Geneva
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 972 (#424) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 918 (#468) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 851 (#722) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -14.8 (#312) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -18.8 (#670) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.580 (#417) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.313 (#445) | AdjNet -6.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.305 (#447) | AdjNet -7.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.366 (#469) | AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 73.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.265 (#697) | AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 75.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.169 (#696) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.177 (#699) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 820 (#543) | RD 99 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 | @ | Robert Morris | L | 47 - 93 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Lancaster Bible | L | 62 - 88 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Carlow | W | 82 - 68 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Mount Aloysius | W | 85 - 78 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Lynchburg | L | 60 - 74 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | SUNY Potsdam | W | 86 - 60 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Pitt.-Bradford | L | 88 - 96 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Pitt.-Greensburg | L | 62 - 94 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Grove City | W | 64 - 52 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Allegheny | W | 83 - 80 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Wooster | L | 63 - 80 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Hanover | L | 68 - 80 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Hiram | W | 72 - 63 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Wash. & Jeff. | L | 64 - 68 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Thiel | W | 63 - 61 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Waynesburg | L | 43 - 62 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Westminster (PA) | L | 58 - 74 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Bethany (WV) | W | 90 - 82 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Allegheny | L | 70 - 79 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Saint Vincent | L | 63 - 70 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Grove City | L | 67 - 73 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Franciscan | L | 64 - 78 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bertovich | - | 22 | 32.3 | 14.5 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 3.2 | 11.5 | 9.7 | -23 | -1.1 | -5.3 | 44.3 | 39.4 | 76.5 | 0.56 | 57.9 | 55.3 |
| Trey Barker | - | 22 | 32.3 | 12.3 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 11.2 | 5.5 | 31 | 1.6 | 6.7 | 43.3 | 39.0 | 71.4 | 1.29 | 52.7 | 51.6 |
| Tommy Coletti | - | 22 | 33.9 | 12.1 | 5.4 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 9.7 | 9.3 | -11 | -0.6 | -2.2 | 44.6 | 33.3 | 72.8 | 1.41 | 53.5 | 48.6 |
| Nick Million | - | 17 | 27.6 | 10.7 | 4.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 10.6 | 6.1 | -47 | -3.1 | -12.4 | 37.8 | 31.4 | 60.0 | -0.55 | 48.8 | 48.1 |
| Austin Matthews | - | 22 | 22.1 | 7.4 | 5.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 5.7 | 6.8 | -47 | -2.4 | -14.1 | 50.4 | 0 | 69.8 | 1.01 | 54.9 | 50.4 |
| Alec Srock | - | 22 | 21.4 | 6.5 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.2 | 5.7 | -4 | -0.2 | -1.7 | 47.8 | 0 | 57.1 | -3.26 | 50.8 | 47.8 |
| Ryan Edwards | - | 22 | 15.7 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 2.7 | -44 | -2.2 | -18.8 | 37.5 | 42.9 | 79.2 | -4.86 | 57.2 | 50.0 |
| Tayt Lucas | - | 22 | 10.9 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.6 | -44 | -2.2 | -24.7 | 39.3 | 37.2 | 100.0 | -2.9 | 55.0 | 53.6 |
| Elijah Brush | - | 12 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1 | 0.1 | 11.2 | 41.7 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.1 | 45.0 | 41.7 |
| Stanford Webb | - | 8 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.2 | -15 | -3.0 | -310.3 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.48 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Micah Fisher | - | 12 | 5.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | -0.1 | -18 | -1.6 | -35.5 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.71 | 22.0 | 20.0 |
| Luke Lyle | - | 11 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | -4 | -0.5 | -23.4 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.95 | 113.6 | 0 |
| Chase Melat | - | 6 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | -1.0 | 3 | 0.8 | 62.1 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.48 | 14.3 | 14.3 |
| Danny Lauer | - | 11 | 3.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 8 | 1.0 | 31.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.53 | 10.2 | 0.0 |
| Tyler Travillion | - | 4 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Narku Hanson-Nortey | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ian Snyder | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Nate Thompson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Cooper Wilkins | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG