Franciscan
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1184 (#35) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1097 (#143) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1054 (#164) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.2 (#123) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.1 (#437) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.440 (#507) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.836 (#19) | NetEff +18.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.210 (#530) | AdjNet -11.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.203 (#531) | AdjNet -11.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.315 (#522) | AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 77.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.521 (#355) | AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 73.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.474 (#423) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.488 (#415) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1108 (#158) | RD 96 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Beloit | W | 70 - 68 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Adrian | W | 106 - 92 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Penn St.-New Kens. | W | 105 - 59 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Penn St.-Behrend | W | 80 - 65 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Penn St.-Altoona | L | 63 - 64 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Saint Francis | L | 60 - 85 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Waynesburg | W | 81 - 63 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Wash. & Jeff. | L | 82 - 86 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Wheeling | L | 74 - 82 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Penn St.-Shenango | W | 89 - 78 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Stevenson | W | 70 - 66 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Juniata | W | 85 - 79 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Capital | W | 92 - 74 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Saint Vincent | W | 85 - 72 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Grove City | L | 62 - 77 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Bethany (WV) | W | 89 - 73 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Westminster (PA) | W | 87 - 79 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Chatham | L | 74 - 76 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Thiel | W | 68 - 53 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Waynesburg | W | 87 - 57 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Hiram | W | 68 - 55 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Wash. & Jeff. | L | 77 - 81 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Geneva | W | 78 - 64 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sawyer Butler | - | 23 | 30.3 | 21.9 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 14.7 | 15.3 | 64 | 3.2 | 19.8 | 42.6 | 32.1 | 83.7 | 3.68 | 58.7 | 48.8 |
| Zach Oliver | - | 21 | 25.0 | 12.6 | 7.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 9.6 | 11.6 | 87 | 5.4 | 29.9 | 49.0 | 37.2 | 64.0 | 1.3 | 59.2 | 57.7 |
| Anthony Covetta | - | 23 | 15.9 | 9.0 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 7.3 | 4.0 | 41 | 2.2 | 16.4 | 44.0 | 39.5 | 70.6 | 0.92 | 59.0 | 58.0 |
| Zachary Pollaro | - | 19 | 19.5 | 8.5 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 6.5 | 6.2 | 113 | 7.5 | 49.8 | 39.5 | 39.7 | 78.7 | -1.48 | 56.0 | 50.4 |
| Karl Yonkeu | - | 23 | 25.0 | 7.3 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 7.3 | 7.8 | 87 | 4.6 | 39.1 | 42.0 | 0 | 49.1 | 0.78 | 43.7 | 42.0 |
| Aiden Townsend | - | 23 | 18.8 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5.5 | 4.7 | 116 | 6.1 | 63.0 | 42.1 | 30.3 | 51.6 | 1.02 | 47.3 | 46.0 |
| Volodymyr Trotsko | - | 21 | 13.2 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.9 | 4.5 | 34 | 1.9 | 18.7 | 41.5 | 25.0 | 66.7 | -2.85 | 47.0 | 43.3 |
| Nathan Richards | - | 23 | 17.7 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 3.9 | 3.1 | 48 | 2.4 | 27.4 | 35.6 | 38.1 | 65.0 | -0.97 | 47.1 | 44.4 |
| Anthony Ciola | - | 21 | 10.2 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 25 | 1.4 | 29.5 | 35.7 | 32.5 | 66.7 | 0.94 | 47.2 | 45.0 |
| Malachi Rose-Burton | - | 23 | 18.6 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 2.6 | 5.3 | -30 | -1.5 | -12.0 | 45.8 | 31.2 | 70.0 | 1.56 | 53.8 | 50.0 |
| Benji Rook | - | 6 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 8 | 1.6 | 90.6 | 57.1 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.22 | 63.5 | 57.1 |
| Travis Zimmerman | - | 3 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 69.4 | 50.0 |
| Thomas Kristian | - | 23 | 8.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 41 | 2.2 | 26.8 | 52.0 | 22.2 | 0 | -1.03 | 56.0 | 56.0 |
| Reece Miller | - | 10 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | -0.3 | 3 | 0.4 | 26.2 | 30.0 | 42.9 | 0 | 0.28 | 45.0 | 45.0 |
| Joseph Fatica | - | 4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 1.7 | 272.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Nathan Rodriguez | - | 13 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 9 | 0.8 | 40.3 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -0.33 | 66.6 | 70.0 |
| Aidan Jacomet | - | 4 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | -1 | -0.5 | -22.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.81 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Michael Swallow | - | 6 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 11 | 2.8 | 178.4 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.03 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Sam Seiden | - | 6 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5 | 1.2 | 88.2 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.34 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Mark Sweeney | - | 2 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3 | 1.0 | 28.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.22 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Troy Anthony | - | 5 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.5 | 18.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.22 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG