Fredonia
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1031 (#169) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1004 (#231) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -10.3 (#273) | HCA +2.4 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-11 | vs | Hilbert | W | 62 - 38 |
| 2023-11-14 | @ | Hiram | W | 68 - 59 |
| 2023-11-17 | vs | William Smith | W | 61 - 56 |
| 2023-11-18 | @ | Keuka | W | 84 - 65 |
| 2023-11-28 | @ | John Carroll | L | 53 - 70 |
| 2023-12-02 | @ | Buffalo St. | W | 70 - 58 |
| 2023-12-05 | vs | Alfred | W | 71 - 54 |
| 2023-12-07 | vs | Houghton | L | 42 - 60 |
| 2024-01-05 | @ | Plattsburgh St. | L | 53 - 61 |
| 2024-01-06 | @ | SUNY Potsdam | W | 69 - 66 |
| 2024-01-09 | @ | SUNY Geneseo | L | 43 - 65 |
| 2024-01-12 | vs | SUNY New Paltz | L | 70 - 78 |
| 2024-01-16 | @ | SUNY Brockport | L | 71 - 78 |
| 2024-01-19 | vs | Cortland | L | 50 - 83 |
| 2024-01-20 | vs | Oswego St. | L | 59 - 74 |
| 2024-01-23 | vs | SUNY Brockport | W | 60 - 58 |
| 2024-01-26 | @ | SUNY Oneonta | L | 37 - 51 |
| 2024-01-27 | @ | SUNY New Paltz | L | 48 - 88 |
| 2024-01-30 | vs | SUNY Geneseo | W | 61 - 56 |
| 2024-02-03 | vs | Buffalo St. | W | 63 - 46 |
| 2024-02-06 | vs | SUNY Oneonta | L | 48 - 50 |
| 2024-02-09 | vs | SUNY Potsdam | W | 60 - 48 |
| 2024-02-10 | vs | Plattsburgh St. | L | 51 - 59 |
| 2024-02-16 | @ | Oswego St. | W | 57 - 52 |
| 2024-02-17 | @ | Cortland | L | 58 - 90 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Alexander | - | 22 | 33.2 | 14.3 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 13.4 | 4.9 | -18 | -2.0 | -2.3 | 40.5 | 31.6 | 72.9 | -0.23 | 50.0 | 47.6 |
| Allie Wandell | - | 22 | 29.3 | 11.0 | 6.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 2.9 | 10.5 | 7.3 | - | - | - | 41.1 | 37.5 | 75.7 | -0.23 | 48.9 | 46.3 |
| Mary Culeton | - | 22 | 31.3 | 7.5 | 4.7 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 8.6 | 5.1 | - | - | - | 34.2 | 17.2 | 65.8 | -0.32 | 40.2 | 37.1 |
| Payton Couture | - | 1 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.12 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Renee Park | - | 22 | 20.4 | 5.6 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 6.9 | 4.2 | - | - | - | 28.9 | 29.0 | 83.3 | -0.19 | 38.5 | 35.5 |
| Sarah Seaman | - | 22 | 12.3 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 33.9 | 32.9 | 92.3 | 0.02 | 48.1 | 45.3 |
| Caitlin Snyder | - | 22 | 18.9 | 5.2 | 4.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 5.0 | 5.4 | - | - | - | 44.5 | 0.0 | 57.1 | -0.19 | 46.6 | 44.5 |
| Payton Gilbert | - | 21 | 14.8 | 4.1 | 3.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 4.6 | 3.0 | -22 | -2.4 | -3.6 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 53.5 | -0.29 | 37.9 | 33.3 |
| Kyla Smith | - | 20 | 16.9 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.8 | 2.9 | -30 | -3.0 | -3.6 | 33.3 | 26.5 | 62.5 | -0.3 | 42.1 | 39.3 |
| Imani Walcott | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 55 | 5.5 | 7.1 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Mya Smith | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -2.0 | 18 | 3.6 | 9.9 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.11 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Jaden Sciotti | - | 22 | 12.1 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.9 | - | - | - | 37.9 | 12.5 | 80.0 | - | 43.3 | 39.7 |
| Alena Wright | - | 22 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 37 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 28.6 | 0 | 83.3 | 0.76 | 34.3 | 28.6 |
| Kailee Bladin | - | 22 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 6 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 33.3 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 37.1 | 38.9 |
| Amber Louis | - | 13 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.9 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 8.3 | 14.3 | 0 | - | 12.5 | 12.5 |
| Aurelia Chudy | - | 20 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Hannah Potter | - | 15 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Karley Callea | - | 22 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Rosie Sculco | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -23 | -2.6 | -8.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.44 | 0 | 0 |
| Lauren LaFountain | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7 | 1.2 | 4.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 |
| Ady Darnold | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Felicia Caarls | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kortney McCarthy | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Kathy Peterson-Ross | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -5 | -0.5 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Selma Deisz | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ella Franklin | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 |
| Kassidy Flayter | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jaden Wilson | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.15 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Bri Brousseau | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Julia Greek | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3 | -0.3 | -0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.17 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG