Fort Valley St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 951 (#270) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 837 (#335) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.9 (#284) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.306 (#440) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.130 (#330) | NetEff -13.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.156 (#552) | AdjNet -14.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.152 (#557) | AdjNet -14.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.301 (#557) | AdjO 54.9 | AdjD 64.1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-12 | @ | Morris | W | 70 - 53 |
| 2024-11-14 | @ | Central St. (OH) | L | 46 - 49 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Kentucky St. | L | 44 - 47 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Thomas (GA) | W | 79 - 45 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Georgia College | L | 50 - 57 |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | Spring Hill | L | 42 - 62 |
| 2024-12-02 | @ | Miles | L | 47 - 58 |
| 2024-12-16 | vs | Tuskegee | W | 51 - 42 |
| 2024-12-19 | @ | Ga. Southwestern | L | 65 - 74 |
| 2024-12-31 | vs | Shorter | L | 51 - 61 |
| 2025-01-02 | vs | LeMoyne-Owen | L | 59 - 61 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Lane | W | 63 - 35 |
| 2025-01-07 | @ | Middle Ga. St. | W | 67 - 57 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Edward Waters | W | 61 - 57 |
| 2025-01-13 | vs | Savannah St. | L | 48 - 59 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Benedict | L | 72 - 74 |
| 2025-01-20 | @ | Allen | L | 62 - 71 |
| 2025-01-27 | @ | Clark Atlanta | L | 46 - 81 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Albany St. (GA) | W | 59 - 56 |
| 2025-02-04 | vs | Middle Ga. St. | W | 59 - 54 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Clark Atlanta | L | 52 - 72 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Allen | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2025-02-18 | vs | Benedict | L | 48 - 58 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Albany St. (GA) | W | 61 - 59 |
| 2025-02-24 | @ | Savannah St. | W | 46 - 42 |
| 2025-02-26 | @ | Edward Waters | L | 39 - 52 |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | Lane | L | 28 - 42 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camryn O'neil | - | 1 | 31.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 14.3 | 100.0 | - | 42.7 | 37.5 |
| Diara McBroom | - | 1 | 30.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 10.0 | 13 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.55 | 42.7 | 37.5 |
| Bailey Lee | - | 1 | 19.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 6 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 60.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.09 | 58.5 | 60.0 |
| Aaniyah Allen | - | 26 | 30.3 | 10.8 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 3.3 | 10.1 | 5.3 | 82 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 33.8 | 31.9 | 82.4 | 0.07 | 46.5 | 39.4 |
| Shannon Niles | - | 1 | 32.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | -2.0 | -34 | -1.2 | -1.6 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -0.63 | 30.7 | 16.7 |
| Marley Bell | - | 26 | 23.0 | 8.9 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 7.3 | 8.7 | -41 | -1.3 | -1.9 | 42.6 | 42.9 | 66.0 | -0.42 | 49.4 | 43.4 |
| Kimora Wade | - | 26 | 20.2 | 8.0 | 4.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 5.0 | 30 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 44.0 | 25.0 | 59.4 | -0.09 | 49.2 | 44.3 |
| Khalia Bryant | - | 1 | 24.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 58 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 0.12 | 60.8 | 50.0 |
| Cori Barnes | - | 24 | 19.0 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 6.9 | 1.5 | -33 | -1.4 | -2.3 | 27.9 | 26.3 | 61.9 | -0.32 | 38.7 | 37.0 |
| Camryn Oneill | - | 25 | 27.7 | 5.6 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 7.1 | 2.9 | -24 | -0.9 | -1.2 | 29.9 | 26.9 | 59.1 | -0.3 | 35.4 | 31.9 |
| Arieonna Booker | - | 26 | 20.8 | 4.6 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 5.8 | 2.4 | -5 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 30.3 | 22.2 | 48.9 | -0.14 | 34.9 | 32.2 |
| Ja'Nya Ferguson | - | 17 | 21.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 3.8 | 6.9 | 54 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 44.6 | 0.0 | 70.4 | 0.91 | 50.1 | 44.6 |
| Taylor Addison | - | 26 | 17.0 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 5.7 | 0.3 | 7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 27.2 | 23.9 | 48.4 | 0.07 | 33.0 | 31.0 |
| Naja Fenelon | - | 1 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | -5.0 | 24 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.32 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Ace Stevenson | - | 23 | 8.4 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 0.6 | -8 | -0.5 | -1.3 | 27.1 | 0.0 | 81.2 | -0.02 | 34.1 | 27.1 |
| Aniyah Jenkins | - | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | 4 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 25.8 | 33.3 |
| Jalexica Hargrove | - | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Makayla Arnold | - | 25 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 69 | 2.9 | 6.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 52.9 | -0.23 | 37.7 | 33.3 |
| Janya Ferguson | - | 1 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 54 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.91 | 12.9 | 0.0 |
| Jamera Bean | - | 24 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 14 | 1.0 | 4.1 | 40.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 0.27 | 55.3 | 45.0 |
| Delissa Kier | - | 22 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.3 | -19 | -1.5 | -5.7 | 37.5 | 0 | 40.0 | -0.22 | 40.3 | 37.5 |
| Akirya Robinson | - | 18 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 30 | 3.8 | 11.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jalexicia Hargrove | - | 19 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Brittany Campbell | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -47 | -1.4 | -2.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeana Weatherspoon | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Bailey Ford | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | -37 | -1.8 | -5.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.67 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jordan Isom | - | 1 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 53 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.58 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Rhianna Williams | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 |
| Amina Seck | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -13 | -1.2 | -2.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.24 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaliyah Hayes | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.59 | 0 | 0 |
| Amyah Adair-Mars | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -40 | -1.5 | -2.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.08 | 0 | 0 |
| Mondrea Williams | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Kayla Thompson | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 |
| Amaris Timmons | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Julia Baker | - | 18 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | 35 | 5.8 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.26 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG