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Gardner-Webb Runnin'

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
Program History
Coach: Jeremy Luther

2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)

48.0
PPG
92.0
Opp
-44.0
Margin
29.3%
FG%
26.2%
3P%
63.3%
FT%
25.5
RPG
5.5
APG
20.0
TO
71.3
Est. poss./game
58.4
Adj PPG
67.4
Adj Opp PPG
#355
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 656 (returning production + recruiting): last season 746, returning +14, transfers -70, freshmen -34 More → 655 (#360) Preseason prior 656 (returning production + recruiting): last season 746, returning +14, transfers -70, freshmen -34
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 813 (#355) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +274 elo More → 902 (#356) HCA +274 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +11.1 More → -8.8 (#296) HCA +11.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +11.1 More → -8.5 (#292) HCA +11.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.029 (#365) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -26.4 More → 0.162 (#364) AdjNet -26.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -26.6 More → 0.156 (#364) AdjNet -26.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 58.4 | AdjD 67.4 More → 0.259 (#355) AdjO 58.4 | AdjD 67.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.4 | AdjD 67.4 More → 0.307 (#354) AdjO 58.4 | AdjD 67.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.217 (#357) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.225 (#357) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 200 | GP 2 More → 776 (#359) RD 200 | GP 2

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ UConn Huskies L 46 - 86
2026-11-05 @ Texas Longhorns L 50 - 98
2026-11-11 vs Erskine Flying Fleet - Preview
2026-11-14 @ South Carolina Gamecocks - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jamias Ferere Jamias Ferere G 2 22.5 9.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 0.5 -49 2 -24.5 -44.4 25.0 28.6 100.0 -3.68 46.1 31.2
Mikhail Pocknett Mikhail Pocknett F 2 22.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 2.0 -45 2 -22.5 -40.8 50.0 0 54.5 -2.82 53.9 50.0
Jackson Skipper Jackson Skipper F 2 22.0 7.0 2.5 1.5 1.0 0.5 2.5 5.5 4.5 -48 2 -24.0 -43.5 45.5 44.4 0.0 -3.48 58.9 63.6
Seth Brown Seth Brown G 2 23.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 11.0 -3.0 -64 2 -32.0 -55.1 22.7 14.3 50.0 -3.06 29.5 27.3
Jacob Hudson Jacob Hudson G 2 20.5 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.5 0.5 -53 2 -26.5 -52.1 36.4 50.0 71.4 -1.91 49.7 40.9
Rue Wells Rue Wells G 2 23.0 4.5 2.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 3.5 5.0 0.5 -55 2 -27.5 -48.1 20.0 0.0 71.4 -1.44 34.4 20.0
David Gaymon David Gaymon G 1 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 -2 1 -2.0 -20.1 33.3 50.0 0 -0.38 50.0 50.0
DJ Daniel DJ Daniel G 2 10.5 2.5 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.5 2.5 -7 2 -3.5 -13.4 33.3 50.0 100.0 0.89 64.4 50.0
Ace Talbert Ace Talbert G 2 17.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 2.5 -1.0 -34 2 -17.0 -40.5 0.0 0.0 50.0 -2.29 8.5 0.0
Ginuwune Tropnas Ginuwune Tropnas PF 2 11.5 0.5 1.5 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 3.5 -18 2 -9.0 -30.0 0 0 50.0 0.31 56.8 0
Bryson Luther Bryson Luther G 2 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 -1.0 0 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 50.0 -0.17 26.6 0.0
Brave Rutsindura Brave Rutsindura C 2 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -16 2 -8.0 -109.4 0 0 0 -2.34 0 0
Samuel Nosakhare Samuel Nosakhare C 2 20.5 0.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 7.5 -49 2 -24.5 -46.9 0 0 0.0 -3.18 0.0 0
Chinedu Okpara Chinedu Okpara F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

92 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Pocknett40% Pocknett60% Hudson33% Ferere50% Brown100% Ferere100% Gaymon100% Skipper33% Skipper50% Skipper50%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Hudson50% Hudson25% Ferere50% Ferere100% Ferere40% Brown67% Ferere50% Brown42% Ferere33% Ferere25%
Misses: who misses most here

Jackson SkipperSeth BrownJamias FerereMikhail PocknettJacob HudsonDavid Gaymon

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 5-7 71.4 10 Mikhail Pocknett 40% (4 pts) Rue Wells 40% (4 pts) Jacob Hudson 50% (1 misses) Mikhail Pocknett 50% (1 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 5-25 20.0 10 Mikhail Pocknett 60% (6 pts) Jackson Skipper 20% (2 pts) Jacob Hudson 25% (5 misses) Mikhail Pocknett 20% (4 misses)
Mid-range left 3-9 33.3 6 Jacob Hudson 33% (2 pts) Jamias Ferere 33% (2 pts) Jamias Ferere 50% (3 misses) DJ Daniel 17% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 2-3 66.7 4 Jamias Ferere 50% (2 pts) Seth Brown 50% (2 pts) Jamias Ferere 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range right 1-6 16.7 2 Seth Brown 100% (2 pts) - Jamias Ferere 40% (2 misses) Seth Brown 40% (2 misses)
Left corner 3 1-4 25.0 3 Jamias Ferere 100% (3 pts) - Seth Brown 67% (2 misses) Jackson Skipper 33% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 1-3 33.3 3 David Gaymon 100% (3 pts) - Jamias Ferere 50% (1 misses) Seth Brown 50% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 3-15 20.0 9 Jackson Skipper 33% (3 pts) Jacob Hudson 33% (3 pts) Seth Brown 42% (5 misses) Ace Talbert 33% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 center 2-8 25.0 6 Jackson Skipper 50% (3 pts) Jamias Ferere 50% (3 pts) Jamias Ferere 33% (2 misses) Seth Brown 33% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 4-12 33.3 12 Jackson Skipper 50% (6 pts) DJ Daniel 25% (3 pts) Jamias Ferere 25% (2 misses) Rue Wells 25% (2 misses)