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Geneva

Also known as: Geneva
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 897 (#532) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 867 (#527) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 851 (#722) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -14.2 (#396) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -18.8 (#670) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.580 (#417) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.8 More → 0.313 (#445) AdjNet -6.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.0 More → 0.305 (#447) AdjNet -7.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 73.7 More → 0.366 (#469) AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 73.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 75.3 More → 0.265 (#697) AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 75.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.169 (#696) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.177 (#699) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 22 More → 822 (#536) RD 99 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-10 @ Robert Morris - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 vs Lancaster Bible - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Carlow - Incomplete score
2025-11-18 vs Mount Aloysius - Incomplete score
2025-11-21 vs Lynchburg - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ SUNY Potsdam - Incomplete score
2025-11-24 @ Pitt.-Bradford - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 vs Pitt.-Greensburg - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 @ Grove City - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Allegheny - Incomplete score
2025-12-29 @ Wooster - Incomplete score
2025-12-30 vs Hanover - Incomplete score
2026-01-07 vs Hiram - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Wash. & Jeff. - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 @ Thiel - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Waynesburg - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 @ Westminster (PA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Bethany (WV) - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 @ Allegheny - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Saint Vincent - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 vs Grove City - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Franciscan - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jonathan Bertovich - 21 32.3 15.2 5.2 3.3 1.0 0.4 3.0 11.9 10.2 -23 -1.1 -5.3 44.8 40.0 76.5 -1.86 58.5 56.0
Trey Barker - 21 32.5 12.5 4.3 1.0 0.4 0.0 1.3 11.3 5.7 31 1.6 6.7 43.9 39.6 71.4 4.49 53.4 52.3
Tommy Coletti - 21 34.3 12.2 5.5 2.5 0.7 1.0 2.6 9.8 9.6 -11 -0.6 -2.2 44.7 33.3 72.2 1.78 53.4 48.5
Nick Million - 16 28.1 10.4 5.2 0.6 0.9 0.7 1.1 10.6 6.1 -47 -3.1 -12.4 37.1 29.4 60.0 -3.31 47.3 46.5
Austin Matthews - 21 22.2 7.5 5.5 0.4 0.5 0.3 1.5 5.8 7.0 -47 -2.4 -14.1 50.8 0 69.4 -1.19 55.0 50.8
Alec Srock - 21 21.4 6.6 4.6 0.9 0.5 0.0 1.4 5.3 5.8 -4 -0.2 -1.7 47.3 0 57.1 -1.56 50.5 47.3
Ryan Edwards - 21 15.9 3.2 1.5 1.0 0.7 0.0 1.2 2.3 2.8 -44 -2.2 -18.8 37.5 42.9 82.6 -3.3 57.6 50.0
Tayt Lucas - 21 10.7 2.9 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 2.6 1.5 -44 -2.2 -24.7 38.9 36.6 100.0 -3.53 54.2 52.8
Elijah Brush - 11 3.9 0.9 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.3 1 0.1 11.2 36.4 0.0 66.7 -0.78 40.6 36.4
Stanford Webb - 7 3.6 0.9 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.4 -15 -3.0 -310.3 27.3 0.0 0 - 27.3 27.3
Micah Fisher - 11 4.9 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.3 -0.3 -18 -1.6 -35.5 21.4 0.0 0 -3.61 21.4 21.4
Luke Lyle - 10 2.8 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7 -4 -0.5 -23.4 0 0 100.0 - 113.6 0
Chase Melat - 5 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 -0.6 3 0.8 62.1 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Danny Lauer - 10 3.1 0.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 8 1.0 31.6 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Tyler Travillion - 3 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 -1.3 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Narku Hanson-Nortey - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ian Snyder - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Nate Thompson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Cooper Wilkins - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG