🐻⬇️🏀

Gannon

Also known as: Gannon
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1417 (#1) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1390 (#4) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1266 (#2) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +28.5 (#14) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +29.5 (#23) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.912 (#120) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +42.6 More → 0.993 (#80) NetEff +42.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +26.8 More → 0.957 (#71) AdjNet +26.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +25.6 More → 0.952 (#78) AdjNet +25.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 96.2 | AdjD 74.8 More → 0.874 (#63) AdjO 96.2 | AdjD 74.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 93.5 | AdjD 68.4 More → 0.907 (#2) AdjO 93.5 | AdjD 68.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.946 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.943 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 22 More → 1428 (#3) RD 102 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Bowie St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Fayetteville St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ Findlay - Incomplete score
2025-11-26 vs Lake Superior St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 vs Virginia St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-30 vs Lake Erie - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 @ Shepherd - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 vs Saginaw Valley - Incomplete score
2025-12-16 vs Kutztown - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 @ West Chester - Incomplete score
2025-12-21 @ Millersville - Incomplete score
2026-01-02 vs Shippensburg - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 vs Lock Haven - Incomplete score
2026-01-07 @ Edinboro - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ California (PA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 vs Seton Hill - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Indiana (PA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 vs Daemen - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Pitt.-Johnstown - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 vs Clarion - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Slippery Rock - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs California (PA) - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Pace Prosser - 22 29.5 16.4 5.2 4.7 2.1 0.1 1.8 13.9 12.8 297 13.5 83.6 39.9 26.4 88.6 2.4 52.4 46.2
Lucas Morgan - 21 23.8 13.2 5.2 1.7 2.0 0.3 1.3 8.2 13.0 182 9.1 60.0 53.5 20.4 80.0 1.53 63.7 56.4
Lucas Sekasi - 22 22.9 11.4 5.8 4.5 1.9 0.4 2.2 9.4 12.3 247 11.2 87.3 46.4 29.2 65.7 3.78 52.9 49.8
Mackenzie Morgan - 22 23.4 11.1 4.2 1.0 2.0 0.4 0.7 8.5 9.5 265 12.0 92.9 43.9 36.4 82.5 3.48 59.6 56.4
Precious Idiaru - 22 18.3 10.6 4.0 0.7 1.0 0.3 1.6 8.6 6.5 68 3.2 31.9 45.3 30.6 68.6 3.75 54.8 52.1
Layne Sarver - 22 21.0 9.4 3.0 1.0 0.8 0.4 1.0 8.5 5.0 164 7.8 72.8 39.0 32.8 60.0 0.37 51.4 50.3
Victor Desmond - 22 22.1 8.3 4.8 1.4 1.0 1.0 2.0 6.1 8.4 250 11.4 95.3 50.4 23.1 58.9 4.56 54.5 51.5
Carter Wamsley - 17 8.8 5.3 2.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.8 4.1 3.1 1 0.1 1.3 42.0 30.6 67.7 -2.34 54.5 50.0
Mason Kemp - 18 8.4 4.7 2.0 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 2.9 4.7 69 3.8 76.8 61.5 0.0 80.8 2.9 67.0 61.5
Jaden Calloway - 22 18.3 4.5 3.3 2.1 1.7 0.0 1.5 4.2 6.0 137 6.2 67.3 43.5 26.7 60.0 -0.31 49.6 47.8
Lathan Coleman - 6 5.0 3.7 2.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.2 2.3 3.5 -2 -0.4 -13.0 50.0 25.0 70.0 -0.7 59.8 53.6
Rocco Morabito - 8 6.6 1.9 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.1 11 1.4 149.2 62.5 0 50.0 -0.03 60.5 62.5
Jack Burchard - 10 3.6 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.9 1.1 -3 -0.3 -9.7 33.3 50.0 75.0 -0.48 46.5 38.9
Julian Rivera - 13 4.3 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.0 3 0.2 6.9 33.3 0.0 50.0 0.58 34.6 33.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG