🐻⬇️🏀

Fort Lewis

Also known as: Fort Lewis
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1062 (#87) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1042 (#132) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +0.3 (#207) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.396 (#402) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -11.8 More → 0.183 (#313) NetEff -11.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.9 More → 0.525 (#395) AdjNet +0.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.6 More → 0.548 (#393) AdjNet +1.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 66.9 More → 0.510 (#401) AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 66.9

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Western N.M. W 53 - 47
2024-11-09 vs Eastern N.M. L 48 - 67
2024-11-11 @ Northern Ariz. L 68 - 101
2024-11-15 @ Colorado Mesa L 48 - 75
2024-11-16 @ Westminster (UT) L 58 - 61
2024-11-23 vs Northern N.M. W 67 - 57
2024-11-29 vs UT Tyler L 51 - 63
2024-12-05 vs MSU Denver W 74 - 66
2024-12-07 vs Regis (CO) L 65 - 76
2024-12-10 vs N.M. Highlands L 52 - 64
2024-12-12 @ Adams St. L 60 - 79
2024-12-20 @ Northern N.M. L 52 - 63
2025-01-04 vs Navajo Tech W 114 - 33
2025-01-09 @ Western Colo. L 57 - 75
2025-01-11 @ Westminster (UT) W 78 - 55
2025-01-16 vs South Dakota Mines L 74 - 88
2025-01-18 vs Black Hills St. L 43 - 61
2025-01-23 @ Colo. Christian L 62 - 72
2025-01-25 @ UCCS L 71 - 74
2025-01-30 @ Colo. Sch. of Mines L 76 - 81
2025-02-01 @ MSU Denver W 77 - 63
2025-02-04 vs Adams St. L 49 - 79
2025-02-08 @ N.M. Highlands L 64 - 77
2025-02-13 vs Colorado Mesa L 71 - 78
2025-02-15 vs Western Colo. L 70 - 86
2025-02-20 vs CSU Pueblo L 61 - 66
2025-02-22 vs Colo. Christian L 56 - 71
2025-02-27 @ Chadron St. L 72 - 83
2025-03-01 @ South Dakota Mines L 59 - 71

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Darla Hernandez - 29 27.2 11.1 7.2 0.9 0.9 0.4 2.1 11.2 7.2 -25 -0.9 -1.1 40.1 24.2 88.5 -0.01 45.9 41.4
Deniece Ryan - 26 24.2 11.0 3.0 2.0 1.3 0.1 2.3 9.7 5.3 -10 -0.4 -0.5 45.1 24.6 62.0 0.2 50.5 48.0
Livia Knapp - 29 28.9 10.8 2.7 2.4 1.5 0.1 2.6 10.1 4.8 -81 -2.9 -3.2 41.3 38.1 78.9 -0.44 50.4 48.1
Katie Lamb - 29 22.2 9.3 3.7 1.3 1.6 0.2 1.7 8.3 6.0 -28 -0.8 -1.0 36.9 35.2 84.6 0.03 52.1 49.0
Natalie Guanella - 29 14.7 5.4 2.5 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.9 4.5 3.9 11 0.4 0.6 45.8 22.2 68.9 0.43 52.1 48.1
Trista Hoobler - 29 24.1 5.2 3.0 1.4 1.0 0.1 1.4 4.3 4.9 -66 -2.4 -3.1 41.9 28.1 75.0 -0.49 53.0 48.4
Claudia Palacio - 1 31.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Eva Kingston - 27 14.2 3.7 3.3 0.6 0.6 0.1 1.7 4.0 2.5 -56 -2.2 -4.0 30.3 29.8 73.1 -0.47 41.1 36.7
Sydney Bevington - 8 9.1 3.5 2.9 0.2 0.4 0.1 1.0 3.5 2.6 - - - 39.3 0.0 50.0 - 42.1 39.3
Kate Gallery - 13 7.6 1.9 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.9 2.5 0.1 -69 -4.6 -5.7 25.0 20.0 83.3 -0.24 36.1 31.2
Kayde Strauss - 16 2.8 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.2 1.6 0.9 - - - 36.0 30.0 100.0 -0.1 50.2 48.0
Samantha Wattawa - 15 2.2 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 -18 -1.4 -3.7 55.6 60.0 50.0 -0.56 70.9 72.2
Laisha Armendariz - 28 9.0 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.1 12 0.4 1.1 19.4 17.9 25.0 0.29 26.5 26.4
Sarah Chick - 28 3.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 -24 -1.3 -8.4 50.0 0 50.0 -0.34 50.4 50.0
Avery Evans - 8 1.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 66 1.8 3.0 100.0 0 0.0 0.43 53.2 100.0
Amya Winfrey - 9 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 -81 -9.0 -26.7 0.0 0 50.0 -1.06 26.6 0.0
Claudia Palacio gamez - 2 21.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 4.5 0.0 -68 -1.9 -2.6 0.0 0.0 0 -0.43 0.0 0.0
Bree Johnson - 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 39 3.9 8.0 0 0 0 -0.26 0 0
Jaila Childress - 14 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Reagan Lentell - 14 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Caitlyn Benally - 12 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17 1.5 3.3 0 0 0 0.04 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG