Fresno State
2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)
76.5
PPG
80.0
Opp
-3.5
Margin
46.5%
FG%
27.5%
3P%
63.6%
FT%
39.5
RPG
13.5
APG
13.5
TO
71.8
Est. poss./game
68.7
Adj PPG
70.7
Adj Opp PPG
#259
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 830 (#258) | Preseason prior 837 (returning production + recruiting): last season 948, returning -47, transfers -26, freshmen -37 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 907 (#265) | HCA +229 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 952 (#253) | HCA +229 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.9 (#254) | HCA +0.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.7 (#252) | HCA +0.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.256 (#272) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.379 (#258) | AdjNet -7.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.377 (#258) | AdjNet -7.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.393 (#259) | AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 70.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.426 (#240) | AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 70.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.359 (#263) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.365 (#260) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 892 (#266) | RD 218 | GP 1 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.286 (#265) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Fresno Pacific Sunbirds | W | 88 - 79 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ | UC San Diego Tritons | L | 65 - 81 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | Georgia State Panthers | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | UC Riverside Highlanders | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dragos Lungu
|
G | 2 | 34.0 | 24.0 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 17.5 | 14.5 | -2 | 2 | -1.0 | -1.2 | 51.4 | 33.3 | 60.0 | -0.06 | 57.7 | 55.7 |
Ross Candelino
|
G | 2 | 35.0 | 15.5 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 14.0 | 6.5 | -10 | 2 | -5.0 | -5.7 | 32.1 | 26.3 | 80.0 | -0.69 | 47.8 | 41.1 |
Bradey Henige
|
F | 2 | 25.5 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.5 | 15.0 | -13 | 2 | -6.5 | -10.3 | 82.4 | 0 | 0 | -0.88 | 82.4 | 82.4 |
Brian Amuneke
|
G | 2 | 30.0 | 11.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 10.0 | 4.5 | 4 | 2 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 50.0 | 37.5 | 0 | 0.12 | 57.5 | 57.5 |
Roger Fabrega Urpina
|
G | 2 | 38.5 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 12.5 | -7 | 2 | -3.5 | -3.7 | 45.5 | 28.6 | 100.0 | -0.24 | 60.9 | 54.5 |
Baye Fall
|
C | 2 | 12.5 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 8.0 | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 66.7 | 0 | 25.0 | -0.24 | 52.5 | 66.7 |
Marko Vuckovic
|
F | 2 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 5 | 2 | 2.5 | 13.0 | 16.7 | 20.0 | 0 | 0.18 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
Anthony Granger
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Yeshua Kesse-Beda
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Rylan Parsley
|
F | 2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0 |
KJ Perry
|
G | 2 | 9.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | -1.5 | -2 | 2 | -1.0 | -4.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.06 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Quentin Rhymes
|
G | 2 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -4 | 2 | -2.0 | -18.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.27 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Colin Schroeder
|
F | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.16 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Nathan Zulemie
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Fresno State players in NBA 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, EuroCup 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Fresno State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George | 2008-10 | NBA | Boston Celtics | 9 | 30.1 | 20.4 | 5.2 | 4.1 | 11-08 27 pts, 3 reb, 1 ast | 9 GP, 20.4 PPG, 5.2 RPG, 4.1 APG |
| Orlando Robinson | 2019-22 | G League | Windy City Bulls | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-07 22 pts, 9 reb, 2 ast Play-In | 2 GP, 14.0 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 2.0 APG |
| Isaih Moore | 2022-23 | EuroCup | Slask Wroclaw | 5 | 19.8 | 8.4 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 10-28 5 pts, 1 reb, 0 ast | 3 GP, 8.0 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 0.0 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Paul George | NBA | Boston Celtics | @ Milwaukee Bucks | 28 | 27 | 3 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-07 | Orlando Robinson | G League Play-In | Windy City Bulls | vs Noblesville Boom | 27 | 22 | 9 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Paul George | NBA | Boston Celtics | @ Charlotte Hornets | 22 | 8 | 5 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Orlando Robinson | G League Play-In | Windy City Bulls | vs Noblesville Boom | 18 | 6 | 3 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-04 | Paul George | NBA | Boston Celtics | vs Milwaukee Bucks | 35 | 25 | 3 | 5 | Box |
| 2026-10-28 | Isaih Moore | EuroCup | Slask Wroclaw | vs Tofas Bursa | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-10-21 | Isaih Moore | EuroCup | Slask Wroclaw | @ NINERS Chemnitz | 22 | 6 | 3 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-10-16 | Orlando Robinson | NBA Preseason | Chicago Bulls | vs Minnesota Timberwolves | 14 | 9 | 4 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-10-14 | Isaih Moore | EuroCup | Slask Wroclaw | vs Napoli Basketball | 21 | 13 | 5 | 0 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
127 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Dragos LunguBradey HenigeBrian AmunekeRoss CandelinoMarko VuckovicKJ Perry
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 14-24 | 58.3 | 28 | Bradey Henige 43% (12 pts) | Brian Amuneke 29% (8 pts) | Dragos Lungu 40% (4 misses) | Bradey Henige 20% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 27-47 | 57.4 | 54 | Dragos Lungu 41% (22 pts) | Bradey Henige 22% (12 pts) | Dragos Lungu 35% (7 misses) | Ross Candelino 20% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 3-4 | 75.0 | 6 | Dragos Lungu 67% (4 pts) | Bradey Henige 33% (2 pts) | KJ Perry 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range center | 1-1 | 100.0 | 2 | Bradey Henige 100% (2 pts) | - | - | - |
| Mid-range right | 0-0 | - | 0 | - | - | - | - |
| Left corner 3 | 2-8 | 25.0 | 6 | Dragos Lungu 50% (3 pts) | Marko Vuckovic 50% (3 pts) | Marko Vuckovic 33% (2 misses) | Ross Candelino 33% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-4 | 50.0 | 6 | Dragos Lungu 50% (3 pts) | Ross Candelino 50% (3 pts) | Dragos Lungu 50% (1 misses) | Roger Fabrega Urpina 50% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 3-16 | 18.8 | 9 | Brian Amuneke 67% (6 pts) | Roger Fabrega Urpina 33% (3 pts) | Ross Candelino 38% (5 misses) | Brian Amuneke 15% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 3-8 | 37.5 | 9 | Dragos Lungu 33% (3 pts) | Roger Fabrega Urpina 33% (3 pts) | Brian Amuneke 40% (2 misses) | Dragos Lungu 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 4-15 | 26.7 | 12 | Ross Candelino 75% (9 pts) | Brian Amuneke 25% (3 pts) | Ross Candelino 64% (7 misses) | Dragos Lungu 9% (1 misses) |