Francis Marion
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 974 (#256) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 853 (#497) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1067 (#106) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.2 (#260) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.5 (#418) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.383 (#398) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.868 (#207) | NetEff +18.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.538 (#405) | AdjNet +1.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.475 (#430) | AdjNet -0.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.494 (#425) | AdjO 82.4 | AdjD 82.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.431 (#419) | AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 74.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.416 (#386) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.419 (#383) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1068 (#162) | RD 164 | GP 4 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Erskine | W | 56 - 54 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Mount Olive | W | 89 - 78 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | UNC Pembroke | L | 56 - 79 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Belmont Abbey | W | 81 - 69 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Deptula | - | 4 | 35.4 | 17.2 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 10.8 | 12.8 | -33 | -1.7 | -26.2 | 48.8 | 36.7 | 84.2 | 0.22 | 67.2 | 61.6 |
| Kennard Davis | - | 4 | 34.3 | 12.8 | 3.8 | 8.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 9.5 | 12.8 | -27 | -3.0 | -17.6 | 31.6 | 26.7 | 92.0 | -0.82 | 52.0 | 36.8 |
| Farid SaintCyr Jr. | - | 3 | 23.3 | 10.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.7 | 1.0 | -65 | -3.8 | -55.3 | 31.2 | 17.6 | 80.0 | 0.39 | 42.6 | 35.9 |
| AuMauri Tillman | - | 4 | 16.6 | 9.8 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | -17 | -0.9 | -17.7 | 46.9 | 37.5 | 50.0 | 0.04 | 56.3 | 56.2 |
| Clyde Mauldin | - | 4 | 27.0 | 6.8 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 5.5 | 6.0 | -32 | -1.8 | -36.4 | 45.5 | 20.0 | 83.3 | -0.68 | 54.8 | 50.0 |
| Adonis Cole | - | 3 | 25.4 | 6.0 | 7.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 6.3 | 6.3 | -102 | -5.1 | -101.8 | 36.8 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.3 | 41.6 | 36.8 |
| Patrick Antonelli | - | 4 | 26.1 | 5.8 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 7.2 | -34 | -1.9 | -30.1 | 40.0 | 45.5 | 50.0 | -0.99 | 52.8 | 52.5 |
| William Asken | - | 4 | 11.3 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2.8 | -33 | -1.6 | -61.3 | 75.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.42 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Duncan Alevok | - | 4 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | -13 | -0.7 | -16.4 | 75.0 | 0 | 66.7 | 2.43 | 75.2 | 75.0 |
| Troy Santos | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -2.0 | -62 | -3.6 | -222.4 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.5 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Jaiden Cancela | - | 3 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | -0.7 | -8 | -0.5 | -29.4 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.49 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Jevon Brown | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 92 | 4.8 | 44.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.11 | 0 | 0 |
| Shannon Davis | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20 | 3.3 | 62.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.32 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Hutto | - | 2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| John-Michael Jenkins | - | 2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -83 | -4.4 | -23.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Kameron McCall | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG