Fresno State
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1210 (#54) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1190 (#42) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1125 (#34) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.5 (#60) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +8.6 (#56) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.692 (#70) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.795 (#64) | AdjNet +11.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.798 (#65) | AdjNet +11.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.668 (#58) | AdjO 81.4 | AdjD 73.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.619 (#64) | AdjO 78.1 | AdjD 72.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.745 (#43) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.736 (#44) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1238 (#31) | RD 112 | GP 34 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-19 | @ | Georgia State | W | 74 - 64 |
| 1999-11-23 | vs | Pepperdine | L | 68 - 70 |
| 1999-11-26 | N | Florida International | W | 90 - 75 |
| 1999-11-27 | N | Missouri State | W | 100 - 90 |
| 1999-11-28 | N | Louisiana State | L | 85 - 95 |
| 1999-11-30 | vs | Cal State Northridge | L | 66 - 69 |
| 1999-12-04 | vs | Northern Arizona | W | 74 - 68 |
| 1999-12-08 | vs | San Francisco | L | 59 - 69 |
| 1999-12-11 | @ | UAB | L | 99 - 103 |
| 1999-12-14 | vs | Santa Clara | W | 95 - 67 |
| 1999-12-16 | vs | Florida Atlantic | W | 98 - 80 |
| 1999-12-18 | @ | Pacific | W | 69 - 63 |
| 1999-12-21 | vs | Wagner | W | 95 - 73 |
| 1999-12-22 | vs | Cornell | W | 105 - 86 |
| 2000-01-04 | @ | Utah State | L | 66 - 83 |
| 2000-01-07 | vs | High Point | W | 96 - 65 |
| 2000-01-15 | vs | UTEP | W | 91 - 79 |
| 2000-01-20 | @ | Texas Christian | W | 101 - 96 |
| 2000-01-22 | @ | Southern Methodist | L | 78 - 85 |
| 2000-01-27 | vs | Rice | W | 86 - 53 |
| 2000-01-29 | vs | Tulsa | W | 75 - 73 |
| 2000-02-03 | @ | San Jose State | W | 82 - 76 |
| 2000-02-06 | @ | Hawaii | W | 85 - 77 |
| 2000-02-12 | @ | UTEP | L | 78 - 92 |
| 2000-02-17 | vs | Southern Methodist | L | 75 - 85 |
| 2000-02-20 | vs | Texas Christian | W | 98 - 93 |
| 2000-02-24 | @ | Tulsa | W | 73 - 72 |
| 2000-02-26 | @ | Rice | W | 69 - 57 |
| 2000-03-01 | vs | San Jose State | W | 77 - 74 |
| 2000-03-04 | vs | Hawaii | W | 79 - 69 |
| 2000-03-09 | vs | UTEP | W | 79 - 70 |
| 2000-03-10 | vs | Hawaii | W | 103 - 100 |
| 2000-03-11 | vs | Tulsa | W | 75 - 72 |
| 2000-03-16 | N | Wisconsin | L | 56 - 66 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.