🐻⬇️🏀

Franciscan

Also known as: Franciscan
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1183 (#52) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1103 (#144) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1054 (#164) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +0.0 (#198) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -5.1 (#437) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.440 (#507) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +18.2 More → 0.836 (#19) NetEff +18.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.5 More → 0.210 (#530) AdjNet -11.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.7 More → 0.203 (#531) AdjNet -11.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 77.9 More → 0.315 (#522) AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 77.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 73.4 More → 0.521 (#355) AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 73.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.474 (#424) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.488 (#415) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 23 More → 1107 (#163) RD 96 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Beloit - Incomplete score
2025-11-08 @ Adrian - Incomplete score
2025-11-12 vs Penn St.-New Kens. - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Penn St.-Behrend - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ Penn St.-Altoona - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 @ Saint Francis - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 @ Waynesburg - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Wash. & Jeff. - Incomplete score
2025-12-15 @ Wheeling - Incomplete score
2025-12-19 vs Penn St.-Shenango - Incomplete score
2025-12-29 @ Stevenson - Incomplete score
2025-12-30 @ Juniata - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 vs Capital - Incomplete score
2026-01-07 @ Saint Vincent - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Grove City - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 vs Bethany (WV) - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Westminster (PA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 @ Chatham - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Thiel - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 vs Waynesburg - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Hiram - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 @ Wash. & Jeff. - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Geneva - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Sawyer Butler - 21 30.9 22.9 5.2 2.1 2.7 1.0 2.6 14.9 16.3 64 3.2 19.8 43.8 33.3 83.6 1.55 59.9 50.0
Zach Oliver - 19 25.5 12.4 7.9 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.8 9.5 12.0 87 5.4 29.9 49.2 35.6 60.0 -2.68 58.8 57.7
Anthony Covetta - 21 16.0 9.6 2.0 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.9 7.5 4.3 41 2.2 16.4 45.9 41.4 70.6 0.83 61.4 60.5
Zachary Pollaro - 17 20.4 8.9 2.8 1.0 1.2 0.0 0.6 6.8 6.5 113 7.5 49.8 40.0 40.3 79.1 4.19 56.4 50.9
Karl Yonkeu - 21 25.1 7.5 5.7 1.7 1.0 1.3 1.6 7.1 8.5 87 4.6 39.1 43.3 0 51.9 1.26 45.4 43.3
Aiden Townsend - 21 18.3 5.7 2.8 0.9 0.7 1.2 1.3 5.3 4.6 116 6.1 63.0 42.3 31.0 55.2 2.35 48.1 46.4
Nathan Richards - 21 17.5 3.9 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.8 3.9 3.1 48 2.4 27.4 35.4 35.9 58.8 0.69 45.8 43.9
Volodymyr Trotsko - 19 12.9 3.9 3.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.6 3.6 4.4 34 1.9 18.7 41.2 30.0 71.4 -0.47 47.9 43.4
Malachi Rose-Burton - 21 18.8 3.5 2.4 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.6 2.6 5.3 -30 -1.5 -12.0 49.1 33.3 70.0 -0.99 57.2 53.6
Anthony Ciola - 20 9.6 3.1 1.6 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.4 3.0 2.5 25 1.4 29.5 36.1 29.4 66.7 -1.12 46.8 44.3
Benji Rook - 5 2.3 2.0 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.4 1.6 8 1.6 90.6 57.1 0 100.0 - 63.5 57.1
Thomas Kristian - 21 9.1 1.3 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.4 41 2.2 26.8 54.2 25.0 0 1.59 58.3 58.3
Joseph Fatica - 3 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 1.0 5 1.7 272.7 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Reece Miller - 9 1.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 -0.1 3 0.4 26.2 37.5 50.0 0 - 56.2 56.2
Nathan Rodriguez - 12 2.4 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.2 9 0.8 40.3 75.0 100.0 50.0 -0.26 78.1 87.5
Michael Swallow - 5 1.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 -0.2 11 2.8 178.4 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Troy Anthony - 4 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.8 2 0.5 18.7 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Aidan Jacomet - 3 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 -1 -0.5 -22.2 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Sam Seiden - 5 2.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 -0.4 5 1.2 88.2 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Mark Sweeney - 2 2.7 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 3 1.0 28.1 0.0 0 0 0.47 0.0 0.0
Travis Zimmerman - 2 1.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG