Ga. Southwestern
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1118 (#34) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1120 (#86) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1071 (#102) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.9 (#115) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +8.9 (#172) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.643 (#258) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.756 (#224) | NetEff +10.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.792 (#239) | AdjNet +11.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.795 (#239) | AdjNet +11.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.685 (#246) | AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 71.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.679 (#84) | AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 69.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.721 (#122) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.715 (#120) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1131 (#93) | RD 97 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Johnson C. Smith | W | 98 - 79 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Converse | W | 91 - 67 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Ferrum | W | 78 - 61 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | West Ala. | W | 80 - 63 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Montevallo | W | 74 - 73 |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | AUM | W | 94 - 78 |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | Florida Tech | L | 61 - 69 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Middle Georgia | W | 101 - 68 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Augusta | L | 55 - 84 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Flagler | L | 70 - 71 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Francis Marion | W | 77 - 59 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Clayton St. | W | 88 - 66 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Southern Wesleyan | W | 89 - 55 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Georgia College | W | 79 - 65 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Lander | W | 71 - 68 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | North Georgia | L | 62 - 79 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | USC Beaufort | L | 74 - 95 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Columbus St. | L | 72 - 75 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | USC Aiken | W | 92 - 76 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Middle Georgia | W | 92 - 71 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Flagler | L | 70 - 72 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Augusta | W | 75 - 65 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Clayton St. | W | 91 - 66 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tymoteusz Pszczola | - | 1 | 30.0 | 29.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 16.0 | -52 | -2.9 | -22.9 | 66.7 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -2.74 | 80.2 | 73.3 |
| Mccaskill Rivers | - | 1 | 33.0 | 22.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 18.0 | 12.0 | -42 | -3.0 | -46.3 | 44.4 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.66 | 55.7 | 50.0 |
| Tavarus Webb | - | 1 | 33.6 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 24.0 | - | - | - | 70.0 | 0.0 | 85.7 | - | 76.5 | 70.0 |
| Dwayne Williams Jr. | - | 1 | 24.6 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 26 | 2.0 | 28.4 | 60.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 1.74 | 72.3 | 65.0 |
| Jonah Lawrence | - | 1 | 37.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 | -32 | -2.0 | -40.2 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.34 | 55.1 | 45.5 |
| Amir Reaves | - | 20 | 30.6 | 15.6 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 10.7 | 9.8 | 56 | 2.8 | 33.1 | 45.1 | 40.4 | 80.2 | 3.61 | 58.1 | 49.5 |
| Nakavieon White | - | 1 | 15.2 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 66.7 | - | 61.8 | 60.0 |
| JR Jacobs | - | 20 | 30.2 | 13.4 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 9.5 | 11.9 | - | - | - | 51.6 | 42.7 | 73.8 | - | 64.3 | 62.4 |
| Deonte Williams | - | 19 | 33.5 | 12.0 | 6.9 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 10.2 | 15.0 | 43 | 2.4 | 23.0 | 47.7 | 32.7 | 50.0 | -0.64 | 52.4 | 51.8 |
| Khayri Dunn | - | 1 | 14.3 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 73.9 | 71.4 |
| Markel Freeman | - | 20 | 27.7 | 10.8 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 9.1 | 7.0 | 64 | 3.2 | 35.9 | 40.1 | 36.4 | 84.1 | 2.6 | 53.4 | 48.9 |
| Jefferson Koulibaly | - | 1 | 31.1 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 53.0 | 50.0 |
| Tsvet Sotirov | - | 1 | 21.3 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 37.5 | 50.0 | - | 56.3 | 56.2 |
| Keshawn Brown Jr | - | 20 | 17.0 | 9.8 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 6.4 | 5.5 | - | - | - | 43.8 | 45.1 | 77.8 | - | 64.2 | 59.8 |
| Matthew Webster | - | 20 | 25.7 | 8.8 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7.5 | 8.8 | 6 | 0.4 | 36.4 | 46.7 | 37.9 | 73.3 | 0.03 | 56.2 | 55.0 |
| Shainen Carter | - | 1 | 17.1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 51.0 | 60.0 |
| Tyren Moore | - | 1 | 26.5 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 138 | 8.1 | 97.2 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.16 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Rafael Rubel | - | 20 | 17.3 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 79 | 4.0 | 35.0 | 38.3 | 26.7 | 100.0 | 0.66 | 48.3 | 46.8 |
| Alaunzo Doctrine | - | 3 | 6.8 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 2.7 | -4 | -1.3 | -26.7 | 57.1 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.11 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Hoku Fisher | - | 1 | 23.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | -90 | -5.0 | -39.3 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | -0.27 | 23.7 | 20.0 |
| Melvin Teal Jr | - | 1 | 23.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 25.0 | - | 54.3 | 100.0 |
| Hasani Rivera | - | 12 | 14.0 | 2.2 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 3.5 | 29 | 2.6 | 31.0 | 41.4 | 0 | 37.5 | 0.28 | 41.5 | 41.4 |
| Jackson Roberts | - | 1 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -26 | -1.9 | -74.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 69.4 | 100.0 |
| Andres Burney | - | 1 | 10.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jayden Williams | - | 1 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 87 | 4.0 | 28.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.22 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Abrahm Driver | - | 8 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | -7 | -0.9 | -37.8 | 75.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | 0.04 | 84.5 | 87.5 |
| Faustin Phanor | - | 18 | 11.5 | 1.8 | 3.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4.7 | 36 | 2.1 | 63.3 | 81.2 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.1 | 75.2 | 81.2 |
| Chedlet Delva | - | 1 | 19.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -51 | -3.6 | -72.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.43 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Boom Reeves | - | 1 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 14 | 0.8 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.62 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Darius Franklin | - | 7 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | -7 | -1.0 | -107.0 | 14.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | -0.14 | 20.2 | 21.4 |
| Sean Van Dorn Jr. | - | 1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50 | 8.3 | 36.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.47 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG