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Furman

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Furman Paladins, Furman
Program History
Coach: Jeff Jackson

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 858 (#251) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 958 (#199) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 992 (#177) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → -4.2 (#233) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → -4.6 (#243) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.393 (#219) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.0 More → 0.285 (#246) AdjNet -8.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.0 More → 0.284 (#244) AdjNet -8.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 64.8 More → 0.413 (#233) AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 64.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 63.8 More → 0.440 (#235) AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 63.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.374 (#239) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.379 (#240) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 152 | GP 26 More → 905 (#236) RD 152 | GP 26

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs Roanoke Maroons W 75 - 49
2011-11-14 @ Columbia Lions W 62 - 58
2011-11-17 vs Mercer Bears L 46 - 66
2011-11-20 vs Loyola Chicago Ramblers W 63 - 51
2011-11-25 @ Clemson Tigers L 49 - 59
2011-11-30 @ Elon Phoenix L 70 - 77
2011-12-03 @ Davidson Wildcats L 65 - 86
2011-12-06 vs Virginia-Wise Highland Cavaliers W 86 - 66
2011-12-11 vs Jacksonville Dolphins W 85 - 79
2011-12-17 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 76 - 63
2011-12-20 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose L 71 - 75
2011-12-23 @ Georgia Bulldogs L 50 - 64
2011-12-30 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 61 - 72
2012-01-05 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 77 - 45
2012-01-07 vs Charleston Cougars L 43 - 66
2012-01-14 @ Western Carolina Catamounts W 58 - 55
2012-01-19 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 64 - 54
2012-01-26 @ Charleston Cougars W 69 - 63
2012-01-28 @ The Citadel Bulldogs W 67 - 58
2012-02-01 vs Davidson Wildcats L 53 - 71
2012-02-04 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 93 - 85
2012-02-06 @ Georgia Southern Eagles L 57 - 64
2012-02-09 vs Appalachian State Mountaineers L 69 - 79
2012-02-18 @ Samford Bulldogs L 49 - 55
2012-02-23 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 65 - 55
2012-02-25 @ Wofford Terriers L 52 - 67
2012-03-02 @ Samford Bulldogs W 75 - 66
2012-03-03 @ Davidson Wildcats L 54 - 73

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Brandon Sebirumbi Brandon Sebirumbi F 28 25.5 10.7 6.0 0.8 0.5 0.3 2.2 1.5 14.6 14 25 0.6 0.9 51.2 0 70.6 1.88 258.8 51.2
C. Reddick C. Reddick G 26 27.0 10.0 4.9 1.5 1.2 0.5 1.6 2.3 14.3 -2 23 -0.1 -0.1 41.7 38.9 75.0 1.2 193.2 53.3
Richard Brown Richard Brown G 19 29.1 8.8 2.0 3.2 0.5 0.1 2.0 1.2 11.5 -42 17 -2.5 -3.7 34.8 0.0 85.7 -1.61 322.1 34.8
Bryant Irwin Bryant Irwin F 28 23.0 7.7 3.0 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.3 9.5 -41 25 -1.6 -3.2 37.8 36.4 100.0 -1.94 285.1 48.6
Bobby Austin Bobby Austin G 27 26.6 7.5 2.8 1.3 0.8 0.4 1.9 1.1 9.8 -21 24 -0.9 -1.4 55.2 55.6 50.0 0.63 328.3 72.4
Bryson Barnes Bryson Barnes F 19 18.3 7.5 4.7 0.6 0.5 1.0 1.9 1.4 11.1 -30 19 -1.6 -3.8 38.5 16.7 61.5 -2.95 225.4 42.3
Jordan Loyd Jordan Loyd - 24 21.5 5.9 3.6 1.8 0.6 0.2 1.8 0.9 9.2 - - - - 40.9 33.3 70.0 - 268.9 45.5
C. Reddick C. Reddick F 26 14.2 4.6 3.6 0.8 0.5 0.5 1.3 0.9 7.8 -14 23 -0.6 -2.0 52.2 0 58.3 0.72 212.2 52.2
Dominic Early Dominic Early F 26 12.5 3.5 2.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.0 4.7 -23 23 -1.0 -4.0 40.7 35.3 75.0 -0.15 159.9 51.9
Chris Toler Chris Toler F 28 16.2 3.2 2.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.8 0.6 5.2 -132 25 -5.3 -14.9 50.0 0 50.0 -9.01 266.6 50.0
David Brown David Brown G 23 10.5 3.0 0.7 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.8 0.5 4.1 2 20 0.1 0.5 33.3 20.0 100.0 0.14 250.7 37.5
Aaron O'Neill Aaron O'Neill G 5 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -0.96 150.0 0.0
Graham Rogers Graham Rogers - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Tyler Hunt Tyler Hunt - 5 1.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 - - - - 0 0 0.0 - 0.0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG