Furman
Model Outputs
2006-2007
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 898 (#213) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 965 (#184) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 989 (#175) | HCA +118 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.0 (#183) | HCA +3.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.2 (#202) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.411 (#196) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.366 (#199) | AdjNet -4.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.364 (#199) | AdjNet -4.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.456 (#187) | AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 66.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.444 (#212) | AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 67.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.418 (#196) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.416 (#198) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 923 (#207) | RD 152 | GP 29 |
2007 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006-11-11 | vs | Charleston Southern Buccaneers | W | 88 - 69 |
| 2006-11-13 | vs | Erskine Flying Fleet | W | 67 - 55 |
| 2006-11-15 | @ | Clemson Tigers | L | 58 - 67 |
| 2006-11-19 | @ | Bowling Green Falcons | W | 63 - 59 |
| 2006-11-22 | @ | North Dakota State Bison | L | 58 - 60 |
| 2006-11-28 | @ | Vanderbilt Commodores | W | 70 - 62 |
| 2006-12-02 | vs | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | L | 67 - 75 |
| 2006-12-05 | vs | South Carolina Aiken Pacers | W | 79 - 54 |
| 2006-12-09 | vs | UNC Greensboro Spartans | L | 86 - 91 |
| 2006-12-16 | @ | San Diego Toreros | L | 70 - 81 |
| 2006-12-19 | @ | California Golden Bears | L | 50 - 84 |
| 2006-12-30 | vs | Mercer Bears | W | 83 - 69 |
| 2007-01-03 | vs | Chattanooga Mocs | W | 69 - 56 |
| 2007-01-06 | @ | Georgia Southern Eagles | L | 70 - 72 |
| 2007-01-10 | vs | Davidson Wildcats | L | 63 - 71 |
| 2007-01-13 | @ | Charleston Cougars | L | 55 - 67 |
| 2007-01-15 | vs | Wofford Terriers | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2007-01-20 | vs | Western Carolina Catamounts | W | 79 - 67 |
| 2007-01-22 | vs | The Citadel Bulldogs | W | 63 - 59 |
| 2007-01-24 | @ | App State Mountaineers | L | 63 - 77 |
| 2007-01-27 | @ | UNC Greensboro Spartans | L | 54 - 69 |
| 2007-01-29 | @ | Chattanooga Mocs | W | 68 - 61 |
| 2007-02-03 | vs | App State Mountaineers | W | 76 - 72 |
| 2007-02-10 | @ | Elon Phoenix | W | 69 - 64 |
| 2007-02-12 | vs | Georgia Southern Eagles | L | 55 - 57 |
| 2007-02-17 | @ | The Citadel Bulldogs | W | 69 - 51 |
| 2007-02-19 | vs | Charleston Cougars | L | 77 - 80 |
| 2007-02-22 | @ | Davidson Wildcats | L | 57 - 75 |
| 2007-02-25 | @ | Wofford Terriers | L | 67 - 76 |
| 2007-03-01 | @ | UNC Greensboro Spartans | W | 73 - 71 |
| 2007-03-02 | vs | Davidson Wildcats | L | 68 - 91 |
2007 Roster
No roster data available for this season.