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Fort Valley St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Fort Valley St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 865 (#476) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 757 (#514) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 851 (#651) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -22.7 (#290) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -13.4 (#545) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.306 (#440) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -21.1 More → 0.039 (#425) NetEff -21.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.7 More → 0.156 (#552) AdjNet -14.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.5 More → 0.152 (#557) AdjNet -14.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 54.9 | AdjD 64.1 More → 0.301 (#557) AdjO 54.9 | AdjD 64.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 54.4 | AdjD 67.8 More → 0.227 (#655) AdjO 54.4 | AdjD 67.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.164 (#619) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.170 (#627) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 23 More → 781 (#481) RD 99 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-17 vs Talladega L 65 - 71
2025-11-20 @ Tuskegee L 59 - 62
2025-11-22 @ Miles L 40 - 91
2025-11-25 @ Allen L 65 - 80
2025-11-29 vs Savannah St. L 66 - 72
2025-12-04 @ Spring Hill L 56 - 65
2025-12-13 @ Central St. (OH) L 63 - 66
2025-12-17 vs Lane L 49 - 72
2025-12-19 vs LeMoyne-Owen W 50 - 44
2025-12-31 @ Georgia College L 60 - 65
2026-01-03 vs Allen L 39 - 89
2026-01-10 @ Edward Waters L 34 - 72
2026-01-19 vs Clark Atlanta L 53 - 68
2026-01-22 vs Tuskegee L 55 - 69
2026-01-23 vs Miles L 65 - 92
2026-01-27 vs Albany St. (GA) W 61 - 56
2026-01-29 vs Spring Hill W 60 - 55
2026-01-31 @ Albany St. (GA) L 61 - 67
2026-02-02 @ Kentucky St. L 63 - 79
2026-02-05 vs Kentucky St. L 60 - 61
2026-02-07 vs Central St. (OH) W 48 - 45

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Aaniyah Allen - 21 34.1 15.8 4.6 2.9 2.7 0.4 5.7 15.3 5.4 -70 -3.2 -11.2 35.4 25.2 77.6 -0.43 45.5 39.8
Kimora Wade - 17 21.4 10.2 5.6 0.8 0.8 0.6 2.6 7.2 8.1 -64 -3.6 -14.8 52.0 0.0 61.6 1.94 55.8 52.0
Reya Johnson - 19 25.6 6.9 4.1 1.9 1.3 0.2 4.8 8.2 1.4 -83 -4.0 -21.6 30.8 21.3 45.8 -0.75 37.0 34.9
India McIntosh - 21 21.7 6.3 6.0 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.7 6.3 7.0 18 0.8 4.6 42.1 0.0 48.8 -2.9 43.8 42.1
Marley Bell - 17 17.1 5.5 4.6 0.6 0.9 1.3 0.9 5.8 6.3 22 1.2 7.3 32.7 18.9 71.9 0.19 41.9 36.2
Arieonna Booker - 5 11.1 3.8 1.0 0.6 0.8 0.0 2.0 3.8 0.4 - - - 42.1 20.0 100.0 - 48.9 47.4
Julia Baker - 15 17.7 3.7 2.2 0.7 1.7 0.0 2.5 4.7 1.1 -57 -3.8 -20.0 33.8 9.1 33.3 -1.91 35.5 35.2
Grace East - 21 24.1 3.4 1.6 1.1 0.9 0.2 1.6 5.0 0.8 -80 -3.5 -16.7 22.1 20.7 50.0 -2.46 32.4 30.8
Makayla Arnold - 20 15.8 3.4 4.4 0.5 0.4 0.7 2.1 3.8 3.5 -55 -2.5 -28.7 34.2 0 47.1 -0.66 37.4 34.2
Tiana Gongora - 11 9.9 2.4 1.3 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.7 2.7 1.1 -17 -1.3 -221.7 26.7 40.0 50.0 0.32 40.9 40.0
Madisyn Ogburn - 21 18.8 2.3 1.6 0.9 0.8 0.0 1.4 2.9 1.3 -31 -1.3 -8.5 21.3 22.6 55.6 0.52 34.8 31.1
Jatiana Chambers - 4 9.1 1.5 1.8 0.8 0.5 0.0 2.2 3.0 -0.8 3 0.8 36.4 25.0 0 0.0 -0.1 24.1 25.0
Akirya Robinson - 11 12.2 0.6 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.4 1.5 1.1 0.8 15 1.2 6.8 16.7 16.7 50.0 -1.72 25.4 20.8
Jalexicia Hargrove - 9 4.7 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 -24 -2.7 -42.3 33.3 0 25.0 -0.23 32.2 33.3
Haneefat Adanijo - 4 6.5 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.5 0.0 - - - 16.7 0 0 - 16.7 16.7
Jewell Harwell - 2 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 10 2.5 154.8 0 0 0 1.15 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG