🐻⬇️🏀

Fort Lewis

Also known as: Fort Lewis
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1062 (#87) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1042 (#132) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +0.3 (#207) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.396 (#402) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -11.8 More → 0.183 (#313) NetEff -11.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.9 More → 0.525 (#395) AdjNet +0.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.6 More → 0.548 (#393) AdjNet +1.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 66.9 More → 0.510 (#401) AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 66.9

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Western N.M. - Incomplete score
2024-11-09 vs Eastern N.M. - Incomplete score
2024-11-11 @ Northern Ariz. - Incomplete score
2024-11-15 @ Colorado Mesa - Incomplete score
2024-11-16 @ Westminster (UT) - Incomplete score
2024-11-23 vs Northern N.M. - Incomplete score
2024-11-29 vs UT Tyler - Incomplete score
2024-12-05 vs MSU Denver - Incomplete score
2024-12-07 vs Regis (CO) - Incomplete score
2024-12-10 vs N.M. Highlands L 52 - 64
2024-12-12 @ Adams St. - Incomplete score
2024-12-20 @ Northern N.M. - Incomplete score
2025-01-04 vs Navajo Tech - Incomplete score
2025-01-09 @ Western Colo. - Incomplete score
2025-01-11 @ Westminster (UT) - Incomplete score
2025-01-16 vs South Dakota Mines - Incomplete score
2025-01-18 vs Black Hills St. - Incomplete score
2025-01-23 @ Colo. Christian - Incomplete score
2025-01-25 @ UCCS - Incomplete score
2025-01-30 @ Colo. Sch. of Mines - Incomplete score
2025-02-01 @ MSU Denver - Incomplete score
2025-02-04 vs Adams St. - Incomplete score
2025-02-08 @ N.M. Highlands - Incomplete score
2025-02-13 vs Colorado Mesa - Incomplete score
2025-02-15 vs Western Colo. - Incomplete score
2025-02-20 vs CSU Pueblo - Incomplete score
2025-02-22 vs Colo. Christian - Incomplete score
2025-02-27 @ Chadron St. - Incomplete score
2025-03-01 @ South Dakota Mines - Incomplete score

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Darla Hernandez - 28 27.6 11.2 7.3 0.9 0.9 0.4 2.1 11.2 7.5 -25 -0.9 -1.1 40.3 24.2 91.4 -0.01 46.2 41.5
Deniece Ryan - 25 24.1 11.0 3.0 2.0 1.3 0.1 2.3 9.8 5.2 -10 -0.4 -0.5 44.9 22.4 61.2 0.2 49.9 47.6
Livia Knapp - 28 28.9 11.0 2.6 2.5 1.4 0.1 2.7 10.1 4.9 -81 -2.9 -3.2 42.0 38.6 78.9 -0.44 51.2 48.9
Katie Lamb - 28 22.6 9.1 3.8 1.2 1.6 0.2 1.7 8.4 5.9 -28 -0.8 -1.0 35.9 33.8 84.6 0.03 50.8 47.4
Natalie Guanella - 28 15.2 5.6 2.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.9 4.7 4.0 11 0.4 0.6 45.8 22.2 68.9 0.43 52.1 48.1
Trista Hoobler - 28 23.9 5.1 3.0 1.4 1.0 0.1 1.5 4.2 4.9 -66 -2.4 -3.1 41.5 25.9 75.0 -0.49 52.4 47.5
Claudia Palacio - 1 31.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Eva Kingston - 26 14.1 3.8 3.4 0.6 0.6 0.1 1.8 3.9 2.8 -56 -2.2 -4.0 32.4 32.6 73.1 -0.47 43.6 39.2
Sydney Bevington - 7 8.7 3.3 3.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 1.1 3.7 1.9 - - - 34.6 0.0 50.0 - 37.8 34.6
Kate Gallery - 12 6.8 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.8 2.2 0.2 -69 -4.6 -5.7 25.9 21.1 75.0 -0.24 36.5 33.3
Kayde Strauss - 16 2.8 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.2 1.6 0.9 - - - 36.0 30.0 100.0 -0.1 50.2 48.0
Laisha Armendariz - 27 9.0 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.1 12 0.4 1.1 20.0 18.5 25.0 0.29 27.2 27.1
Sarah Chick - 27 3.4 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 -24 -1.3 -8.4 50.0 0 50.0 -0.34 50.4 50.0
Samantha Wattawa - 14 1.9 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 -18 -1.4 -3.7 42.9 33.3 50.0 -0.56 50.8 50.0
Avery Evans - 7 2.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 66 1.8 3.0 100.0 0 0.0 0.43 53.2 100.0
Amya Winfrey - 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -81 -9.0 -26.7 0 0 0 -1.06 0 0
Bree Johnson - 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 39 3.9 8.0 0 0 0 -0.26 0 0
Claudia Palacio gamez - 2 21.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 4.5 0.0 -68 -1.9 -2.6 0.0 0.0 0 -0.43 0.0 0.0
Jaila Childress - 14 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Reagan Lentell - 14 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Caitlyn Benally - 12 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17 1.5 3.3 0 0 0 0.04 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG