Fredonia
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1031 (#169) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1004 (#231) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.5 (#282) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.449 (#475) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.345 (#286) | NetEff -4.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.206 (#488) | AdjNet -11.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.191 (#490) | AdjNet -12.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.331 (#486) | AdjO 58.7 | AdjD 66.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Thiel | W | 89 - 69 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Carlow | W | 76 - 72 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | William Smith | W | 78 - 66 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Alfred | L | 58 - 62 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | John Carroll | L | 57 - 78 |
| 2024-12-06 | @ | SUNY New Paltz | L | 41 - 57 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | SUNY Oneonta | W | 57 - 51 |
| 2024-12-11 | @ | Houghton | L | 57 - 72 |
| 2025-01-07 | vs | Cortland | L | 42 - 52 |
| 2025-01-10 | vs | Plattsburgh St. | L | 54 - 68 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | SUNY Potsdam | L | 61 - 69 |
| 2025-01-17 | vs | Buffalo St. | W | 64 - 56 |
| 2025-01-24 | @ | SUNY Canton | L | 82 - 85 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Oswego St. | L | 56 - 72 |
| 2025-01-28 | @ | SUNY Morrisville | W | 63 - 48 |
| 2025-01-31 | vs | SUNY Oneonta | L | 52 - 68 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | SUNY New Paltz | L | 53 - 71 |
| 2025-02-04 | @ | Cortland | L | 47 - 80 |
| 2025-02-07 | vs | Oswego St. | L | 65 - 73 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | SUNY Canton | W | 59 - 51 |
| 2025-02-11 | vs | SUNY Morrisville | L | 56 - 61 |
| 2025-02-14 | @ | Buffalo St. | W | 71 - 60 |
| 2025-02-21 | @ | SUNY Potsdam | W | 66 - 54 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Plattsburgh St. | L | 49 - 53 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Alexander | - | 24 | 32.6 | 11.2 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 11.2 | 3.6 | 106 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 36.2 | 30.0 | 78.0 | 0.53 | 46.4 | 42.9 |
| Payton Gilbert | - | 24 | 25.9 | 9.7 | 6.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 8.9 | 6.6 | 38 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 58.1 | -0.31 | 47.3 | 44.4 |
| Allie Wandell | - | 24 | 24.9 | 7.5 | 7.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 8.2 | 7.6 | 11 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 35.9 | 23.4 | 62.8 | 0.11 | 41.5 | 38.6 |
| Alexys Neckers | - | 24 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.6 | 3.9 | -28 | -1.1 | -1.9 | 41.8 | 33.9 | 68.2 | -0.92 | 55.3 | 51.4 |
| Jayssa Snelick | - | 24 | 14.9 | 5.8 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 5.9 | 4.0 | 71 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 33.8 | 26.9 | 81.5 | -0.04 | 45.2 | 41.2 |
| Kyla Smith | - | 24 | 18.5 | 5.3 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 19 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 35.9 | 23.3 | 62.9 | 0.02 | 44.6 | 41.4 |
| Mary Culeton | - | 24 | 24.8 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 6.7 | 4.8 | 22 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 24.2 | 20.5 | 76.9 | 0.02 | 33.6 | 29.8 |
| Kaylyn Sweeney | - | 23 | 13.4 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 42 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 32.1 | 20.8 | 75.9 | 0.31 | 42.1 | 36.8 |
| Annika Andersen | - | 10 | 5.9 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 33 | 2.4 | 9.5 | 44.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -0.21 | 48.3 | 48.0 |
| Ashley Kalvitis | - | 24 | 10.2 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 22 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 22.9 | 15.9 | 71.4 | -0.33 | 30.8 | 27.1 |
| Isabella Wier | - | 20 | 7.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 10 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 38.7 | 29.4 | 66.7 | 0.23 | 49.0 | 46.8 |
| Jaden Sciotti | - | 24 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 13 | 0.8 | 3.4 | 36.0 | 38.5 | 100.0 | 0.3 | 48.3 | 46.0 |
| Caitlyn Wagner | - | 1 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 35 | 5.8 | 35.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.05 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Meghan Kruszka | - | 20 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 14 | 1.4 | 14.7 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.23 | 77.3 | 66.7 |
| Cadance Powell | - | 16 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.56 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Caitlin Wagner | - | 18 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35 | 5.8 | 35.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 |
| Kailee Bladin | - | 11 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.1 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG