Frostburg St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1117 (#45) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1076 (#96) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.5 (#166) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.481 (#369) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.708 (#161) | NetEff +7.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.522 (#398) | AdjNet +0.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.524 (#402) | AdjNet +0.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.524 (#386) | AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 70.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Winston-Salem | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Pitt.-Johnstown | W | 63 - 59 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Lock Haven | L | 78 - 82 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Seton Hill | L | 81 - 86 |
| 2024-11-19 | @ | Bowie St. | W | 69 - 58 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Davis & Elkins | W | 83 - 71 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | West Va. Wesleyan | L | 66 - 75 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Charleston (WV) | W | 73 - 57 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | West Virginia St. | W | 98 - 73 |
| 2024-12-11 | vs | Concord | W | 74 - 64 |
| 2024-12-15 | @ | Glenville St. | L | 83 - 87 |
| 2024-12-16 | @ | Dist. Columbia | W | 72 - 64 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | West Liberty | W | 103 - 72 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Wheeling | L | 52 - 67 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Salem (WV) | W | 72 - 47 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Point Park | L | 70 - 78 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | West Va. Wesleyan | W | 66 - 61 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Fairmont St. | L | 66 - 86 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Glenville St. | W | 96 - 88 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Concord | L | 77 - 79 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | West Virginia St. | L | 79 - 88 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Charleston (WV) | W | 63 - 53 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emilee Weakley | - | 22 | 36.9 | 27.4 | 8.7 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 3.8 | 20.3 | 14.8 | 55 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 46.5 | 38.9 | 82.1 | 0.38 | 57.5 | 51.5 |
| Taylor Smith | - | 22 | 33.2 | 10.5 | 3.6 | 4.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 3.9 | 8.1 | 7.4 | 51 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 45.3 | 45.3 | 63.6 | 0.5 | 56.8 | 54.7 |
| Julie Spinelli | - | 22 | 32.6 | 10.1 | 6.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 9.3 | 7.5 | 31 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 40.7 | 33.0 | 69.0 | 0.12 | 51.4 | 49.8 |
| Alanna Tate | - | 20 | 18.9 | 7.3 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 4.7 | 6.2 | 30 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 61.3 | 37.5 | 80.6 | 0.15 | 67.1 | 62.9 |
| Sarah Shamdeen | - | 22 | 20.5 | 6.7 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 3.1 | 47 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 38.3 | 26.8 | 74.1 | 0.25 | 51.1 | 44.6 |
| Jenna Muha | - | 16 | 13.9 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3.4 | 5.9 | 18 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 51.9 | 0 | 88.2 | -0.29 | 57.7 | 51.9 |
| Jasmine Johnson | - | 20 | 21.1 | 3.9 | 6.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 8.5 | 34 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 44.0 | 0 | 55.0 | 0.28 | 45.9 | 44.0 |
| Ayla Hileman | - | 22 | 8.3 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 22 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 40.6 | 34.5 | 100.0 | 0.7 | 56.9 | 54.3 |
| Grace Middleton | - | 21 | 6.7 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 0.9 | -21 | -1.1 | -1.2 | 37.1 | 0.0 | 70.0 | -0.73 | 41.9 | 37.1 |
| Harley Herndon | - | 22 | 9.9 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 24 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 47.4 | 0 | 75.0 | 0.29 | 53.3 | 47.4 |
| Laekyn Flinn | - | 20 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 0.15 | 61.5 | 56.2 |
| Sydney Snyder | - | 20 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.1 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.8 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.37 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Olivia Looker | - | 14 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Riley Nelson | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 21 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.28 | 0 | 0 |
| Mandy Roman | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.61 | 0 | 0 |
| Sa'niyah Council | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Nadia Simpson | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG