Fresno Pacific
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 988 (#175) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 966 (#199) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.4 (#185) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.368 (#416) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.555 (#208) | NetEff +1.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.544 (#388) | AdjNet +1.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.548 (#392) | AdjNet +1.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.522 (#387) | AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 61.1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-04 | @ | Fresno St. | L | 46 - 72 |
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Chico St. | L | 63 - 66 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Sonoma St. | W | 56 - 47 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | San Fran. St. | W | 78 - 61 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Cal St. Monterey Bay | L | 54 - 63 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Stanislaus St. | L | 58 - 62 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Cal St. East Bay | W | 61 - 48 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | CSUSB | W | 69 - 58 |
| 2024-12-05 | vs | Westmont | L | 40 - 56 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Biola | W | 54 - 47 |
| 2024-12-13 | @ | Academy of Art | W | 66 - 57 |
| 2024-12-18 | @ | Westmont | L | 63 - 70 |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | CUI | W | 78 - 62 |
| 2025-01-02 | @ | Point Loma | L | 44 - 56 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Azusa Pacific | L | 53 - 85 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Dominican (CA) | L | 61 - 68 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Menlo | L | 69 - 74 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Chaminade | W | 74 - 70 |
| 2025-01-20 | vs | Academy of Art | W | 59 - 46 |
| 2025-01-23 | @ | Dominican (CA) | L | 48 - 57 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Vanguard | W | 59 - 54 |
| 2025-01-30 | vs | Jessup | L | 61 - 66 |
| 2025-02-06 | @ | Hawaii Hilo | W | 63 - 51 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Hawaii Pacific | L | 52 - 61 |
| 2025-02-10 | @ | Chaminade | W | 61 - 58 |
| 2025-02-14 | vs | Menlo | L | 60 - 77 |
| 2025-02-18 | vs | Hawaii Pacific | W | 50 - 46 |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | Jessup | W | 62 - 39 |
| 2025-03-06 | @ | Westmont | L | 54 - 70 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Doherty | - | 1 | 34.0 | 20.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 13.0 | -123 | -5.6 | -5.1 | 64.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.59 | 63.5 | 64.3 |
| Alexsandra Alvarado | - | 1 | 34.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 7.0 | -50 | -1.9 | -1.8 | 26.7 | 12.5 | 71.4 | -0.12 | 38.7 | 30.0 |
| Seilala Lautaimi | - | 1 | 26.0 | 13.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 18.0 | -11 | -0.4 | -0.7 | 42.9 | 0 | 58.3 | 0.11 | 52.9 | 42.9 |
| Ana Daniels | - | 1 | 31.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | -36 | -1.4 | -1.5 | 33.3 | 0 | 33.3 | -0.23 | 33.7 | 33.3 |
| Nyana Asiasi | - | 1 | 27.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | -33 | -1.2 | -1.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.23 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Jayden McNeal | - | 1 | 18.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | -180 | -4.9 | -6.0 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -0.64 | 72.7 | 75.0 |
| Breanna Hurt | - | 29 | 20.1 | 9.8 | 4.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 8.9 | 4.8 | -13 | -0.5 | -0.6 | 40.5 | 0.0 | 71.8 | 0.14 | 46.7 | 40.5 |
| Julie Ramirez | - | 27 | 21.3 | 8.1 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 6.3 | 4.3 | 24 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 40.6 | 37.7 | 66.7 | 0.56 | 52.6 | 47.4 |
| Sage Bridges-Bey | - | 1 | 24.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | -20 | -1.2 | -1.3 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -0.41 | 40.5 | 38.9 |
| Briajanae Wade | - | 1 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | -49 | -2.0 | -5.8 | 75.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jasmine Heu | - | 29 | 24.6 | 7.3 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 8.0 | 4.3 | 24 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 28.1 | 22.6 | 76.7 | 0.28 | 41.2 | 35.9 |
| Jayla Green | - | 29 | 22.0 | 7.2 | 5.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 6.8 | 5.8 | -39 | -1.4 | -1.9 | 43.7 | 33.3 | 67.6 | -0.14 | 49.2 | 47.0 |
| Angela Whitfield | - | 29 | 20.2 | 7.1 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 8.2 | 5.3 | -114 | -2.9 | -4.9 | 30.7 | 20.0 | 68.8 | -0.79 | 39.9 | 36.6 |
| Sha'nece Garrett | - | 1 | 28.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | -107 | -5.6 | -6.2 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.48 | 35.9 | 25.0 |
| Jordan Beaumont | - | 1 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | -92 | -3.4 | -4.3 | 40.0 | 66.7 | 0 | -0.19 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Lydia Manu | - | 29 | 20.3 | 5.6 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 5.2 | 5.2 | -41 | -1.5 | -2.3 | 40.1 | 27.3 | 51.9 | -0.25 | 46.0 | 44.1 |
| Leah Sarabia | - | 1 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | -196 | -5.4 | -9.9 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.14 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Jolie Johnson | - | 1 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | -10 | -1.1 | -2.5 | 66.7 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.12 | 64.4 | 66.7 |
| Anisa Rillo | - | 29 | 23.7 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 6.1 | 2.4 | -86 | -3.1 | -3.4 | 27.7 | 25.7 | 50.0 | -0.8 | 34.6 | 33.1 |
| Jenna Kurz | - | 8 | 9.2 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 1.8 | - | - | - | 35.7 | 0.0 | 46.7 | 0.3 | 39.0 | 35.7 |
| Olivia Garcia | - | 29 | 14.7 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.4 | 0.7 | -68 | -2.4 | -4.5 | 28.6 | 27.3 | 75.0 | -0.23 | 41.7 | 37.8 |
| Aaliyah Seuell | - | 27 | 6.2 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 22 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 29.4 | 29.9 | 80.0 | -0.03 | 45.3 | 42.9 |
| Kali Myers | - | 1 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -53 | -2.1 | -2.6 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.11 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Joleen Corona | - | 17 | 8.6 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 0.9 | -19 | -1.4 | -4.5 | 27.8 | 27.6 | 72.7 | -0.23 | 44.1 | 38.9 |
| Geriah Bradley | - | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | -102 | -2.8 | -3.1 | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.59 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Janelle Pena | - | 1 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -76 | -2.5 | -6.1 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -0.79 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Kira Wilmurt | - | 29 | 8.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | -0.1 | -61 | -1.5 | -3.8 | 16.7 | 5.9 | 71.4 | -0.76 | 27.3 | 18.1 |
| Kate Evans | - | 27 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | -30 | -0.9 | -5.2 | 32.0 | 0 | 66.7 | -0.09 | 36.2 | 32.0 |
| Trinity Tolbert | - | 28 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 24 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 66.7 | 0.08 | 34.4 | 22.2 |
| Alyssa Kem | - | 9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -0.3 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Viktoria Trailovic | - | 6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | -48 | -5.3 | -31.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.22 | 0 | 0 |
| Carleigh Adams | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -5 | -0.8 | -2.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.26 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Perséas Gioukaris | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.28 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Perséas Gioukaris | - | 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.28 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| A'ajah Slocum | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | -178 | -5.1 | -6.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.41 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Cheyanne Whitfield | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -123 | -4.0 | -6.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.67 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Peyton Akins | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ledjan Pahukoa | - | 1 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -98 | -2.9 | -5.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.89 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Brianna Bouton | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -51 | -1.8 | -4.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.51 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG