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Fresno St.

Season:
Also known as: Fresno St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 887 (#252) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 945 (#214) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +0.5 (#158) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.533 (#156) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +3.5 More → 0.617 (#139) NetEff +3.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.1 More → 0.497 (#169) AdjNet -0.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.1 More → 0.498 (#169) AdjNet -0.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 62.2 More → 0.500 (#163) AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 62.2

2026 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.