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Fort Valley St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Fort Valley St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1070 (#115) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1004 (#240) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1057 (#121) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +1.9 (#247) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +1.5 (#303) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.320 (#432) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +49.3 More → 0.997 (#57) NetEff +49.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.1 More → 0.331 (#492) AdjNet -6.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.0 More → 0.331 (#493) AdjNet -6.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 76.5 More → 0.402 (#488) AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 76.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 74.2 More → 0.523 (#259) AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 74.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.498 (#317) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.517 (#297) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 21 More → 1040 (#183) RD 96 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-13 @ Georgia St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Rollins - Incomplete score
2025-11-17 @ Central St. (OH) - Incomplete score
2025-11-20 @ Tuskegee - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ Miles - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 @ Kentucky St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-04 @ Spring Hill - Incomplete score
2025-12-17 vs Lane - Incomplete score
2025-12-19 vs LeMoyne-Owen - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 vs Allen - Incomplete score
2026-01-05 vs Benedict - Incomplete score
2026-01-08 @ Savannah St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Edward Waters - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 @ Morehouse - Incomplete score
2026-01-19 vs Clark Atlanta - Incomplete score
2026-01-22 vs Tuskegee - Incomplete score
2026-01-23 vs Miles - Incomplete score
2026-01-27 vs Albany St. (GA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 vs Spring Hill - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Albany St. (GA) - Incomplete score
2026-02-05 vs Kentucky St. - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Central St. (OH) - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Aidan Lambert - 18 35.4 18.2 6.1 2.2 1.3 0.1 2.6 15.1 10.1 80 4.4 15.9 48.5 32.2 62.0 -1.21 53.9 52.0
Danny Delgardo III - 21 36.8 16.6 4.1 2.7 1.3 0.2 2.0 12.2 10.8 72 3.4 14.2 40.6 37.6 75.0 2.07 58.3 53.9
Jaylen Jackson - 7 20.2 11.0 2.6 0.3 0.9 0.3 1.4 8.9 4.7 -16 -3.2 -15.3 43.5 9.1 68.8 -0.76 50.6 44.4
CJ Williams - 19 25.3 9.9 4.9 1.1 1.2 0.5 1.5 7.6 8.6 93 4.9 24.9 38.2 36.7 90.2 1.5 56.8 49.7
Derek Delgardo Jr - 21 30.4 8.5 4.0 3.0 1.8 0.2 2.2 7.3 7.9 - - - 40.3 33.3 84.1 - 51.3 45.8
Meka Nnaji - 16 13.9 6.3 3.6 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.1 5.2 5.4 -8 -0.5 -5.0 42.2 23.1 58.3 -0.59 48.5 44.0
Jahlen Jack - 18 22.6 6.1 2.9 1.9 0.7 0.1 1.6 5.6 4.6 90 5.3 43.1 40.0 45.5 60.9 -1.15 49.5 47.5
Sincere Whitehead - 20 17.7 6.0 5.8 0.2 0.4 1.3 0.8 4.6 8.2 67 3.4 26.9 48.9 0.0 72.5 2.41 54.3 48.9
Khirius Doucet - 10 14.1 5.6 2.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 1.6 4.3 4.4 -43 -7.2 -61.8 27.9 0.0 78.0 1.95 45.9 27.9
Mike Robinson - 3 19.3 4.3 1.7 1.7 1.0 0.3 1.7 3.3 4.0 - - - 30.0 20.0 66.7 - 46.6 35.0
Tyler Pendergrass - 18 8.4 2.0 1.4 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.7 2.1 23 1.3 18.3 40.0 39.1 60.0 1.72 55.9 55.0
Demetrius Paul Jr. - 19 6.8 1.7 2.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.3 26 2.0 28.4 58.3 100.0 37.5 0.82 60.0 62.5
Jovan Tucker - 13 5.0 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.5 1.5 0.5 -18 -1.1 -39.7 31.6 12.5 60.0 -1.57 37.7 34.2
DeAndre Newland - 8 6.6 0.8 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.4 -9 -1.1 -35.7 66.7 0 40.0 -2.07 57.7 66.7
Josiah Lawson - 1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 43 2.7 19.7 0 0 0 -0.13 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG