Fort Lewis
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1134 (#69) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1059 (#167) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1025 (#218) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.1 (#117) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +8.6 (#232) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.396 (#402) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.643 (#234) | NetEff +4.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.525 (#395) | AdjNet +0.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.548 (#393) | AdjNet +1.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.510 (#401) | AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 66.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.597 (#174) | AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 65.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.654 (#230) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.649 (#229) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1043 (#206) | RD 101 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Western N.M. | W | 83 - 57 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Cameron | W | 94 - 82 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | St. Edward's | W | 78 - 67 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Angelo St. | W | 62 - 61 |
| 2025-11-28 | @ | Sul Ross St. | W | 89 - 67 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Simon Fraser | L | 67 - 74 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | MSU Denver | L | 81 - 95 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Regis (CO) | W | 67 - 64 |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | N.M. Highlands | W | 74 - 71 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Adams St. | L | 50 - 78 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Maryville (MO) | W | 62 - 50 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Westminster (UT) | W | 72 - 53 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | South Dakota Mines | W | 71 - 58 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Black Hills St. | L | 52 - 59 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Colo. Christian | W | 81 - 71 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | UCCS | L | 68 - 75 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Colo. Sch. of Mines | W | 86 - 83 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | MSU Denver | L | 66 - 76 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Adams St. | L | 68 - 91 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | N.M. Highlands | W | 78 - 58 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Lamb | - | 20 | 27.3 | 13.5 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 11.6 | 7.2 | -6 | -0.3 | -1.0 | 39.4 | 36.0 | 79.1 | 1.63 | 54.0 | 51.1 |
| Makaya Porter | - | 20 | 21.6 | 12.3 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 11.0 | 7.8 | 12 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 43.6 | 23.1 | 72.6 | 0.46 | 49.7 | 45.7 |
| Alemaualii Fonoti | - | 20 | 15.9 | 9.2 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 6.8 | 5.5 | 66 | 3.3 | 21.2 | 46.7 | 100.0 | 53.5 | 2.06 | 50.4 | 47.1 |
| Malia Ulery | - | 4 | 17.6 | 9.0 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 6.0 | 5.5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 45.8 | 35.3 | 100.0 | -1.18 | 65.4 | 58.3 |
| Josie Davis | - | 20 | 22.6 | 8.3 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 7.7 | 7.5 | 39 | 1.9 | 8.5 | 43.5 | 32.0 | 64.9 | 3.98 | 48.7 | 46.1 |
| Claudia Palacio Gamez | - | 20 | 28.9 | 8.2 | 4.5 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 3.0 | 7.8 | 7.0 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 36.9 | 35.3 | 75.8 | 2.44 | 48.1 | 44.6 |
| Natalie Guanella | - | 18 | 20.6 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 5.2 | 5.7 | 16 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 41.9 | 19.4 | 60.3 | -0.19 | 50.6 | 45.7 |
| Savanna Dotray | - | 20 | 18.2 | 5.8 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 6.3 | 3.8 | -48 | -2.4 | -16.5 | 33.3 | 20.0 | 60.5 | -1.74 | 40.0 | 35.7 |
| Deniece Ryan | - | 5 | 13.1 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 5.4 | 3.8 | 1 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 40.7 | 50.0 | 11.1 | 0.38 | 40.4 | 44.4 |
| Ashten Martinez | - | 18 | 19.3 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 3.8 | 5.2 | -17 | -0.9 | -4.3 | 36.2 | 15.8 | 70.6 | -0.96 | 42.5 | 38.4 |
| Antia Gonzalez Docampo | - | 20 | 9.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.3 | -77 | -3.9 | -41.1 | 33.3 | 9.1 | 40.0 | -1.56 | 36.2 | 34.6 |
| Laisha Armendariz | - | 19 | 9.5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | -20 | -1.0 | -13.0 | 20.8 | 20.0 | 50.0 | -3.0 | 30.1 | 29.2 |
| Sarah Chick | - | 14 | 5.7 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.1 | -51 | -3.4 | -41.6 | 40.0 | 0 | 16.7 | -0.67 | 35.6 | 40.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG