🐻⬇️🏀

Francis Marion

Also known as: Francis Marion
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 994 (#169) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 953 (#220) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +11.8 (#85) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.853 (#210) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +15.5 More → 0.877 (#75) NetEff +15.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.0 More → 0.779 (#282) AdjNet +11.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.9 More → 0.784 (#286) AdjNet +10.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 65.0 More → 0.669 (#275) AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 65.0

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Coker L 69 - 71
2024-11-09 vs Wingate W 78 - 65
2024-11-13 vs Columbus St. W 77 - 75
2024-11-20 vs Augusta W 61 - 60
2024-11-23 vs Converse W 88 - 66
2024-11-30 vs Young Harris W 67 - 65
2024-12-02 vs Fayetteville St. W 80 - 59
2024-12-14 @ Barton W 85 - 75
2024-12-17 @ Converse W 69 - 54
2024-12-19 @ USC Aiken W 83 - 58
2025-01-01 @ Shaw L 63 - 71
2025-01-04 @ Southern Wesleyan W 105 - 60
2025-01-08 vs Chowan L 66 - 68
2025-01-15 vs Mount Olive W 78 - 53
2025-01-18 vs Erskine W 79 - 51
2025-01-20 @ Young Harris L 61 - 80
2025-01-25 vs King (TN) W 65 - 54
2025-01-29 @ Chowan L 71 - 77
2025-02-01 @ Belmont Abbey W 61 - 54
2025-02-03 @ UNC Pembroke W 78 - 77
2025-02-05 vs Barton W 94 - 61
2025-02-08 vs Lees-McRae W 97 - 70
2025-02-11 @ Mount Olive W 95 - 64
2025-02-19 vs UNC Pembroke W 56 - 48
2025-02-22 vs Emmanuel (GA) W 82 - 48
2025-02-24 @ Shorter W 68 - 63
2025-02-26 @ North Greenville W 93 - 50
2025-03-08 vs Young Harris W 78 - 44
2025-03-09 vs Belmont Abbey L 62 - 63
2025-03-14 vs Columbus St. L 83 - 89

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Trinity Adams - 29 31.0 14.1 7.8 2.6 1.6 0.7 3.1 13.1 10.7 51 1.7 1.7 38.8 28.6 74.3 0.23 47.9 43.3
Aniyah Oliver - 1 37.0 14.0 2.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 16.0 -18 -0.8 -0.7 62.5 50.0 100.0 -0.07 78.8 75.0
Aniyay Oliver - 1 37.0 14.0 2.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 16.0 -18 -0.8 -0.7 62.5 50.0 100.0 -0.07 78.8 75.0
Kiana Lee - 22 29.1 13.7 5.0 2.6 1.0 0.2 1.9 10.9 9.7 26 1.2 1.2 44.6 41.1 73.1 -0.0 54.9 50.8
Jada Richards - 24 25.8 12.7 3.0 1.9 1.8 0.5 2.2 11.8 5.9 63 2.6 2.9 39.2 32.1 65.6 0.46 49.1 46.6
Kiara Croskey - 29 35.2 12.4 6.3 4.1 2.3 0.1 2.8 10.3 12.2 10 0.2 0.2 46.3 28.6 79.7 0.66 54.3 50.3
Trinity Breedlove - 1 32.0 12.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 4.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 100.0 -0.15 51.0 40.0
Kennedi Simmons - 29 30.1 11.3 5.9 1.7 0.7 0.1 1.9 8.5 9.2 15 0.5 0.6 46.2 41.8 73.6 -0.24 58.7 55.5
Laney Beale - 1 26.0 11.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 6.0 -52 -1.4 -1.5 45.5 0.0 50.0 0.51 46.3 45.5
Anna Baraldi - 1 25.0 9.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 2.0 6 0.2 0.3 40.0 20.0 0 0.28 45.0 45.0
Trinity Delaney - 28 28.8 8.2 6.2 1.5 0.8 0.9 1.5 7.4 8.7 38 1.4 1.5 45.6 23.8 65.5 0.11 49.9 46.8
Lia Anderson - 1 24.0 8.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 3.0 18 0.6 0.6 42.9 0 100.0 0.45 50.8 42.9
Kyleigh Bacon - 1 19.0 5.0 8.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 10.0 -34 -0.9 -1.0 33.3 0.0 100.0 0.18 38.8 33.3
Bethel Ekperigha - 1 14.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 -1.0 -1 -0.0 -0.1 16.7 33.3 100.0 -0.05 36.3 25.0
Danielle Jackson - 25 12.3 3.5 3.2 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.8 3.7 3.6 7 0.3 0.6 41.3 25.0 42.9 0.03 43.0 42.4
MacKenzie Feagin - 25 6.3 2.5 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.3 2.4 0.8 -9 -0.3 -0.9 36.1 33.3 50.0 -0.31 50.9 50.8
Sydney Turner - 22 10.5 2.4 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 2.7 1.3 -20 -1.0 -1.8 32.2 0.0 63.6 -0.37 37.9 32.2
Sommer Joseph - 28 4.0 1.8 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 1.6 0.9 -7 -0.4 -1.3 46.7 0 46.7 -0.23 47.5 46.7
Shaylin Pollock - 1 5.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 -2.0 -31 -1.3 -6.0 0.0 0 50.0 0.08 17.4 0.0
Deana Epps - 28 2.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 -5 -0.3 -2.7 35.0 25.0 66.7 0.02 46.9 45.0
Madison Hoffman - 12 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Breya Busby - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 0.6 2.9 0 0 0 -0.48 0 0
Kyndall Shivers - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Kylie Chavis - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -38 -1.3 -3.2 0 0 0 -0.04 0 0
Bri Hughes - 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -10 -0.4 -1.7 0 0 0 0.21 0 0
Taaria Pehi-Kupa - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -39 -2.2 -7.5 0 0 0 -0.59 0 0
Michela Jones - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -20 -0.8 -5.8 0 0 0 -0.26 0 0
Anya Massey - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 4 0.1 0.2 0.0 0 0 0.11 0.0 0.0
Lauren Brokken - 14 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG