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Frostburg St.

Season: 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018 2016-2017
Also known as: Frostburg St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1001 (#173) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +87 elo More → 1008 (#167) HCA +87 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +85 elo More → 998 (#170) HCA +85 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +6.2 (#177) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → +6.3 (#178) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.541 (#149) -
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 88.2 | AdjD 83.7 More → 0.602 (#165) AdjO 88.2 | AdjD 83.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 87.5 | AdjD 83.3 More → 0.595 (#166) AdjO 87.5 | AdjD 83.3
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 149 | GP 30 More → 987 (#176) RD 149 | GP 30

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2025-2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-15 vs Shippensburg W 112 - 90
2025-11-16 vs Seton Hill L 94 - 99
2025-11-19 @ Clarion L 94 - 95
2025-11-26 vs Shepherd W 105 - 83
2025-12-01 @ Kutztown L 66 - 70
2025-12-03 @ West Va. Wesleyan W 109 - 95
2025-12-06 @ Davis & Elkins L 94 - 108
2025-12-10 @ Concord L 83 - 97
2025-12-13 vs Glenville St. W 94 - 85
2025-12-18 vs Charleston (WV) W 80 - 78
2026-01-03 @ West Virginia St. W 78 - 76
2026-01-05 vs D'Youville W 89 - 87
2026-01-07 @ West Liberty L 94 - 117
2026-01-10 vs Wheeling L 98 - 115
2026-01-14 vs Salem (WV) W 111 - 95
2026-01-17 @ Point Park W 79 - 76
2026-01-21 vs West Va. Wesleyan W 105 - 83
2026-01-24 vs Fairmont St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 @ Glenville St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Concord W 94 - 61
2026-02-04 vs West Virginia St. W 95 - 79
2026-02-07 @ Charleston (WV) L 85 - 96
2026-02-11 vs West Liberty L 108 - 112
2026-02-14 @ Wheeling L 84 - 88
2026-02-18 @ Salem (WV) L 94 - 97
2026-02-21 vs Point Park W 92 - 68
2026-02-25 vs Davis & Elkins W 97 - 94
2026-02-28 @ Fairmont St. L 78 - 92
2026-03-04 vs West Virginia St. W 93 - 85
2026-03-06 @ Fairmont St. L 77 - 80

2025-2026 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Trey Simmons - 26 33.8 24.2 2.8 3.1 1.5 0.5 2.5 17.3 12.4 -31 22 -1.4 -1.8 47.9 39.5 77.8 -3.96 58.9 53.3
Mike Montano - 9 27.5 22.6 9.3 3.6 1.8 0.4 2.4 14.6 20.7 47 6 7.8 10.1 56.5 31.6 70.0 1.93 62.7 58.8
DJ Daniel - 26 30.0 16.5 5.8 3.1 1.9 0.7 1.5 11.4 15.0 -25 23 -1.1 -1.6 52.4 37.9 70.3 -0.88 62.9 60.3
Kyle Whippen - 27 31.8 13.0 8.6 1.6 0.9 1.1 2.6 7.8 14.7 12 23 0.5 0.7 57.3 50.0 73.9 2.18 65.0 59.7
Mitch Finefrock - 27 29.5 12.4 2.1 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.8 9.3 6.1 23 23 1.0 1.5 42.8 39.6 87.5 0.03 62.6 60.0
Chase Whippen - 14 28.0 8.7 5.4 2.2 1.0 0.4 1.2 6.6 9.9 75 11 6.8 9.7 50.5 35.7 85.7 3.47 59.7 55.9
Zane McCarty - 27 18.6 5.1 1.9 1.2 0.8 0.1 1.1 5.0 2.9 2 23 0.1 0.2 37.3 35.4 88.9 -0.37 49.7 48.1
Christopher Meakin - 26 14.8 3.5 3.1 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.5 2.7 4.9 16 22 0.7 2.4 41.4 27.3 79.4 1.84 53.6 45.7
Blake Burrows - 26 10.4 2.4 2.0 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.5 2.2 3.2 -7 20 -0.3 -1.3 40.4 28.9 85.7 -1.03 52.4 50.0
Vilius Slanina - 23 7.1 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.8 1.1 -1 17 -0.1 -0.3 35.7 23.8 30.0 -0.68 40.9 41.7
Cash Herndon - 6 2.8 1.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.5 -3 3 -1.0 -12.6 60.0 0.0 75.0 -1.06 66.6 60.0
Chris Cochran - 9 3.0 1.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.2 1.3 9 4 2.2 18.3 45.5 28.6 0 0.59 54.5 54.5
Max McFarland - 7 1.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.0 0 2 0.0 0.0 42.9 33.3 0 -0.92 50.0 50.0
Brady Walters - 13 4.0 0.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.8 1.4 1 10 0.1 0.9 36.4 0 0.0 -1.3 33.7 36.4
Will Koehl - 8 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 -6 4 -1.5 -27.9 33.3 50.0 0.0 -1.88 43.6 50.0
Kyle Kovich - 6 1.4 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 -0.2 0 3 0.0 0.0 14.3 0.0 0 -0.54 14.3 14.3
Will Bonds - 5 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 -4 1 -4.0 -100.0 0.0 0 0 -1.16 0.0 0.0
Aurek Fenn - 6 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 -3 3 -1.0 -23.0 0.0 0 0 -0.9 0.0 0.0
Yannis Kiki - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Javonte Long - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG