Gannon
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1224 (#2) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1320 (#8) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1266 (#2) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +27.2 (#3) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +29.5 (#23) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.912 (#120) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.993 (#80) | NetEff +42.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.957 (#71) | AdjNet +26.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.952 (#78) | AdjNet +25.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.874 (#63) | AdjO 96.2 | AdjD 74.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.907 (#2) | AdjO 93.5 | AdjD 68.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.946 (#2) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.943 (#2) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1432 (#3) | RD 102 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Bowie St. | W | 99 - 80 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Fayetteville St. | W | 102 - 92 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Findlay | W | 101 - 79 |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | Lake Superior St. | L | 87 - 99 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Virginia St. | W | 95 - 53 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Lake Erie | W | 105 - 75 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Shepherd | W | 91 - 79 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Saginaw Valley | W | 95 - 67 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Kutztown | W | 106 - 48 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | West Chester | W | 101 - 76 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Millersville | W | 74 - 70 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Shippensburg | W | 80 - 58 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Lock Haven | W | 87 - 73 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Edinboro | W | 103 - 82 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | California (PA) | L | 88 - 99 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Seton Hill | W | 88 - 59 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Indiana (PA) | W | 92 - 65 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Daemen | W | 79 - 61 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Pitt.-Johnstown | W | 112 - 86 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Clarion | W | 91 - 73 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Slippery Rock | W | 96 - 65 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | California (PA) | W | 115 - 87 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pace Prosser | - | 22 | 29.5 | 16.4 | 5.2 | 4.7 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 13.9 | 12.8 | 297 | 13.5 | 83.6 | 39.9 | 26.4 | 88.6 | 2.78 | 52.4 | 46.2 |
| Lucas Morgan | - | 21 | 23.8 | 13.2 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 8.2 | 13.0 | 182 | 9.1 | 60.0 | 53.5 | 20.4 | 80.0 | 2.15 | 63.7 | 56.4 |
| Lucas Sekasi | - | 22 | 22.9 | 11.4 | 5.8 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 9.4 | 12.3 | 247 | 11.2 | 87.3 | 46.4 | 29.2 | 65.7 | 2.18 | 52.9 | 49.8 |
| Mackenzie Morgan | - | 22 | 23.4 | 11.1 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 8.5 | 9.5 | 265 | 12.0 | 92.9 | 43.9 | 36.4 | 82.5 | 3.55 | 59.6 | 56.4 |
| Precious Idiaru | - | 22 | 18.3 | 10.6 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 8.6 | 6.5 | 68 | 3.2 | 31.9 | 45.3 | 30.6 | 68.6 | -0.09 | 54.8 | 52.1 |
| Layne Sarver | - | 22 | 21.0 | 9.4 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 8.5 | 5.0 | 164 | 7.8 | 72.8 | 39.0 | 32.8 | 60.0 | 1.2 | 51.4 | 50.3 |
| Victor Desmond | - | 22 | 22.1 | 8.3 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.1 | 8.4 | 250 | 11.4 | 95.3 | 50.4 | 23.1 | 58.9 | 3.03 | 54.5 | 51.5 |
| Carter Wamsley | - | 17 | 8.8 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 42.0 | 30.6 | 67.7 | -0.85 | 54.5 | 50.0 |
| Mason Kemp | - | 18 | 8.4 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 2.9 | 4.7 | 69 | 3.8 | 76.8 | 61.5 | 0.0 | 80.8 | 0.72 | 67.0 | 61.5 |
| Jaden Calloway | - | 22 | 18.3 | 4.5 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4.2 | 6.0 | 137 | 6.2 | 67.3 | 43.5 | 26.7 | 60.0 | -3.55 | 49.6 | 47.8 |
| Lathan Coleman | - | 6 | 5.0 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 3.5 | -2 | -0.4 | -13.0 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 70.0 | -0.52 | 59.8 | 53.6 |
| Rocco Morabito | - | 8 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 11 | 1.4 | 149.2 | 62.5 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.21 | 60.5 | 62.5 |
| Jack Burchard | - | 10 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.1 | -3 | -0.3 | -9.7 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 75.0 | -0.01 | 46.5 | 38.9 |
| Julian Rivera | - | 13 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 3 | 0.2 | 6.9 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.19 | 34.6 | 33.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG