🐻⬇️🏀

Furman

Also known as: Furman
Program History

2026 Team Stats (32 games)

75.5
PPG
71.2
Opp
+4.3
Margin
46.9%
FG%
33.1%
3P%
68.7%
FT%
37.5
RPG
15.5
APG
11.8
TO
77.3
Pace

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1113 (#87) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1065 (#119) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1044 (#115) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -1.5 (#185) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +16.4 (#127) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.601 (#114) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +15.7 More → 0.829 (#70) NetEff +15.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.7 More → 0.453 (#180) AdjNet -1.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.7 More → 0.451 (#180) AdjNet -1.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 71.6 More → 0.467 (#180) AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 71.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 68.5 More → 0.641 (#78) AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 68.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.785 (#149) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.763 (#132) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 117 | GP 32 More → 1085 (#155) RD 117 | GP 32

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ High Point Panthers L 71 - 97
2025-11-07 vs Troy Trojans L 61 - 64
2025-11-10 vs Columbia International Rams W 89 - 59
2025-11-14 @ Northern Iowa Panthers L 54 - 70
2025-11-19 vs Ohio Christian Trailblazers W 79 - 44
2025-11-23 vs Queens University Royals W 90 - 79
2025-11-27 vs Richmond Spiders W 73 - 72
2025-11-28 @ Illinois State Redbirds L 65 - 72
2025-12-03 @ Elon Phoenix W 97 - 88
2025-12-18 @ Manhattan Jaspers W 75 - 68
2025-12-21 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 84 - 76
2025-12-31 vs Mercer Bears W 74 - 72
2026-01-03 vs Western Carolina Catamounts L 77 - 80
2026-01-07 @ Chattanooga Mocs W 78 - 67
2026-01-10 vs VMI Keydets W 69 - 48
2026-01-14 @ Samford Bulldogs W 77 - 73
2026-01-21 @ The Citadel Bulldogs L 75 - 77
2026-01-24 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 89 - 66
2026-01-29 vs Samford Bulldogs W 78 - 73
2026-02-01 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 75 - 70
2026-02-04 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 71 - 75
2026-02-08 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans L 64 - 67
2026-02-11 @ Mercer Bears L 64 - 69
2026-02-14 @ VMI Keydets W 90 - 72
2026-02-18 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 69 - 78
2026-02-21 @ Wofford Terriers W 76 - 67
2026-02-25 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 72 - 51
2026-02-28 @ Western Carolina Catamounts L 67 - 86
2026-03-07 @ Samford Bulldogs W 86 - 81
2026-03-08 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 81 - 75
2026-03-09 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 76 - 61
2026-03-20 @ UConn Huskies L 71 - 82

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Alex Wilkins Alex Wilkins - 32 29.6 18.2 2.0 4.6 0.8 0.1 3.8 13.8 8.1 125 5.2 10.3 46.7 34.4 80.9 0.97 58.1 53.7
C. Bowser C. Bowser F 23 29.6 13.4 5.9 1.7 0.5 1.2 1.2 7.3 14.0 75 3.4 8.9 75.7 0.0 63.4 0.28 75.1 75.7
A. Thomas A. Thomas G 26 27.2 11.8 3.7 1.8 0.3 0.4 0.7 9.5 7.8 27 1.5 3.1 39.9 37.7 73.5 0.39 56.8 54.4
C. Johnston C. Johnston - 32 28.4 10.2 9.2 1.8 0.7 0.8 1.5 7.8 13.4 117 5.6 19.1 48.8 28.3 65.3 0.34 58.1 56.0
T. House T. House G 31 25.4 8.4 2.8 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.7 7.1 5.6 112 5.1 12.0 36.1 31.4 84.1 0.62 52.5 47.0
B. VanderWal B. VanderWal F 31 28.2 6.8 5.5 2.5 0.8 0.5 1.1 4.5 10.5 - - - 63.8 12.5 41.7 - 60.6 64.1
E. Bronson E. Bronson G 31 18.7 5.2 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.3 1.2 4.4 3.1 -44 -1.9 -5.9 36.8 34.1 76.7 -0.96 52.0 47.1
C. Bowser C. Bowser G 19 22.2 5.1 5.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 1.0 3.6 7.1 75 3.4 8.9 46.4 37.8 86.4 0.28 61.6 56.5
Abijah Franklin Abijah Franklin - 22 10.6 3.8 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.6 3.9 2.5 28 1.9 9.4 31.8 25.6 64.5 -0.11 42.6 37.6
M. Smith M. Smith F 5 10.8 2.8 5.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 3.2 4.4 -3 -0.6 -9.8 31.2 25.0 50.0 -0.05 41.5 40.6
Collin O'Neal Collin O'Neal - 16 10.1 2.7 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.7 2.4 1.8 -21 -1.8 -8.7 35.9 38.5 55.6 -0.19 50.0 48.7
Gunnar Lewis Gunnar Lewis - 2 3.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 -2 -0.1 -0.6 100.0 100.0 0 -0.19 125.0 125.0
Owen Ritger Owen Ritger - 15 7.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 0.7 7 0.4 3.6 40.0 20.0 40.0 -0.19 42.8 42.5
T. Tillman T. Tillman F 5 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 -0.2 - - - 33.3 0.0 0.0 - 25.8 33.3
D. Molnar D. Molnar F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG