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Francis Marion

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Francis Marion
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1125 (#74) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1099 (#92) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1157 (#36) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +4.3 (#130) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +10.2 (#212) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.853 (#210) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +4.6 More → 0.656 (#227) NetEff +4.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.0 More → 0.779 (#282) AdjNet +11.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.9 More → 0.784 (#286) AdjNet +10.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 65.0 More → 0.669 (#275) AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 65.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 56.5 More → 0.701 (#85) AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 56.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.718 (#158) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.733 (#145) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 21 More → 1160 (#67) RD 98 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Coker L 69 - 76
2025-11-15 @ Wingate W 62 - 56
2025-11-19 vs Lenoir-Rhyne W 68 - 63
2025-11-22 vs Shorter W 74 - 67
2025-11-25 vs Mount Olive W 70 - 54
2025-12-09 @ USC Aiken L 60 - 61
2025-12-11 @ Winston-Salem L 53 - 63
2025-12-16 @ Chowan W 67 - 58
2025-12-19 @ Columbus St. L 73 - 87
2025-12-31 vs Carson-Newman L 54 - 58
2026-01-03 @ Lees-McRae L 69 - 80
2026-01-10 vs Young Harris L 50 - 56
2026-01-13 @ Barton W 67 - 42
2026-01-17 @ Emmanuel (GA) W 64 - 60
2026-01-19 vs Ferrum W 67 - 61
2026-01-21 @ Erskine W 91 - 60
2026-01-28 @ Mount Olive W 69 - 47
2026-02-04 @ UNC Pembroke W 64 - 53
2026-02-07 vs Belmont Abbey W 70 - 61

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mackenna Nix - 1 35.0 20.0 8.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 14.0 14.0 -82 -4.8 -29.3 57.1 0.0 57.1 -0.88 58.5 57.1
Kiara Croskey - 18 33.7 18.0 6.6 3.1 3.6 0.1 3.5 14.6 13.3 105 5.2 23.4 44.7 20.5 87.2 2.47 53.4 46.2
Morgan McDermott - 1 38.0 16.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 21.0 -5.0 -70 -4.1 -26.9 33.3 18.2 0 -2.85 38.1 38.1
Bentlee Chockley - 9 30.6 9.8 6.9 1.1 1.9 0.1 2.6 9.2 8.0 26 2.6 12.3 37.3 21.2 59.4 -0.26 45.3 41.6
Terriana Gray - 18 28.0 9.3 4.9 3.1 1.7 0.1 3.2 9.3 6.5 95 4.8 24.5 36.5 15.2 74.1 3.61 43.8 38.0
Uriah Jennings - 17 28.2 9.0 2.7 1.9 1.5 0.0 2.3 8.6 4.3 95 5.0 32.7 41.8 30.0 48.1 2.31 45.3 43.8
Monique Emelifeonwu - 1 38.0 9.0 10.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 1.0 7.0 20.0 -133 -7.8 -35.9 42.9 100.0 50.0 -1.28 57.1 57.1
Jasmine Grant - 18 17.7 7.2 5.7 0.3 0.3 1.7 1.6 4.4 9.1 1 0.1 0.5 56.2 0 65.0 -2.03 60.6 56.2
Mariana Moody - 17 18.6 6.4 6.2 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.2 5.3 9.1 22 1.2 8.9 51.1 0 48.6 0.96 51.7 51.1
Tyra Myers - 6 17.6 6.0 2.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 1.8 5.8 1.7 -13 -1.9 -11.9 37.1 31.2 100.0 0.34 48.4 44.3
MacKenzie Feagin - 15 15.4 4.1 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.1 5.1 0.1 20 1.2 13.3 26.3 23.9 83.3 -1.48 39.4 37.5
Mahkayla Premo - 1 13.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 -90 -6.0 -31.6 66.7 0 0 -1.13 66.7 66.7
Zenia Palaska - 1 8.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 -36 -2.1 -19.6 66.7 0 0 0.03 66.7 66.7
Jaliyah Benefield - 12 13.5 3.8 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.2 1.0 4.4 1.6 -27 -2.1 -74.7 32.1 26.1 60.0 -0.36 40.1 37.7
Jordan Mintz - 15 18.7 3.7 1.3 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 3.9 1.7 -14 -0.9 -7.0 32.8 28.6 75.0 -0.46 45.5 43.1
Destiny Harman - 1 18.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 -55 -3.2 -32.0 33.3 33.3 0 -1.21 50.0 50.0
Riley Miller - 1 31.0 3.0 6.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 9.0 -46 -4.6 -30.1 25.0 100.0 0.0 2.02 30.7 37.5
Ioanna Stefanaki - 1 14.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 -1.0 12 0.8 4.8 20.0 0.0 0 2.68 20.0 20.0
Trinity Delaney - 1 19.4 2.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 -6 -6.0 -11.0 33.3 0 0 -0.63 33.3 33.3
Angel Walker - 17 17.4 1.7 1.5 1.3 0.5 0.0 1.0 2.9 1.1 -1 -0.1 -0.6 16.0 18.5 66.7 -2.39 26.2 21.0
Rebecca Hammond - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Makaylei Snyder - 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -18 -1.4 -16.8 0.0 0.0 0 0.16 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG