshmen -34 More → 802 (#277) Preseason prior 812 (returning production + recruiting): last season 982, returning -73, transfers -63, freshmen -34
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +218 elo More → 887 (#291) HCA +218 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +218 elo More → 928 (#309) HCA +218 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.1 More → -3.5 (#193) HCA +2.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.1 More → -3.4 (#190) HCA +2.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.357 (#204) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.6 More → 0.438 (#190) AdjNet +0.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.6 More → 0.438 (#188) AdjNet +0.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 78.0 More → 0.375 (#265) AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 78.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 78.1 More → 0.398 (#266) AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 78.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.391 (#230) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.395 (#229) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 179 | GP 3 More → 882 (#273) RD 179 | GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.352 (#225) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Ball State Cardinals W 67 - 55
2026-11-06 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 83 - 95
2026-11-10 vs Mercer Bears L 91 - 97
2026-11-13 @ UCF Knights - Preview
2026-11-17 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders - Preview
2026-11-19 @ Houston Christian Huskies - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Eltramon Smith Jr. Eltramon Smith Jr. F 3 33.0 19.7 6.3 0.7 0.7 1.0 2.0 12.0 14.3 - - - - 50.0 40.0 76.5 - 67.8 63.9
Dallas Gardner Dallas Gardner G 3 32.3 17.3 10.3 3.0 1.0 0.7 1.0 11.3 20.0 - - - - 41.2 0.0 70.6 - 53.1 41.2
Truman Claytor Iv Truman Claytor Iv F 3 35.7 15.3 5.0 1.3 1.3 0.7 2.7 14.7 6.3 - - - - 38.6 39.1 42.9 - 48.9 48.9
Josh Dixon Josh Dixon G 3 20.0 9.3 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.3 7.0 3.0 - - - - 47.6 50.0 57.1 - 58.1 57.1
Jeromy Davis Jeromy Davis G 3 17.0 6.7 5.3 0.0 1.0 0.3 1.0 6.7 5.7 - - - - 30.0 18.2 85.7 - 43.3 35.0
Rashaad Williams Rashaad Williams G 2 20.0 3.5 2.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 - - - - 20.0 40.0 50.0 - 32.2 30.0
Jayden Williams Jayden Williams G 3 19.0 2.7 3.0 1.3 0.7 0.3 1.0 2.0 5.0 0 2 0.0 0.0 50.0 0 66.7 -0.72 54.6 50.0
Cole Crissman Cole Crissman F 3 10.0 2.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.3 1.0 3.3 0.7 - - - - 30.0 22.2 0 - 40.0 40.0
Elidjah Savane Elidjah Savane F 3 19.7 2.3 3.7 0.3 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.7 4.7 - - - - 25.0 0 30.0 - 28.2 25.0
Elton James Elton James F 3 8.7 2.0 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 3.0 0.3 - - - - 22.2 0.0 50.0 - 27.9 22.2
Tsvet Sotirov Tsvet Sotirov F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Dwayne Williams Jr Dwayne Williams Jr G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jayden Crawford Jayden Crawford G 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2 1 -2.0 -171.4 0 0 0 -0.34 0 0
Armani Henderson Armani Henderson G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

195 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Gardner48% Gardner21% Dixon50% Claytor50% Smith100% Crissman100% Claytor56% Smith50% Smith25%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Gardner23% Gardner26% Gardner33% Davis50% Gardner25% Smith40% Smith100% Claytor32% Smith29% Crissman28%
Misses: who misses most here

Eltramon Smith Jr.Truman Claytor IvDallas GardnerJosh DixonJeromy DavisCole Crissman

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 21-43 48.8 42 Dallas Gardner 48% (20 pts) Eltramon Smith Jr. 19% (8 pts) Dallas Gardner 23% (5 misses) Truman Claytor Iv 23% (5 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 19-50 38.0 38 Dallas Gardner 21% (8 pts) Eltramon Smith Jr. 21% (8 pts) Dallas Gardner 26% (8 misses) Josh Dixon 16% (5 misses)
Mid-range left 2-5 40.0 4 Josh Dixon 50% (2 pts) Truman Claytor Iv 50% (2 pts) Dallas Gardner 33% (1 misses) Eltramon Smith Jr. 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 0-2 0.0 0 - - Jeromy Davis 50% (1 misses) Truman Claytor Iv 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 6-10 60.0 12 Truman Claytor Iv 50% (6 pts) Josh Dixon 33% (4 pts) Dallas Gardner 25% (1 misses) Eltramon Smith Jr. 25% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 1-6 16.7 3 Eltramon Smith Jr. 100% (3 pts) - Eltramon Smith Jr. 40% (2 misses) Jeromy Davis 40% (2 misses)
Right corner 3 1-2 50.0 3 Cole Crissman 100% (3 pts) - Eltramon Smith Jr. 100% (1 misses) -
Above-break 3 left 9-34 26.5 27 Truman Claytor Iv 56% (15 pts) Eltramon Smith Jr. 44% (12 pts) Truman Claytor Iv 32% (8 misses) Eltramon Smith Jr. 20% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 center 2-9 22.2 6 Eltramon Smith Jr. 50% (3 pts) Truman Claytor Iv 50% (3 pts) Eltramon Smith Jr. 29% (2 misses) Truman Claytor Iv 29% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 16-34 47.1 48 Eltramon Smith Jr. 25% (12 pts) Josh Dixon 25% (12 pts) Cole Crissman 28% (5 misses) Eltramon Smith Jr. 17% (3 misses)