Francis Marion
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 994 (#169) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 953 (#220) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +11.8 (#85) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.853 (#210) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.877 (#75) | NetEff +15.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.779 (#282) | AdjNet +11.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.784 (#286) | AdjNet +10.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.669 (#275) | AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 65.0 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Coker | L | 69 - 71 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Wingate | W | 78 - 65 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Columbus St. | W | 77 - 75 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Augusta | W | 61 - 60 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Converse | W | 88 - 66 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | Young Harris | W | 67 - 65 |
| 2024-12-02 | vs | Fayetteville St. | W | 80 - 59 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Barton | W | 85 - 75 |
| 2024-12-17 | @ | Converse | W | 69 - 54 |
| 2024-12-19 | @ | USC Aiken | W | 83 - 58 |
| 2025-01-01 | @ | Shaw | L | 63 - 71 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Southern Wesleyan | W | 105 - 60 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Chowan | L | 66 - 68 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Mount Olive | W | 78 - 53 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Erskine | W | 79 - 51 |
| 2025-01-20 | @ | Young Harris | L | 61 - 80 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | King (TN) | W | 65 - 54 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Chowan | L | 71 - 77 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Belmont Abbey | W | 61 - 54 |
| 2025-02-03 | @ | UNC Pembroke | W | 78 - 77 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Barton | W | 94 - 61 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Lees-McRae | W | 97 - 70 |
| 2025-02-11 | @ | Mount Olive | W | 95 - 64 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | UNC Pembroke | W | 56 - 48 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Emmanuel (GA) | W | 82 - 48 |
| 2025-02-24 | @ | Shorter | W | 68 - 63 |
| 2025-02-26 | @ | North Greenville | W | 93 - 50 |
| 2025-03-08 | vs | Young Harris | W | 78 - 44 |
| 2025-03-09 | vs | Belmont Abbey | L | 62 - 63 |
| 2025-03-14 | vs | Columbus St. | L | 83 - 89 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trinity Adams | - | 29 | 31.0 | 14.1 | 7.8 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 3.1 | 13.1 | 10.7 | 51 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 38.8 | 28.6 | 74.3 | 0.23 | 47.9 | 43.3 |
| Aniyah Oliver | - | 1 | 37.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | -18 | -0.8 | -0.7 | 62.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.07 | 78.8 | 75.0 |
| Aniyay Oliver | - | 1 | 37.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | -18 | -0.8 | -0.7 | 62.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.07 | 78.8 | 75.0 |
| Kiana Lee | - | 22 | 29.1 | 13.7 | 5.0 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 10.9 | 9.7 | 26 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 44.6 | 41.1 | 73.1 | -0.0 | 54.9 | 50.8 |
| Jada Richards | - | 24 | 25.8 | 12.7 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 11.8 | 5.9 | 63 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 39.2 | 32.1 | 65.6 | 0.46 | 49.1 | 46.6 |
| Kiara Croskey | - | 29 | 35.2 | 12.4 | 6.3 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 10.3 | 12.2 | 10 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 46.3 | 28.6 | 79.7 | 0.66 | 54.3 | 50.3 |
| Trinity Breedlove | - | 1 | 32.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.15 | 51.0 | 40.0 |
| Kennedi Simmons | - | 29 | 30.1 | 11.3 | 5.9 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 8.5 | 9.2 | 15 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 46.2 | 41.8 | 73.6 | -0.24 | 58.7 | 55.5 |
| Laney Beale | - | 1 | 26.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | -52 | -1.4 | -1.5 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.51 | 46.3 | 45.5 |
| Anna Baraldi | - | 1 | 25.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 40.0 | 20.0 | 0 | 0.28 | 45.0 | 45.0 |
| Trinity Delaney | - | 28 | 28.8 | 8.2 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 7.4 | 8.7 | 38 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 45.6 | 23.8 | 65.5 | 0.11 | 49.9 | 46.8 |
| Lia Anderson | - | 1 | 24.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 18 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 42.9 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.45 | 50.8 | 42.9 |
| Kyleigh Bacon | - | 1 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | -34 | -0.9 | -1.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.18 | 38.8 | 33.3 |
| Bethel Ekperigha | - | 1 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | -1.0 | -1 | -0.0 | -0.1 | 16.7 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.05 | 36.3 | 25.0 |
| Danielle Jackson | - | 25 | 12.3 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 7 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 41.3 | 25.0 | 42.9 | 0.03 | 43.0 | 42.4 |
| MacKenzie Feagin | - | 25 | 6.3 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 0.8 | -9 | -0.3 | -0.9 | 36.1 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -0.31 | 50.9 | 50.8 |
| Sydney Turner | - | 22 | 10.5 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 1.3 | -20 | -1.0 | -1.8 | 32.2 | 0.0 | 63.6 | -0.37 | 37.9 | 32.2 |
| Sommer Joseph | - | 28 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.9 | -7 | -0.4 | -1.3 | 46.7 | 0 | 46.7 | -0.23 | 47.5 | 46.7 |
| Shaylin Pollock | - | 1 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | -31 | -1.3 | -6.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.08 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Deana Epps | - | 28 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 | -5 | -0.3 | -2.7 | 35.0 | 25.0 | 66.7 | 0.02 | 46.9 | 45.0 |
| Madison Hoffman | - | 12 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Breya Busby | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 0.6 | 2.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.48 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyndall Shivers | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kylie Chavis | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -38 | -1.3 | -3.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.04 | 0 | 0 |
| Bri Hughes | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -10 | -0.4 | -1.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 |
| Taaria Pehi-Kupa | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -39 | -2.2 | -7.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.59 | 0 | 0 |
| Michela Jones | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -20 | -0.8 | -5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.26 | 0 | 0 |
| Anya Massey | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Lauren Brokken | - | 14 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG