Furman
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1044 (#138) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1060 (#165) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1008 (#327) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +44.0 (#11) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#11) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#3) | NetEff +76.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 1.000 (#8) | AdjNet +64.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 1.000 (#5) | AdjNet +64.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.979 (#7) | AdjO 88.0 | AdjD 45.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.896 (#5) | AdjO 80.0 | AdjD 56.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.978 (#2) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.967 (#1) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | vs | North Greenville | W | 85 - 27 |
| 2025-12-14 | vs | Mars Hill | W | 110 - 36 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clare Coyle | - | 2 | 20.3 | 23.5 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 13.0 | 23.0 | - | - | - | 73.1 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 75.1 | 73.1 |
| Alyssa Ervin | - | 2 | 18.9 | 17.5 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 10.5 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 61.9 | 50.0 | 80.0 | - | 75.4 | 73.8 |
| Raina McGowens | - | 2 | 21.4 | 12.0 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.5 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 53.3 | 100.0 | 63.6 | - | 60.5 | 56.7 |
| Tyriana Berry | - | 2 | 13.9 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 58.3 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 60.1 | 58.3 |
| Samaria Taylor | - | 2 | 13.9 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 7.5 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 42.9 | 40.0 |
| Kyraha Parnell | - | 2 | 18.4 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 8.5 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 42.9 | 75.0 | - | 50.9 | 45.8 |
| Lauren Bailey | - | 2 | 22.8 | 6.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 36.4 | 25.0 | - | 47.2 | 50.0 |
| Sophia Pearl | - | 2 | 22.0 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 10.5 | - | - | - | 27.3 | 0.0 | 63.6 | - | 41.0 | 27.3 |
| Hilary Englert | - | 2 | 18.3 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 56.2 | 56.2 |
| Brooklyn King | - | 1 | 12.4 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Chantelle Stuart | - | 2 | 19.7 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 10.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 12.5 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Channing Warren | - | 1 | 8.6 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG