Francis Marion
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 974 (#256) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 941 (#283) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.0 (#256) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.383 (#398) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.249 (#336) | NetEff -10.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.538 (#405) | AdjNet +1.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.475 (#430) | AdjNet -0.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.494 (#425) | AdjO 82.4 | AdjD 82.6 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | USC Beaufort | L | 101 - 104 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Flagler | L | 63 - 85 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Columbus St. | W | 85 - 76 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Winston-Salem | W | 77 - 71 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Lander | L | 85 - 96 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Converse | W | 82 - 77 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | North Georgia | L | 87 - 94 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | Young Harris | L | 66 - 95 |
| 2024-12-03 | @ | Columbus St. | L | 74 - 83 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Barton | L | 67 - 98 |
| 2024-12-17 | @ | Converse | L | 69 - 92 |
| 2024-12-19 | vs | USC Aiken | L | 69 - 110 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Southern Wesleyan | W | 88 - 85 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Chowan | L | 80 - 95 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Mount Olive | W | 121 - 103 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Erskine | W | 79 - 73 |
| 2025-01-20 | @ | Young Harris | L | 65 - 78 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | King (TN) | W | 80 - 74 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Chowan | L | 86 - 106 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Simpson | - | 17 | 33.2 | 16.2 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 12.8 | 9.1 | -1 | -0.0 | -0.1 | 44.5 | 36.3 | 76.9 | 0.62 | 57.1 | 53.9 |
| Jordyn Surratt | - | 17 | 35.5 | 12.4 | 8.5 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 9.6 | 13.9 | -112 | -4.3 | -9.5 | 48.5 | 11.1 | 59.3 | 0.58 | 52.5 | 49.1 |
| Ibrahim Wattara | - | 18 | 20.3 | 11.9 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 8.7 | 9.3 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 48.1 | 20.0 | 70.9 | 0.69 | 55.5 | 49.4 |
| Alex Atkinson | - | 19 | 18.4 | 9.6 | 5.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 7.3 | 9.9 | -62 | -2.1 | -7.2 | 55.1 | 10.0 | 71.8 | 0.14 | 58.6 | 55.8 |
| Latavian Lawrence | - | 19 | 21.7 | 9.3 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 6.9 | 6.8 | -22 | -1.0 | -2.3 | 45.0 | 33.9 | 75.0 | 1.0 | 57.5 | 52.7 |
| Horaces Jacques Jr. | - | 15 | 22.1 | 7.5 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 7.5 | 2.8 | -53 | -2.9 | -10.7 | 32.1 | 24.0 | 66.7 | -0.44 | 41.7 | 34.8 |
| Ramez Zayed | - | 19 | 16.1 | 5.2 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 5.1 | 4.4 | 7 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 43.3 | 17.6 | 35.5 | -0.06 | 44.3 | 44.8 |
| Andres Arellano Jr. | - | 19 | 17.3 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 4.0 | 2.0 | -43 | -1.7 | -10.4 | 34.2 | 25.0 | 78.9 | 0.81 | 47.4 | 42.8 |
| AJ Hamrick | - | 12 | 12.2 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 3.4 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 33.3 | 36.4 | - | 56.9 | 58.8 |
| Jeremiah Jacques | - | 13 | 9.5 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 34 | 8.5 | 17.2 | 37.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.01 | 47.9 | 37.0 |
| Greggory Gilbert | - | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10 | 2.5 | 55.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.94 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jaden Broughton | - | 6 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 41 | 4.6 | 18.4 | 75.0 | 100.0 | 75.0 | 0.43 | 95.5 | 100.0 |
| Adonis Cole | - | 7 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 3.1 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 47.5 | 40.0 |
| Tavaris Bell | - | 15 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | -30 | -3.0 | -15.1 | 18.8 | 33.3 | 66.7 | -0.04 | 39.9 | 28.1 |
| Preston Smith | - | 18 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 3 | 1.0 | 55.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.47 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Farid SaintCyr Jr. | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Repik | - | 6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14 | 4.7 | 95.2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.01 | 0.0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG