🐻⬇️🏀

Gannon

Also known as: Gannon
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1313 (#7) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1320 (#10) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1230 (#7) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +21.1 (#17) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +18.9 (#106) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.953 (#153) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +26.3 More → 0.975 (#91) NetEff +26.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +31.3 More → 0.974 (#113) AdjNet +31.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +31.2 More → 0.976 (#113) AdjNet +31.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 52.2 More → 0.856 (#124) AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 52.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 51.2 More → 0.810 (#25) AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 51.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.903 (#29) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.901 (#27) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 110 | GP 23 More → 1373 (#7) RD 110 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Union (TN) W 66 - 51
2025-11-08 vs Northern Mich. L 58 - 60
2025-11-09 vs North Georgia W 70 - 55
2025-11-15 vs Davis & Elkins W 90 - 37
2025-11-16 vs Charleston (WV) W 68 - 43
2025-11-19 @ Daemen W 57 - 50
2025-11-25 @ Saginaw Valley W 59 - 53
2025-11-26 @ Hawaii Hilo W 54 - 31
2025-12-06 @ Shepherd W 68 - 51
2025-12-16 vs Kutztown W 70 - 48
2025-12-20 @ West Chester W 82 - 61
2025-12-21 @ Millersville W 56 - 45
2026-01-02 vs Shippensburg W 62 - 30
2026-01-03 vs Lock Haven W 74 - 51
2026-01-10 @ California (PA) W 82 - 46
2026-01-14 vs Seton Hill W 83 - 57
2026-01-17 vs Indiana (PA) L 63 - 68
2026-01-24 @ Pitt.-Johnstown W 75 - 60
2026-01-28 vs Clarion W 83 - 74
2026-01-31 @ Slippery Rock W 72 - 51
2026-02-07 vs California (PA) W 72 - 51

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Bri Claxon - 21 28.9 16.5 2.9 1.6 1.7 0.1 1.2 13.7 7.9 194 8.1 27.5 47.4 34.6 82.6 5.34 56.5 53.8
Kate Ratliff - 21 28.1 11.5 5.5 2.7 1.8 1.4 2.1 10.2 10.5 171 7.1 22.3 39.1 31.9 86.4 -0.34 50.0 44.2
Mia Slater - 21 17.6 9.0 5.3 0.8 0.5 0.6 1.2 7.2 7.7 131 5.7 36.0 52.6 25.0 64.7 1.26 56.3 54.6
Jordan Popyk - 20 19.7 8.9 5.0 0.8 0.9 0.8 1.6 7.2 7.6 117 5.3 20.9 50.0 31.6 58.3 -0.24 53.9 52.1
Maddy Wheatley - 21 26.5 8.2 6.6 2.7 1.0 0.4 2.1 7.0 9.8 180 7.5 26.8 38.5 36.4 89.7 0.96 52.4 46.6
Olivia Pepple - 18 21.9 5.0 3.9 1.6 0.7 0.2 1.4 4.0 6.0 102 5.1 32.3 37.5 38.5 93.9 -4.22 52.0 41.0
Olivia Cernuto - 15 16.5 4.3 2.3 2.2 1.9 0.6 1.6 4.0 5.8 130 7.2 56.8 36.7 26.3 61.5 -0.33 45.5 40.8
Bella Deere - 21 13.0 3.7 2.2 0.6 0.3 0.2 1.0 3.3 2.6 81 3.5 28.3 39.1 25.0 93.8 1.83 50.6 44.9
Carissa Dunham - 4 12.4 2.5 1.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.8 1.8 3.5 -3 -0.6 -2.8 42.9 42.9 50.0 -2.1 63.5 64.3
Tori Mayes - 21 24.1 2.3 2.4 2.4 1.5 0.1 1.7 1.8 5.2 149 6.2 24.4 31.6 32.0 77.3 2.67 51.4 42.1
Katie Boal - 11 2.7 1.4 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.2 -8 -0.7 -45.6 60.0 0 75.0 0.66 63.8 60.0
Lauren Kingsley - 18 4.5 1.2 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.7 -9 -0.5 -22.7 39.1 0.0 66.7 -1.26 42.9 39.1
Taylor Ethridge - 16 6.0 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.4 1.1 0.8 17 1.0 19.7 11.8 0.0 83.3 1.62 22.9 11.8
Jenna Winowiecki - 11 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.6 -0.8 -9 -0.8 -61.5 0.0 0.0 0 0.83 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG